May 16, 2022
A weak trough of low pressure extends from the Pacific Northwest to central California. The portion of the trough this far south is inactive, but it has deepened the marine layer enough to allow for modified marine air to move down the valley. Winds in the Delta at Travis AFB are currently sustained at 23 mph out of the southwest. Marine air is also gushing through Pacheco Pass where winds are sustained at 21 mph, gusting to 35 mph. the cooler air will lower temperatures into the mid 80s in Merced County and the mid to upper 80s south of Merced County, possibly near 90 in Kern County. The trough will move through today through Tuesday with upper level high pressure rebuilding Wednesday through Friday for a warming trend. Models show a stronger ridge building northward over the weekend. Mid to upper 90s should be commonplace by Sunday and it’s possible hottest locations could come in near the century mark Monday. as far as any active weather is concerned, there is none on the horizon. It appears above average temperatures will be the order of the day this week and especially through this weekend and early next week.
Forecast: Clear to mostly clear through Thursday. Mostly clear Thursday night through Monday.
Short Term:
| Madera 86/53/85/52/93 | Reedley 89/54/89/54/94 | Dinuba 88/52/88/53/93 |
| Porterville 89/53/89/54/94 | Lindsay 88/52/89/52/93 | Delano 90/55/89/55/94 |
| Bakersfield 89/59/88/62/93 | Taft 87/60/85/63/90 | Arvin 90/55/89/55/95 |
| Lamont 89/54/90/55/95 | Pixley 88/52/88/55/93 | Tulare 87/52/88/54/93 |
| Woodlake 89/52/88/55/93 | Hanford 89/55/89/55/93 | Orosi 88/52/88/53/92 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Thursday
Mostly clear 56/94 |
Friday
Mostly clear 55/95 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 56/92 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 56/95 |
Monday
Mostly clear 60/99 |
Two Week Outlook: May 23 through May 29: This model is showing a fairly substantial ridge of of upper level high pressure over the eastern Pacific and the western US, maintaining above average temperatures for central California with little to no chance of precipitation.
May: This model shows a dominant high stretching from Texas to southern California, resulting in somewhat above average temperatures for the month. It also gives an equal chance of above or below normal precipitation.
May, June, July: This model shows an early season high over the Four Corners region of the desert southwest, stretching westward to California, causing temperatures as we head into summer to be marginally above average. Since this is the dry season, the chances of precipitation will be very low
Wind Discussion: Winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph during the afternoons and evenings with local gusts to 25 along the west side through Tuesday. From Tuesday night through Thursday, winds will be generally out of the northwest at 5 to 12 mph during the afternoons and evenings and less than 8 mph during the night and morning hours with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 76%/21% Porterville, 82%/25%. Midafternoon dew points: Upper 30s to the lower 40s. Upper 30s to the lower 40s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.85, Parlier 1.66, Arvin 1.77, Orange Cove 1.79, Porterville 1.56, Delano 1.57. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 61, Parlier 67, Arvin, 68, Orange Cove 68, Porterville 73, Delano NA. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 83/55. Record Temperatures: 103/40
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 74 -9. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.29 or -4.19. Monthly .00 -.23
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.40 or -.76. Monthly, .00 -.15
Average Temperature this month: 64.8 -1.6 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier, Arvin, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Porterville. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 5:50, Sunset, 8:01, hours of daylight, 14.10
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 94 / 60 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 95 / 54 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 94 / 62 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 95 / 63 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 95 / 58 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 92 / 62 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 93 / 60 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 92 / 56 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave 365
- STOCKTON 00 9.75 75 7.88 61 13.01 13.45
- MODESTO 00 8.99 77 7.12 61 11.75 12.27
- MERCED 00 7.44 65 7.00 61 11.41 11.80
- MADERA 00 M M M M 10.38 10.79
- FRESNO 00 6.29 60 6.59 63 10.48 10.99
- HANFORD 00 6.34 81 4.29 55 7.83 8.13
- BAKERSFIELD 00 5.40 88 2.77 45 6.16 6.36
- BISHOP 00 4.75 112 1.62 38 4.23 4.84
- SALINAS 00 7.31 60 5.75 47 12.25 12.58
- PASO ROBLES 00 8.70 73 6.74 57 11.84 12.15
- SANTA MARIA 00 7.79 60 6.87 53 13.02 13.32
Next report: May 17
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.