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  • Out/pneumonia Pardon the interruption again, folks. John had been coughing more and more frequently lately. Difficult breathing yesterday resulted in an ambulance ride to the local…
  • May 8, 2024 report May 8, 2024 Summary  High pressure aloft is  located 500 miles off the northern California coast. Low pressure is centered over Wyoming and the Dakotas…
  • May 6, 2024 report May 6, 2024 Summary  An elongated trough of low pressure extends from the Gulf of Alaska to the Pacific Northwest while high pressure is setting…
  • May 4, 2024 report May 4, 2024 Summary  A low pressure center is off the coast of the Pacific Northwest this morning. This low will move southwestward into northern…
  • May 2, 2024 report May 2, 2024 Summary  upper level high pressure is upwelling ahead of a low pressure system located in the northeast Pacific. This will drive temperatures…
Forecast

May 21, 2022/report

May 21, 2022

Temperatures yesterday afternoon showed significant cooling as readings dropped into the lower 80s. If you recall, there was nearly a 15 millibar difference in pressure between San Francisco and Las Vegas. As of the time of this writing, the pressure difference has totally vanished with only a 1 millibar difference showing up. This is due to the fact that the low over southern Nevada has moved into Colorado while high pressure off shore is slowly building inland. This will start a new warming trend today with hotter locations moving into the lower 90s as early as Sunday afternoon. Models show the high will be almost right overhead this upcoming Wednesday and Thursday. High resolution blended model information indicates we will have a chance at some lower triple digits coming up Wednesday and even more so Thursday. The high will begin to flatten out Friday, eventually leading to the introduction of the next trough of low pressure next weekend for what promises to be yet another significant cooling trend. There is nothing on models suggesting any chance of precipitation for the foreseeable weather future.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear through Wednesday with a slow warming trend. Mostly clear Thursday through Saturday.

 

Short Term:        

Madera 87/50/91/53/92 Reedley 88/49/91/54/92 Dinuba 88/49/91/54/91
Porterville 88/50/91/54/92 Lindsay 87/48/91/53/92 Delano 89/53/91/55/92
Bakersfield 88/59/89/62/91 Taft 87/62/89/65/89 Arvin 85/56/91/60/93
Lamont 87/58/91/59/93 Pixley 87/49/90/54/92 Tulare 86/48/90/56/92
Woodlake 88/49/90/54/91 Hanford 89/51/91/55/92 Orosi 87/48/91/53/92

 

Seven Day Forecast

Tuesday

Mostly clear

56/94

Wednesday

Mostly clear

63/99

Thursday

Mostly clear

63/101

Friday

Mostly clear

59/98

Saturday

Mostly clear

54/90

 

                               

Two Week Outlook:  May 28 through June 3: This model is now indicating a trough of low pressure dominating for much of this time period, resulting in near to possibly below temperatures. The chance of precipitation remains very low.

 

May:  This model shows a dominant high stretching from Texas to southern California, resulting in somewhat above average temperatures for the month. It also gives an equal chance of above or below normal precipitation.

 

May, June, July: This model shows an early season high over the Four Corners region of the desert southwest, stretching westward to California, causing temperatures as we head into summer to be marginally above average. Since this is the dry season, the chances of precipitation will be very low

 

Wind Discussion: Winds afternoons and evenings through Tuesday will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 15 mph. Winds during the night and morning hours will be generally at or less than 8 mph with periods of near calm conditions.

 

Rain:  Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.

 

Frost:  All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 67%/75%  Porterville, 73%/20%. Midafternoon dew points:  Low to mid 30s.  Low to mid 30s s.

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%.  Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2,28, Parlier 1.88, Arvin 2.08, Orange Cove 2.03, Porterville 1.77, Delano 1.77. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 63, Parlier 72, Arvin, 71, Orange Cove 73, Porterville 79, Delano NA. *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 85/56.  Record Temperatures: 104/42

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  138 +8. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  6.29 or -4.24.  Monthly  .00 -.28

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season, 5.40 or  -.80.  Monthly,  .00 -.19

Average Temperature this month: 67.6. -0.4 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier,  Arvin, Belridge, 1016, Shafter,  Stratford, Delano, Porterville.  Courtesy UC Davis 

Sunrise. 5:46, Sunset, 8:05, hours of daylight, 14.18

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced AP        153 :  82 /  48 /  0.00 /

MAE   : Madera AP        253 :  80 /  49 /  0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno AP        333 :  81 /  58 /  0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford AP       242 :  82 /  47 /  0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore NAS      234 :  81 /  48 /  0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield AP   496 :  82 /  60 /  0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia AP       292 :  81 /  50 /  0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville AP   442 :  83 /  50 /  0.00 /

 

Rainfall:                                                   24h            Seas            %          LY              %             Ave             365

  1. STOCKTON 00    9.75    74    7.88    60    13.10    13.45
  2. MODESTO 00    8.99    76    7.12    60    11.85    12.27
  3. MERCED 00    7.44    65    7.00    61    11.48    11.80
  4. MADERA 00       M     M    1.56    15    10.44    10.79
  5. FRESNO 00    6.29    60    6.59    63    10.53    10.99
  6. HANFORD 00    6.34    80    4.29    54     7.89     8.13
  7. BAKERSFIELD 00    5.40    87    2.77    45     6.20     6.36
  8. BISHOP 00    4.75   111    1.62    38     4.28     4.84
  9. SALINAS                    00    7.31    59    5.75    47    12.31    12.58
  10. PASO ROBLES 00 8.70    73    6.74    57    11.89    12.15
  11. SANTA MARIA 00 7.79    60    6.87    53    13.07    13.32

Next report: May 23

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.