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  • May 8, 2024 report May 8, 2024 Summary  High pressure aloft is  located 500 miles off the northern California coast. Low pressure is centered over Wyoming and the Dakotas…
  • May 6, 2024 report May 6, 2024 Summary  An elongated trough of low pressure extends from the Gulf of Alaska to the Pacific Northwest while high pressure is setting…
  • May 4, 2024 report May 4, 2024 Summary  A low pressure center is off the coast of the Pacific Northwest this morning. This low will move southwestward into northern…
  • May 2, 2024 report May 2, 2024 Summary  upper level high pressure is upwelling ahead of a low pressure system located in the northeast Pacific. This will drive temperatures…
Forecast

May 24, 2022/report

May 24, 2022

Upper level high pressure is centered roughly 500 miles off the central coast with the eastern flank of the high over California and the Pacific Northwest. Significant warming is taking place at all levels of the atmosphere. The freezing level over Oakland has risen to just under 16,000 feet. Satellite imagery shows no clouds or fog along the central or northern California coastlines with no sea breeze moving through the Delta. The high will shift inland over the next 36 hours, driving temperatures into the upper 90s today and into the 100 to 105 degree range Wednesday. A trough of low pressure will be approaching the California coast Thursday, rapidly deepening the marine layer. A surge of modified sea breeze will move down the valley, lowering temperatures into double digits from Merced County north with the rest of the valley remaining in triple digits. As the trough moves inland Thursday night and Friday, further cooling will prevail though readings will remain above average. Over the weekend, a stronger trough will move inland, lowering temperatures to near average  and perhaps even a bit below by the early part of next week. temperatures for next week will be marginally above average, however triple digits are not anticipated.

 

Forecast: Clear and hot through Thursday. Mostly clear Thursday night and Friday with a slow cooling trend. Mostly clear and cooler Saturday through Tuesday.

 

Short Term:        

Madera 98/61/104/62/99 Reedley 99/61/104/63/101 Dinuba 97/61/103/60/99
Porterville 99/62/104/62/100 Lindsay 98/60/104/62/101 Delano 98/62/104/63/100
Bakersfield 98/70/103/72/98 Taft 96/74/102/71/96 Arvin 99/63/104/64/100
Lamont 99/64/104/66/101 Pixley 98/64/103/65/100 Tulare 96/60/102/63/98
Woodlake 97/61/103/62/99 Hanford 98/63/104/63/101 Orosi 97/60/104/63/100

 

Seven Day Forecast

Friday

Mostly clear

59/98

Saturday

Mostly clear

58/92

Sunday

Mostly clear

52/88

Monday

Mostly clear

51/84

Tuesday

Mostly clear

52/84

 

                               

Two Week Outlook:  May 30 through June 5: a flat zone of upper level high pressure will be over the eastern Pacific and California, resulting in somewhat above average temperatures with dry weather prevailing.

 

May:  This model shows a dominant high stretching from Texas to southern California, resulting in somewhat above average temperatures for the month. It also gives an equal chance of above or below normal precipitation.

 

May, June, July: This model shows an early season high over the Four Corners region of the desert southwest, stretching westward to California, causing temperatures as we head into summer to be marginally above average. Since this is the dry season, the chances of precipitation will be very low

 

Wind Discussion: Winds this morning will be light and variable then will be out of the northwest at 5 to 15 mph afternoons and evenings. Winds later tonight will again be light and variable. Winds will be out of the northwest at 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 30 mph along the west side and locally elsewhere Wednesday afternoon. Winds Thursday and Friday will be mainly out of the northwest at 10 to 20 mph at times with stronger gusts.

 

Rain:  Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.

 

Frost:  All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 66%/20%  Porterville, 61%/16%. Midafternoon dew points:  Low to mid 40.  Low to mid 40s.

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%.  Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2,30, Parlier 1.86, Arvin 2.12, Orange Cove 2.06, Porterville 1.85, Delano 1.82. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 64, Parlier 72, Arvin, 72, Orange Cove 74, Porterville 80, Delano NA. *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 85/56.  Record Temperatures: 103/41

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  155 +7. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  6.29 or -4.28.  Monthly  .00 -.32

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season, 5.40 or  -.82.  Monthly,  .T -.211

Average Temperature this month: 68.0. -0.4 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier,  Arvin, Belridge, 1016, Shafter,  Stratford, Delano, Porterville.  Courtesy UC Davis 

Sunrise. 5:45, Sunset, 8:07, hours of daylight, 14.22

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced AP        153 :  91 /  58 /  0.00 /

MAE   : Madera AP        253 :  91 /  56 /  0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno AP        333 :  91 /  64 /  0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford AP       242 :  92 /  61 /  0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore NAS      234 :  93 /  55 /  0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield AP   496 :  89 /  64 /  0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia AP       292 :  91 /  57 /  0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville AP   442 :  91 /  55 /  0.00 /

 

Rainfall:                                                   24h            Seas            %          LY              %             Ave             365

  1. STOCKTON 00    9.75    74    7.88    60    13.14    13.45
  2. MODESTO 00    8.99    75    7.12    60    11.91    12.27
  3. MERCED 00    7.44    65    7.00    61    11.53    11.80
  4. MADERA         00       M     M    1.56    15    10.48    10.79
  5. FRESNO 00    6.29    60    6.59    62    10.57    10.99
  6. HANFORD 00    6.34    80    4.29    54     7.92     8.13
  7. BAKERSFIELD 00    5.40    87    2.77    45     6.22     6.36
  8. BISHOP 00    4.75   110    1.62    38     4.30     4.84
  9. SALINAS 00    7.31    59    5.75    47    12.35    12.58
  10. PASO ROBLES 00 8.70    73    6.74    57    11.91    12.15
  11. SANTA MARIA 00 7.79    59    6.87    52    13.10    13.32

Next report: May 25

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.