June 4, 2022
At the upper levels of the atmosphere, there is a fairly robust low pressure system centered just west of Vancouver Island. The jet stream is flanked underneath the low and runs from west to east across the eastern Pacific and into northern California. Doppler radar is actually picking up virga from the northern San Joaquin Valley northward. Virga is rain falling but not reaching the ground. Considerable amounts of cloud cover will continue to stream over the northern half of California through Sunday. At the surface, barometric pressure is lower over the Great Basin than off shore California. The current altimeter reading at San Francisco is 29.91 inches of mercury while at Las Vegas the current reading is 29.68. This will allow modified marine air to move down the valley, helping temperatures trend downwards today. Enjoy this mild weather while you can as models are very consistent this morning in pointing to a heat wave later this week. upper level high pressure off the southern California coast will expand eastward and northward, driving temperatures well above the century mark beginning Friday and lasting through this coming weekend. It appears hottest locations next Saturday and Sunday will top out in the 105 to 107 degree range. The next cooling trend will begin a week from Monday as a weak trough displaces the high pressure system.
Forecast: Variable cloudiness at times through Sunday. Mostly clear Sunday night through Wednesday with a warming trend. Clear and hot Thursday through Sunday.
Short Term:
Madera 86/58/92/59/93 | Reedley 88/58/92/60/92 | Dinuba 87/57/91/59/91 |
Porterville 88/58/92/59/92 | Lindsay 87/56/91/58/91 | Delano 89/60/91/62/91 |
Bakersfield 88/65/92/66/91 | Taft 86/65/87/66/87 | Arvin 89/62/92/62/92 |
Lamont 89/62/92/63/92 | Pixley 88/57/91/57/91 | Tulare 87/55/90/58/91 |
Woodlake 87/56/91/58/91 | Hanford 89/60/92/63/92 | Orosi 87/56/91/59/92 |
Seven Day Forecast
Tuesday
Mostly clear 56/93 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 59/97 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 61/99 |
Friday
Mostly clear 66/100 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 67/105 |
Two Week Outlook: June 11 through June 15: This model is depicting a rather strong ridge of high pressure over the Desert Southwest and the eastern Pacific Ocean. Temperatures will rise to above average with the usual dry weather continuing.
June: This model shows a high center over New Mexico and Texas extending into California for marginally above average temperatures for the month with the usual dry conditions prevailing.
June, July, August: This model is hinting at a possible active monsoon season this year once we get into July and August. It’s possible we could see more than the usual amount of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada but the valley will be typically dry with above average temperatures.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 10 to 15 mph through this evening. Gusts to 25 mph will be possible through this evening, mainly along the west side. Winds Sunday through Tuesday will be mainly out of the northwest afternoons and evenings at 8 to 15 mph, decreasing to light and variable during the night and morning hours.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 71%/25% Porterville, 79%/27%. Midafternoon dew points: Low to mid 40s. Kern: Low to mid 40s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 40%, tomorrow 50%. Bakersfield: Today: 80%/. Tomorrow, 80%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.24, Parlier 1.93, Arvin 2.05, Orange Cove 2.10, Porterville 1.82, Delano 1.83. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 69, Parlier 74, Arvin, 74, Orange Cove 77, Porterville 81, Delano NA. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 88/58. Record Temperatures: 106/46
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 267 +36. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.29 or -4.42. Monthly .00 -.04
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.40 or -.87. Monthly, .00 -.01
Average Temperature this month: 76.5. +3.5 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier, Arvin, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Porterville. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 5:40, Sunset, 8:15, hours of daylight, 14.33
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 90 / 64 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 91 / 61 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 92 / 64 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 92 / 64 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 92 / 63 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 91 / 65 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 90 / 62 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 91 / 60 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave 365
- STOCKTON 00 9.75 73 7.88 59 13.28 13.45
- MODESTO 00 8.99 74 7.12 59 12.08 12.27
- MERCED 00 7.44 64 7.00 60 11.66 11.80
- MADERA 00 M M M M 10.63 10.79
- FRESNO 00 6.29 59 6.59 62 10.71 10.99
- HANFORD 00 6.34 79 4.29 53 8.02 8.13
- BAKERSFIELD 00 5.40 86 2.77 44 6.27 6.36
- BISHOP 00 4.75 109 1.62 37 4.37 4.84
- SALINAS 00 7.31 59 5.75 46 12.44 12.58
- PASO ROBLES 00 8.70 73 6.74 56 11.97 12.15
- SANTA MARIA T 79 59 6.87 52 13.16 13.32
Next report: June 6
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.