June 14, 2022
The upper trough of low pressure which yesterday was moving through the Pacific Northwest and northern California has shifted eastward and is now over the Rocky Mountain region. At the surface, pressures have generally equalized between the coast and the interior, ending the gusty winds. This also means the strong flow of marine air which was moving down the valley yesterday has ceased. In fact, winds at Travis AFB in the Delta were southwest at just 2 mph this morning. This change is allowing upper level high pressure off shore to begin moving into the western US. A warming trend will begin today and last through Friday, however this high is not as strong as last week’s event so widespread triple digits are not expected. The progressive pattern of in and out highs and lows will continue as a rather robust low moves into the western US over the weekend. Readings will fall well down into the 80s beginning Saturday before a new high begins to take shape over the Desert Southwest by the middle of next week. on paper, this high is more reminiscent of a summer configuration. The high will eventually set up shop over the Four Corners region, putting central California on its western flank. This could be the first visit from the monsoon this year as the flow aloft above central California becomes southerly.
Forecast: Mostly clear through Saturday. Mostly clear Saturday night through Tuesday.
Short Term:
| Madera 91/55/99/58/98 | Reedley 92/57/99/59/98 | Dinuba 90/54/98/58/98 |
| Porterville 90/54/98/57/98 | Lindsay 90/53/98/57/98 | Delano 91/58/99/61/99 |
| Bakersfield 90/65/98/70/98 | Taft 90/68/97/72/97 | Arvin 91/57/99/61/99 |
| Lamont 91/59/99/62/100 | Pixley 90/58/98/59/98 | Tulare 90/54/97/56/98 |
| Woodlake 90/53/97/57/97 | Hanford 91/58/99/61/99 | Orosi 90/54/99/56/98 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Friday
Mostly clear 57/98 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 52/87 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 50/83 |
Monday
Mostly clear 54/86 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 59/93 |
Two Week Outlook: June 21 through June 27: This model is more of an early summer type pattern with upper level high pressure residing over the Desert Southwest. This could be the first inkling of the monsoon season with above average temperatures and even a chance of isolated thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada.
June: This model shows a high center over New Mexico and Texas extending into California for marginally above average temperatures for the month with the usual dry conditions prevailing.
June, July, August: This model is hinting at a possible active monsoon season this year once we get into July and August. It’s possible we could see more than the usual amount of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada but the valley will be typically dry with above average temperatures.
Wind Discussion: winds during the afternoons and evenings will be mainly out of the northwest at around 5 to 12 mph through Friday. Winds during the night and morning hours will be generally less than 8 mph with periods of near calm conditions. Winds will increase out of the northwest Friday night at 10 to 20 mph with stronger gusts, continuing Saturday.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 61%/26% Porterville, 69%/24%. Midafternoon dew points: Mid to upper 30s Kern: Mid to upper 30s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today : 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.37, Parlier 2.07, Arvin 2.24, Orange Cove 2.23, Porterville 2.01, Delano 1.91. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 69, Parlier 77, Arvin, 78, Orange Cove 81, Porterville 87, Delano NA. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 91/60. Record Temperatures: 108/42
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 408 +82. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.29 or -4.54. Monthly .00 -.16
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.40 or -.90. Monthly, .00 -.04
Average Temperature this month: 78.3 +4.3 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier, Arvin, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Porterville. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 5:39, Sunset, 8:20, hours of daylight, 14.39
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 85 / 58 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 86 / 58 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 86 / 61 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 87 / 61 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 87 / 60 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 84 / 65 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 85 / 61 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 85 / 63 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1651 / 88 / 67 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 83 / M / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave 365
- STOCKTON 00 9.81 74 7.88 59 13.33 13.45
- MODESTO 00 8.99 74 7.12 59 12.14 12.27
- MERCED 00 7.44 64 7.00 60 11.71 11.80
- MADERA 00 M M 1.56 15 10.70 10.79
- FRESNO 00 6.29 58 6.59 61 10.82 10.99
- HANFORD 00 6.34 79 4.29 53 8.05 8.13
- BAKERSFIELD 00 5.40 86 2.77 44 6.29 6.36
- BISHOP 00 4.75 108 1.62 37 4.41 4.84
- SALINAS 00 7.31 59 5.75 46 12.47 12.58
- PASO ROBLES 00 8.70 73 6.74 56 11.98 12.15
- SANTA MARIA 00 7.79 59 6.87 52 13.18 13.32
Next report: June 15
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.