June 25, 2022
Upper level high pressure is centered just off the southern California coast this morning with a ridge extending northward into the Pacific Northwest. Another high center is over Oklahoma. The clockwise flow around that high is moving moisture northward into New Mexico and Arizona. The flow aloft over California is out of the southwest, ensuring the monsoonal flow will remain to our east. The warm, descending air mass now has the marine layer crushed down to 1,100 feet at Monterey. Both Santa Maria and Vandenberg are reporting dense ground fog which indicates the marine layer is right on the beach, ensuring that sea breeze will have no affect in the valley. Winds at Fairfield at Travis AFB are light and variable. The bottom line is, we have another five days of triple digits to muddle through before the high weakens enough to allow modified marine air to move down the valley. This will likely occur next Friday. Temperatures by next Friday and through the weekend will back off into the mid to upper 90s.
Forecast: Mostly clear and hot through Thursday. Mostly clear Thursday night through Saturday with a cooling trend.
Short Term:
Madera 106/65/106/67/107 | Reedley 105/65/106/66/107 | Dinuba 104/64/105/65/107 |
Porterville 105/64/106/65/107 | Lindsay 105/63/106/64/106 | Delano 107/67/107/68/106 |
Bakersfield 105/76/105/77/106 | Taft 104/78/105/79/105 | Arvin 106/71/106/72/107 |
Lamont 105/70/105/71/107 | Pixley 105/67/105/68/106 | Tulare 104/67/104/67/105 |
Woodlake 104/67/104/68/105 | Hanford 105/66/107/67/107 | Orosi 103/64/104/65/104 |
Seven Day Forecast
Tuesday
Mostly clear 67/105 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 65/103 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 63/102 |
Friday
Mostly clear 61/99 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 60/97 |
Two Week Outlook: June 30 through July 6 This model is indicating a trough of low pressure will be more dominant over the eastern Pacific and the western US. A west to southwest flow aloft will be dominant, maintaining dry weather with below average temperatures.
June: This model shows a high center over New Mexico and Texas extending into California for marginally above average temperatures for the month with the usual dry conditions prevailing.
June, July, August: This model is hinting at a possible active monsoon season this year once we get into July and August. It’s possible we could see more than the usual amount of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada but the valley will be typically dry with above average temperatures.
Wind Discussion: Winds during the afternoons and evenings will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 mph through Tuesday. Winds during the night and morning hours will be variable to no more than 10 mph.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 65%/24% Porterville, 65%/21%. Midafternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Upper Mid to upper 40s. Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 40%, tomorrow 80%. Bakersfield: Today: 30% Tomorrow, 70%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.19, Parlier 1.94 Arvin 2.12, Orange Cove 2.18, Porterville 1.98, Delano 1.87. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Average Temperatures: 94/63. Record Temperatures: 110/51
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 526 +70. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.29 or -4.90. Monthly .T -.23
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.41 or -.92. Monthly, .01 -.04
Average Temperature this month: 77.0 +1.7 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier, Arvin, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Porterville. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 5:41, Sunset, 8:22, hours of daylight, 14.40
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 106 / 66 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 104 / 66 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 104 / 73 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 104 / 65 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 105 / 64 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1600 / 102 / 75 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 102 / 66 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DHM / 92 / 74 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 103 / 67 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1649 / 101 / 78 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / M / 69 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave 365
- STOCKTON 00 9.81 73 7.88 59 13.35 13.45
- MODESTO 00 8.99 74 7.12 58 12.19 12.27
- MERCED 00 7.44 63 7.00 60 11.75 11.80
- MADERA 00 2.21 21 1.56 15 10.75 10.79
- FRESNO 00 6.29 58 6.59 60 10.90 10.99
- HANFORD 00 6.34 79 4.29 53 8.07 8.13
- BAKERSFIELD 00 5.41 86 2.77 44 6.31 6.36
- BISHOP 00 4.75 107 1.62 36 4.46 4.84
- SALINAS 00 7.31 59 5.75 46 12.48 12.58
- PASO ROBLES 00 8.70 73 6.74 56 12.00 12.15
- SANTA MARIA 00 7.79 59 6.87 52 13.20 13.32
Next report: June 27
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.