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  • May 8, 2024 report May 8, 2024 Summary  High pressure aloft is  located 500 miles off the northern California coast. Low pressure is centered over Wyoming and the Dakotas…
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  • May 2, 2024 report May 2, 2024 Summary  upper level high pressure is upwelling ahead of a low pressure system located in the northeast Pacific. This will drive temperatures…
Forecast

July 13, 2022/report

July 13, 2022

Temperatures are running 2 to 4 degrees cooler than 24 hours ago. The marine layer has deepened to 2,500 feet deep and is surging through the Delta. Winds at Travis AFB are sustained at 27 mph, gusting to 32 mph while winds at Pacheco Pass are sustained at 18 mph. Readings this afternoon will drop into the upper 90s to possibly the lower 100s in Kern County. Today will be the coolest we’ll see for the next week as upper level high pressure over the Four Corners region expands westward, increasing pressures aloft over California. Satellite imagery this morning depicts an active monsoon moving from old Mexico and into the interior west. Over the weekend, enough of this flow will move into California for a chance of isolated thunderstorms over the high Sierra and possibly some high clouds over the valley floor.  Readings Saturday through Monday will soar into the 104 to 108 degree range.  The weather will continue hot through the middle of next week, if not beyond as blended model information shows a strong high remaining over the southwestern US and California. Now and through the next two weeks are, on the average, the hottest of the year with average temperatures now in the upper 90s.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear and hot through Sunday. Mostly clear and continued hot Sunday night through Wednesday.

 

Short Term:        

Madera 98/60/103/65/104 Reedley 99/62/104/66/105 Dinuba 99/60/103/66/104
Porterville 100/64/104/65/104 Lindsay 99/61/103/65/103 Delano 100/63/104/65/105
Bakersfield 101/75/103/77/105 Taft 99/75/102/78/103 Arvin 101/62/104/68/105
Lamont 100/68/104/70/105 Pixley 100/63/103/66/104 Tulare 99/60/103/65/104
Woodlake 99/60/102/65/104 Hanford 100/64/104/67/105 Orosi 99/61/104/65/105

 

Seven Day Forecast

Saturday

Mostly clear

67/105

Sunday

Mostly clear

69/106

Monday

Mostly clear

69/106

Tuesday

Mostly clear

67/104

Wednesday

Mostly clear

67/103

 

Two Week Outlook:  July 19 through July 25  This model shows upper level  high pressure shifting a bit further  east, allowing temperatures to move to somewhat near seasonal levels. Typical dry conditions will continue.

 

June:  This model shows a high center over New Mexico and Texas extending into California for marginally above average temperatures for the month with the usual dry conditions prevailing.

 

June, July, August: This model is hinting at a possible active monsoon season this year once we get into July and August. It’s possible we could see more than the usual amount of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada but the valley will be typically dry with above average temperatures.

 

Wind Discussion: During the afternoon and evening hours, winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with locally stronger gusts. During the late evening through the morning hours, winds will be variable to 10 mph with periods of near calm conditions through Saturday.

 

Rain:  Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.

 

Frost:  All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, NA%/NA% Porterville, NA%/NA%. Midafternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s.  Kern: Low to mid 50s. Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%.  Bakersfield: Today : 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.20, Parlier 2.00 Arvin 2.17, Orange Cove 2.17, Porterville 1.93, Delano 1.89. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=noavailable

Seven day average soil temperatures: Stratford 73, Parlier 79, Arvin 79, Orange Cove na, Porterville 89, Delano 84.

Average Temperatures: 98/66.  Record Temperatures: 110/55

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  804 +95. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  6.29 or -4.64.  Monthly  .00 -.02

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season, 5.41 or  -.90.  Monthly,  ..00

Average Temperature this month: 79.8 -0.7 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier,  Arvin, Belridge, 1016, Shafter,  Stratford, Delano, Porterville.  Courtesy UC Davis 

Sunrise. 5:51, Sunset, 8:18, hours of daylight, 14.28

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 / 100 /  67 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 / 102 /  65 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 / 103 /  75 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 / 104 /  67 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 / 106 /  68 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 / 103 /  76 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 / 102 /  66 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DH1125 /   M /  73 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 / 103 /  69 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1700 / 102 /  80 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  96 /  68 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall:                                                   24h            Seas            %          LY              %             Ave             365

  1. STOCKTON 00    9.81    73    7.88    59    13.36    13.45
  2. MODESTO 00    8.99    74    7.12    58    12.20    12.27
  3. MERCED 00    7.44    63    7.00    60    11.75    11.80
  4. MADERA 00       M     M       M     M    10.76    10.79
  5. FRESNO 00    6.29    58    6.59    60    10.93    10.99
  6. HANFORD 00    6.34    78    4.29    53     8.08     8.13
  7. BAKERSFIELD             00    5.41    86    2.77    44     6.31     6.36
  8. BISHOP 00    4.75   104    1.62    36     4.55     4.84
  9. SALINAS T    31    59    5.79    46    12.49    12.58
  10. PASO ROBLES M       M     M       M     M        M    15
  11. SANTA MARIA 00 7.79    59    6.87    52    13.22    13.32

Next report: July 14

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.