August 10, 2022
The winds aloft have moved from southerly to southwesterly. This has bumped the monsoon eastward into Nevada. All this has been brought on by the slow northward movement of an upper low off the central Oregon coast and the slight eastward shift of upper level high pressure over the Desert Southwest. Pressures aloft above central California are just moderately high, thus temperatures will be reasonably warm for this time of year with most locations in the mid 90s this afternoon. Models indicate the high over the Desert Southwest will expand westward towards California over the weekend, bumping up temperatures to near the century mark by Saturday. The back and forth wobbling of the Four Corners high will once again shift the winds aloft southerly to possibly even southeasterly by Monday of next week. this will begin to transport moisture from the monsoon back into California with an increase in isolated thunderstorms over the mountains and deserts of southern California beginning this weekend and up the Sierra Nevada by Monday. these same models show the high further west than we’ve seen in recent weeks, so by the middle of next week we should see readings in the 101 to 105 degree range. Even the two week outlook is indicating above average temperatures with the continuation of the very active monsoon season we’ve seen this year. The marine layer along the coast remains shallow enough to prevent penetration into the valley and this will be the case for the next several days.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Friday. Mostly clear Friday night through Sunday with a slow warming trend. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Sunday night through Wednesday and becoming hot.
Short Term:
| Madera 94/61/98/65/100 | Reedley 96/63/99/65/99 | Dinuba 95/62/98/65/99 |
| Porterville 96/64/96/67/100 | Lindsay 95/60/99/64/100 | Delano 96/64/99/65/99 |
| Bakersfield 95/72/98/73/99 | Taft 95/73/97/74/99 | Arvin 97/68/99/71/101 |
| Lamont 96/68/99/71/100 | Pixley 95/64/98/65/99 | Tulare 94/60/97/64/99 |
| Woodlake 95/62/99/64/99 | Hanford 95/64/99/65/100 | Orosi 94/61/98/65/99 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Saturday
Mostly clear 65/101 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 66/100 |
Monday
Partly cloudy 67/101 |
Tuesday
Partly cloudy 68/102 |
Wednesday
Partly cloudy 69/103 |
Two Week Outlook: August 17 through August 23 This model shows a continuation of an active monsoon season over the Desert Southwest and occasionally California with daily chances of thunderstorms over the mountains and partly cloudy skies over the valley. Above average temperatures will continue.
August: This model is quite generic, indicating the same trend of high pressure resulting in generally above average temperatures for the month of August. Precipitation will be near average, which means very little to none. This model continues to show an active monsoon over the west which may visit California from time to time.
August, September, October: Upper level high pressure will be more dominant over the next few months, resulting in somewhat above average temperatures. This year’s monsoon, which has been an active one so far, will result in a continuation of above average precipitation over the Desert Southwest and possibly the Sierra Nevada.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be mainly out of the northwest afternoons and evenings at 5 to 12 mph through Saturday. Winds during the night and morning hours will be light to near calm.
Rain: Expect dry weather for at least the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, NA%/NA% Porterville, 82%/29%. Midafternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.03, Parlier 1.66, Arvin 2.03, Orange Cove .NA, Porterville 1.63, Delano 1.80. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 77, Parlier 82, Arvin, 82, Orange Cove 61, Porterville 93, Delano NA. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 97/66. Record Temperatures: 110/53
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1401 +234. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.34 or -4.60. Monthly ..05 +.05
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.01 or -.55. Monthly, -.15
Average Temperature this month: 85.7 +4.7 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 973, Parlier, 1129, Arvin, 953, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, 934 Stratford, 1116, Delano, 1113, Porterville, 1157. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 6:13, Sunset, 7:55, hours of daylight, 13:44
- MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 94 / 65 / 0.00 /
- MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 96 / 65 / 0.00 /
- FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 99 / 72 / 0.00 /
- HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 99 / 70 / 0.00 /
- NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 100 / 68 / 0.00 /
- BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 99 / 73 / 0.00 /
- ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DH1700 / 93 / 70 / 0.00 /
- PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 98 / 68 / 0.00 /
- TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1652 / 100 / 76 / 0.00 /
- LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 94 / 63 / 0.00 /
- Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave ave 365
- STOCKTON 00 9.81 73 7.88 59 13.36 13.45
- MODESTO 00 9.00 74 7.12 58 12.20 12.27
- MERCED 00 7.44 63 7.00 60 11.75 11.80
- MADERA 00 M M M M 10.76 10.79
- FRESNO 00 6.34 58 6.59 60 10.94 10.99
- HANFORD 00 6.36 79 4.29 53 8.09 8.13
- BAKERSFIELD 00 5.41 86 2.77 44 6.31 6.36
- BISHOP 00 5.63 120 1.68 36 4.68 4.84
- SALINAS 00 7.31 58 5.79 46 12.51 12.58
- PASO ROBLES 00 8.70 72 6.74 56 12.08 12.15
- SANTA MARIA 00 7.79 59 6.87 52 13.24 13.32
Next report: August 11
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.