August 31, 2022
A bubble of warm subsiding air will cap the valley for the next week or so, driving temperatures to excessively hot levels. At 5:00am, the temperature was 78 degrees at Sandburg at an elevation of 4,100 feet. Pressure patterns at the surface are just slightly onshore, but not enough to pull any modified marine air down the valley. The freezing level over Oakland has risen to 17,200 feet. Widespread triple digits will occur today. Beginning Thursday, hottest locations will be pushing 108 or so and possibly 110 Friday through Sunday. High resolution modeling indicates readings of 105 to 110 all the way through Wednesday of next week. The winds aloft will become south/southeast, however there’s only a limited amount of monsoon moisture available. It may be enough, though, for an isolated thunderstorm or two over the high Sierra this weekend. A trough of low pressure will finally begin to push into the Pacific Northwest and northern California next Thursday and Friday for a cooling trend as the marine layer finally deepens and moves through the Delta and down the valley.
Forecast: Mostly clear and hot through Friday. Mostly clear and extremely hot Friday night through Wednesday.
Short Term:
| Madera 102/65/105/68/107 | Reedley 103/66/107/68/109 | Dinuba 101/64/105/69/108 |
| Porterville 102/64/107/69/109 | Lindsay 101/63/107/68/109 | Delano 102/67/107/68/108 |
| Bakersfield 101/77/106/78/108 | Taft 101/79/105/82/107 | Arvin 103/71/107/73/110 |
| Lamont 103/71/106/73/109 | Pixley 103/68/105/70/107 | Tulare 101/63/106/67/107 |
| Woodlake 101/64/106/68/107 | Hanford 102/67/107/69/109 | Orosi 101/63/106/68/107 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Saturday
Mostly clear and hot 72/108 |
Sunday
Mostly clear and hot 72/107 |
Monday
Mostly clear and hot 73/108 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear and hot 74/109 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear and hot 73/109 |
Two Week Outlook: September 7 through September 12: This model continues to show hot weather for California. It also indicates the monsoon will be active, occasionally moving into California for chances of mountain storms and valley clouds.
August: This model is quite generic, indicating the same trend of high pressure resulting in generally above average temperatures for the month of August. Precipitation will be near average, which means very little to none. This model continues to show an active monsoon over the west which may visit California from time to time.
August, September, October: Upper level high pressure will be more dominant over the next few months, resulting in somewhat above average temperatures. This year’s monsoon, which has been an active one so far, will result in a continuation of above average precipitation over the Desert Southwest and possibly the Sierra Nevada.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be mainly out of the northwest afternoons and evenings at 5 to 12 mph through Saturday. Winds during the night and morning hours will be light to near calm.
Rain: Expect dry weather indefinitely.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 58%/24% Porterville, 64%/26%. Midafternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.86, Parlier 1.73, Arvin 2.03, Orange Cove .NA, Porterville 1.72, Delano 1.80. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 78, Parlier 81, Arvin, 83, Orange Cove 81, Porterville NA, Delano 85. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 95/63. Record Temperatures: 107/50
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1825 +337. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.34 or -4.60. Monthly ..05 +.05
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.01 or -.55. Monthly, -.T +.00
Average Temperature this month: 84.4 +4.4 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, , Parlier, , Arvin, , Belridge, , Shafter, Stratford, , Delano, , Porterville,. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 6:30, Sunset, 7:27, hours of daylight, 13:00
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 99 / 63 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / M / 61 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 103 / 71 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 103 / 68 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 103 / 67 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 100 / M / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 102 / 65 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DH1700 / M / 69 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 102 / 67 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1658 / 100 / 74 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 97 / 62 / 0.00 /
- Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave ave 365
STOCKTON 0.00 9.81 73 7.88 59 13.37 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 9.00 74 7.12 58 12.21 12.27
MERCED 0.00 7.44 63 7.00 60 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 M M M M 10.76 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 6.34 58 6.59 60 10.94 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 6.36 79 4.29 53 8.09 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 5.41 86 2.77 44 6.31 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 5.64 119 1.69 36 4.72 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 7.31 58 5.79 46 12.53 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 8.70 72 6.74 56 12.09 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 7.79 59 6.87 52 13.25 13.32
Next report: September 1, 2022
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.