September 1, 2022
The heat wave we are currently dealing with will rewrite the record books over the next week or so with temperatures near 110 at the hottest locations as early as Friday afternoon. Typically, hot weather is created as high pressure settles over the Four Corners region of the Desert Southwest, putting central California on the western flank of the high. This time around, however, very strong high pressure will center over Nevada and California, driving temperatures into record territory. It’s been a hot summer this year but some of the hottest weather will occur over the next five days. Currently, high resolution modeling indicates the hottest temperatures will occur Monday and Tuesday. The only advantage we have, which is minor, is the fact that dew points will range in the upper 40s and lower 50s, resulting in relative humidity down into the teens during the hottest part of the day. There are some high clouds over Kern County, however no thunderstorms are anticipated over the high Sierra due to a very strong cap. The latest balloon sounding over Oakland puts the freezing level at 17,600 feet. Sandburg, at an elevation of 4,100 feet was reporting 80 degrees at 4:00am, illustrating the hot air mass above the valley floor. I don’t really see any relief from the heat until Friday or Saturday when the high flattens out due to a weak low moving through the Pacific Northwest.
Forecast: Mostly clear and hot through Tuesday with the exception of a few high clouds. Mostly clear and continued hot Tuesday night through Thursday.
Short Term:
| Madera 106/67/108/71/107 | Reedley 105/68/108/70/107 | Dinuba 105/67/107/70/106 |
| Porterville 106/68/109/71/108 | Lindsay 106/66/108/71/107 | Delano 107/71/109/71/108 |
| Bakersfield 106/80/108/81/107 | Taft 105/82/106/82/105 | Arvin 108/73/110/74/108 |
| Lamont 107/73/109/74/107 | Pixley 106/70/108/71/107 | Tulare 105/67/107/70/107 |
| Woodlake 105/68/107/70/106 | Hanford 107/71/109/71/107 | Orosi 104/67/107/70/106 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Sunday
Mostly clear and hot 72/108 |
Monday
Mostly clear and hot 73/109 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear and hot 72/108 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear and hot 73/108 |
Thursday
Mostly clear and hot 71/106 |
Two Week Outlook: September 8 through September 13: This model continues to show hot weather for California. It also indicates the monsoon will be active, occasionally moving into California for chances of mountain storms and valley clouds.
August: This model is quite generic, indicating the same trend of high pressure resulting in generally above average temperatures for the month of August. Precipitation will be near average, which means very little to none. This model continues to show an active monsoon over the west which may visit California from time to time.
August, September, October: Upper level high pressure will be more dominant over the next few months, resulting in somewhat above average temperatures. This year’s monsoon, which has been an active one so far, will result in a continuation of above average precipitation over the Desert Southwest and possibly the Sierra Nevada.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be mainly out of the northwest afternoons and evenings at 5 to 12 mph through Sunday. Winds during the night and morning hours will be light to near calm.
Rain: Expect dry weather indefinitely.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 84%/24% Porterville, 69%/23%. Midafternoon dew points: Upper 40s to the lower 50s Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 90%/. Tomorrow, 90%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.86, Parlier 1.71, Arvin 2.01, Orange Cove .NA, Porterville 1.70, Delano 1.76. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 78, Parlier 81, Arvin, 83, Orange Cove 83, Porterville NA, Delano 85. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 95/63. Record Temperatures: 107/51
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1825 +337. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.34 or -4.60. Monthly ..05 +.05
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.01 or -.55. Monthly, -.T +.00
Average Temperature this month: 84.4 +4.4 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, , Parlier, , Arvin, , Belridge, , Shafter, Stratford, , Delano, , Porterville,. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 6:31, Sunset, 7:25, hours of daylight, 12:57
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 100 / 62 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 102 / 62 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 103 / 70 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 103 / 67 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 104 / 66 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 100 / 72 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 101 / 65 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 102 / 66 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1653 / 101 / 77 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 97 / 61 / 0.00 /
- Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave ave 365
STOCKTON 0.00 9.81 73 7.88 59 13.37 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 9.00 74 7.12 58 12.21 12.27
MERCED 0.00 7.44 63 7.00 60 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 M M M M 10.76 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 6.34 58 6.59 60 10.94 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 6.36 79 4.29 53 8.09 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 5.41 86 2.77 44 6.31 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 5.64 119 1.69 36 4.72 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 7.31 58 5.79 46 12.53 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 8.70 72 6.74 56 12.09 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 7.79 59 6.87 52 13.25 13.32
Next report: September 2, 2022
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.