September 23, 2022
A blanket of upper level high pressure now extends from Texas to California. Over the next 72 hours,, the high will link up with another high over the eastern Pacific and will build a ridge northward into the Pacific Northwest. At the surface, barometric pressure is a tad higher over the Great Basin that off shore, resulting in a weak off shore flow. The air aloft has certainly warmed up as the freezing level is now 15,500 feet. The marine layer is also becoming reestablished but is only 800 feet thick at Monterey. All of these factors will lead into a significant warming trend over the next few days. There is still enough relatively cool air for one more day of decent temperatures before we move into the 90s over the weekend and beyond. Longer term, models are showing a significant low off shore about a week from Wednesday, but for now late summer type weather is returning.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Tuesday. mostly clear skies will continue Tuesday night through Friday.
Short Term:
| Madera 88/54/94/60/97 | reedley 88/53/94/60/97 | Dinuba 87/55/91/59/95 |
| Porterville 88/54/94/64/97 | Lindsay 88/55/90/57/96 | Delano 88/58/95/61/97 |
| Bakersfield 87/62/93/67/95 | taft 87/62/92/68/95 | Arvin 88/55/91/57/97 |
| Lamont 89/62/95/65/97 | Pixley 88/58/95/62/97 | Tulare 87/53/94/60/97 |
| Woodlake 88/54/90/57/94 | Hanford 88/55/91/58/96 | Orosi 88/53/90/57/95 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Monday
Mostly clear 62/94 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 63/97 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 63/98 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 61/95 |
Friday
Mostly clear 60/91 |
Two Week Outlook: September 30 through October 6: This model is showing a significant low off the northern and central California coast early in the period which could mean a precipitation threat. A southwest flow will continue so expect a continuation of above average temperatures..
October: This model is really a flip of the coin as far as precipitation is concerned and shows no real bias for above or below average rainfall. It does indicate somewhat above average temperatures will continue.
October, November, December: This model definitely has a bias for above average temperatures for the next 90 days. It also points to above average rainfall for northern California with below average precipitation for southern California. With that in mind, that gives California near average precipitation.
Wind Discussion: Winds during the late morning through the early morning hours will be variable to no more than 12 mph. winds during the night and early morning hours will be generally at or less than 5 mph with periods of near calm conditions through Monday.
Rain: Expect dry weather through the end of the month. There is some indication of a fairly strong low moving into northern and central California around October 3. For now, this is just something I want to watch.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 92%/36% Porterville, 84%/34%. Midafternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.20, Parlier 1.09, Arvin 1.42, Orange Cove .*, Porterville 1.24, Delano 1.26. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 75, Parlier 75, Arvin, 77, Orange Cove 81, Porterville 82, Delano 80. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 89/59. Record Temperatures: 105/47
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 2195 +453. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.40 or -4.56. Monthly .05 -.04
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.41 or -.93. Monthly, -.01 -.03
Average Temperature this month: 80.7 +4.8 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, , Parlier, , Arvin, , Belridge, , Shafter, Stratford, , Delano, , Porterville,. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 6:48, Sunset, 6:53, hours of daylight, 12:06
Yesterday’s Weather:
- MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 81 / 57 / 0.03 /
- MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 79 / 60 / 0.19 /
- FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 81 / 64 / 0.03 /
- HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 84 / 62 / 0.02 /
- NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 83 / 62 / 0.03 /
- BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 84 / 73 / 0.00 /
- VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 83 / 62 / T /
- PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 84 / 62 / 0.00 /
- TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1649 / 81 / 64 / 0.00 /
- Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave ave 365
STOCKTON T 9.87 74 7.89 59 13.40 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 9.08 74 7.15 58 12.23 12.27
MERCED 0.00 7.64 65 7.00 59 11.77 11.80
MADERA 0.00 M M M M 10.77 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 6.40 58 6.59 60 10.96 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 6.38 79 4.29 53 8.10 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 5.41 85 2.77 44 6.34 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 6.73 141 1.69 35 4.79 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 7.38 59 5.79 46 12.55 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 9.08 75 6.74 56 12.11 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 9.63 72 6.88 52 13.29 13.32
Next report: Friday, September 24
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.