the low pressure responsible for the unsettled weather of the past few days is moving out of northern California and will be settling over Idaho this afternoon. The air mass in its wake is still mild so we have one more day of moderate temperatures. Even though this is the official first day of fall, the forecast will take us right back into summer as upper level high pressure over the Desert Southwest is expanding westward and northward. Temperatures will reach 90 as early as tomorrow afternoon then settle into the mid to upper 90s Saturday with similar conditions for the remainder of the weekend and well into next week. the only element of the weather we’ll have to watch closely for the short term is the monsoon which is alive and well, moving from Mexico into Arizona. Currently, the winds aloft are out of the southwest which will keep any tropical moisture to our east.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Monday. mostly clear skies will continue Monday night through Thursday.
Short Term:
| Madera 84/53/90/58/95 | Reedley 85/53/91/56/95 | Dinuba 84/54/90/57/95 |
| Porterville 86/54/91/57/96 | Lindsay 86/53/91/56/96 | Delano 84/56/92/58/96 |
| Bakersfield 84/62/91/67/97 | Taft 82/61/90/68/94 | Arvin 86/55/91/57/95 |
| Lamont 86/58/92/58/97 | Pixley 84/56/91/58/95 | Tulare 83/53/89/56/94 |
| Woodlake 84/52/90/56/95 | Hanford 86/55/92/57/96 | Orosi 83/52/89/56/95 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Sunday
Mostly clear 62/96 |
Monday
Mostly clear 61/96 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 63/97 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 64/98 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 63/95 |
Two Week Outlook: September 28 through October 4: This model shows a blanket of upper level high pressure over the eastern Pacific and California for above average temperatures. It also points to an active monsoon with moisture moving into Arizona and possibly southern California.
October: This model is really a flip of the coin as far as precipitation is concerned and shows no real bias for above or below average rainfall. It does indicate somewhat above average temperatures will continue.
October, November, December: This model definitely has a bias for above average temperatures for the next 90 days. It also points to above average rainfall for northern California with below average precipitation for southern California. With that in mind, that gives California near average precipitation.
Wind Discussion: Winds during the late morning through the early morning hours will be variable to no more than 12 mph. winds during the night and early morning hours will be generally at or less than 5 mph with periods of near calm conditions through Sunday.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 73%/33% Porterville, 84%/35%. Midafternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100
%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.21, Parlier 1.11, Arvin 1.43, Orange Cove .*, Porterville 1.24, Delano 1.27. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 75, Parlier 75, Arvin, 77, Orange Cove 82, Porterville 82, Delano 81. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 89/59. Record Temperatures: 104/41
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 2183 +453. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.40 or -4.56. Monthly .05 -.04
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.41 or -.93. Monthly, -.01 -.03
Average Temperature this month: 81.1 +5.1 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, , Parlier, , Arvin, , Belridge, , Shafter, Stratford, , Delano, , Porterville,. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 6:48, Sunset, 6:54, hours of daylight, 12:09
Yesterday’s Weather:
- MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 81 / 57 / 0.03 /
- MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 79 / 60 / 0.19 /
- FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 81 / 64 / 0.03 /
- HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 84 / 62 / 0.02 /
- NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 83 / 62 / 0.03 /
- BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 84 / 73 / 0.00 /
- VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 83 / 62 / T /
- PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 84 / 62 / 0.00 /
- TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1649 / 81 / 64 / 0.00 /
- Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave ave 365
STOCKTON T 9.87 74 7.89 59 13.40 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 9.08 74 7.15 58 12.23 12.27
MERCED 0.00 7.64 65 7.00 59 11.77 11.80
MADERA 0.00 M M M M 10.77 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 6.40 58 6.59 60 10.96 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 6.38 79 4.29 53 8.10 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 5.41 85 2.77 44 6.34 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 6.73 141 1.69 35 4.79 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 7.38 59 5.79 46 12.55 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 9.08 75 6.74 56 12.11 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 9.63 72 6.88 52 13.29 13.32
Next report: Friday, September 23
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.