September 30, 2022
The various features on this morning’s model information have changed very little over the past 24 hours, meaning our weather will change very little over the next several days. A ridge of high pressure covers the eastern Pacific Ocean with California parked on the eastern rim of the high while a weak upper low is situated over Idaho and Utah and it will move very little, as well. There won’t be much change in our weather over the next week to ten days. By Monday and Tuesday, the low will weaken further and will move into southern Canada, allowing the off shore ridge to move into the western US. This will result in a slow warming trend by the latter part of next week, but no excessive warming is anticipated. The air mass is very dry, so the combination of low humidity and temperatures in the 90s will make for excellent drying conditions. Today is the last day of the official rain fall season. It was another pitiful year with most locations receiving between a half and three quarters of an inch of normal.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Monday. Mostly clear skies will continue Monday night through Friday.
Short Term:
| Madera 92/57/91/58/91 | Reedley 92/60/91/60/92 | Dinuba 90/56/91/57/91 |
| Porterville 92/58/92/59/91 | Lindsay 91/55/91/56/92 | Delano 93/61/93/62/92 |
| Bakersfield 91/65/91/67/91 | Taft 90/68/91/68/92 | Arvin 93/65/93/64/93 |
| Lamont 92/65/92/66/93 | Pixley 92/58/92/59/92 | Tulare 91/57/92/57/92 |
| Woodlake 90/56/91/56/92 | Hanford 91/65/92/65/92 | Orosi 91/56/92/56/92 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Monday
Mostly clear 57/92 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 57/93 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 58/94 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 58/94 |
Friday
Mostly clear 59/93 |
Two Week Outlook: October 6 through October 12: This model doesn’t really give guidance for either above or below average rainfall, therefore the chance of rain will remain low. Temperatures will remain marginally above average.
October: This model is really a flip of the coin as far as precipitation is concerned and shows no real bias for above or below average rainfall. It does indicate somewhat above average temperatures will continue.
October, November, December: This model definitely has a bias for above average temperatures for the next 90 days. It also points to above average rainfall for northern California with below average precipitation for southern California. With that in mind, that gives California near average precipitation.
Wind Discussion: Winds during the late morning through the early morning hours will be variable to no more than 12 mph. winds during the night and early morning hours will be generally at or less than 5 mph with periods of near calm conditions through Monday.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 72%/25% Porterville, 89%/28%. Midafternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 90%, tomorrow 90%. Bakersfield: Today: 90%/. Tomorrow, 90%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.48, Parlier 1.28, Arvin 1.46, Orange Cove .*, Porterville 1.24, Delano 1.26. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 74, Parlier 76, Arvin, 77, Orange Cove 81, Porterville NA, Delano 80. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 86/57. Record Temperatures: 101/37
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 2266 +486. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.40 o=========r -4.58. Monthly .,04 -.02
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.41 or -.94. Monthly, -.01 -.05
Average Temperature this month: 80.1 +5.1 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, , Parlier, , Arvin, , Belridge, , Shafter, Stratford, , Delano, , Porterville,. courtesy UC Davis
6:44, hours of Sunset, 6:44, hours of daylight, 11:50 Sunset, 6:44, hours of daylight, 11:50
Yesterday’s Weather:
- CEc : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 90 / 59 / 0.00 /
- MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 90 / 57 / 0.00 /
- FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 92 / 64 / 0.00 /
- HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 92 / 59 / 0.00 /
- NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 92 / 61 / 0.00 /
- BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 89 / 67 / 0.00 /
- VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 90 / 57 / 0.00 /
- ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DHM / M / 63 / 0.00 /
- PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 91 / 60 / 0.00 /
- TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1651 / 90 / 68 / 0.00 /
- LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 88 / 61 / 0.00 /
Next report: Saturday, October 1
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.