October 7, 2022
The current weather pattern is spotted with small features that really don’t mean much. Feature one is a very weak cut off low off of northern Baja. There is also an upper air circulation over northern California. These two features are embedded within upper level high pressure over the west and east of the Pacific. The winds aloft are very light, favoring an easterly direction now. There is a limited amount of monsoon moisture working its way into southeast California. Enough of this mid and high level moisture may work its way up the Sierra Nevada for a minimal chance of isolated showers or thunderstorms over the back country. The marine layer is 1,400 feet deep this morning, but with a weak off shore flow there’s no possibility of a marine influx. A weak trough of low pressure will be over California by mid week and it should bring temperatures down to at least near seasonal averages, which are in the mid 80s by now. Beyond that, a big dome of high pressure shows up over the eastern Pacific and western US with a trough of low pressure east of the Rockies. This pattern will mean a continuation of dry weather and above average temperatures for at least the next 10 days.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Monday night. Mostly clear Monday night through Friday.
Short Term:
| Madera 94/56/94/57/93 | Reedley 95/56/95/56/94 | Dinuba 93/54/95/54/93 |
| Porterville 94/55/95/56/94 | Lindsay 93/53/95/54/94 | Delano 95/56/95/56/94 |
| Bakersfield 93/69/93/70/92 | Taft 93/71/93/70/92 | Arvin 95/61/95/62/94 |
| Lamont 94/60/95/61/94 | Pixley 94/58/94/58/92 | Tulare 93/55/93/55/92 |
| Woodlake 92/53/92/54/92 | Hanford 94/57/96/57/94 | Orosi 92/54/92/55/93 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Monday
Mostly clear 56/92 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 55/90
|
Wednesday
Mostly clear 54/89 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 53/87 |
Friday
Mostly clear 55/87 |
Two Week Outlook: October 13 through October 19: This model continues to depict a dry pattern for central California. Late season monsoon moisture will continue to move into Arizona and New Mexico. It appears this moisture will be too far to the southeast to affect central California. Temperatures will remain above seasonal averages.
October: This model is really a flip of the coin as far as precipitation is concerned and shows no real bias for above or below average rainfall. It does indicate somewhat above average temperatures will continue.
October, November, December: This model definitely has a bias for above average temperatures for the next 90 days. It also points to above average rainfall for northern California with below average precipitation for southern California. With that in mind, that gives California near average precipitation.
Wind Discussion: Winds during the late morning through the early morning hours will be variable to no more than 12 mph. winds during the night and early morning hours will be generally at or less than 5 mph with periods of near calm conditions through Monday.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 84%33%, Porterville, 92%/32%. Midafternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.30, Parlier 1.17, Arvin 1.35, Porterville 1.14, Delano 1.11. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 73, Parlier 75, Arvin, 76, Porterville 81, Delano 79. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 83/55. Record Temperatures: 97/39
Heating Degree Days This Season. 0 -8. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, .00 -.05 Monthly .,00 -.05
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, .00 or -.02. Monthly, -.00 -.02
Average Temperature this month: 74.3 +5.1 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, , Parlier, , Arvin, , Belridge, , Shafter, Stratford, , Delano, , Porterville,. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 7:00, Sunset, 6:32, hours of daylight, 11:34
Yesterday’s Weather:
- MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 96 / 55 / 0.00 /
- MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 95 / 57 / 0.00 /
- FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 94 / 64 / 0.00 /
- HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 96 / 56 / 0.00 /
- NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 97 / 58 / 0.00 /
- BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 94 / 67 / 0.00 /
- VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 93 / 59 / 0.00 /
- ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DHM / M / 63 / 0.00 /
- PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 95 / 61 / 0.00 /
- TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1652 / 95 / 70 / 0.00 /
- LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 94 / M / M /
Rainfall totals from October 1st through September 30th
24h sea % L.Y % ave 365
STOCKTON 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.07 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 0.00 0 T 0 0.05 12.27
MERCED 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.06 11.80
MADERA 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.04 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.05 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.05 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.02 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.07 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.06 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.06 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 0.00 0 T 0 0.05 13.32
Next report: Saturday, October 8
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.v