October 8, 2022
In the broad picture, upper level high pressure covers the eastern Pacific northward into the Pacific Northwest while a very weak cut off low is centered over northern Baja, or northwest Sonora. There is a great deal of cloud cover over northern Arizona and New Mexico via a very late season monsoon flow. A limited amount of this moisture has moved into southeast California. Beginning tomorrow afternoon, it’s possible enough moisture may creep up the Sierra Nevada for a chance of light showers or isolated thunderstorms. We may see mid and high level clouds over the valley floor beginning Monday, but no precipitation is expected. A second, very weak upper air feature will drop southward from Idaho into northern California and will slowly drift southward over California during the week. this feature will lower pressure aloft somewhat, allowing temperatures to move down into the upper 80s by mid week. even so, that’s several degrees above average for this time of year. The average for Fresno, for example, for this morning is a high of 82 with a low of 57. It’s been so warm for so long under this drought pattern that it almost seems like it’s still summer time. Fortunately, over the rural areas of the valley, the longer nights cool off nicely.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Tuesday. Mostly clear Tuesday night through Saturday.
Short Term:
| Madera 94/55/93/54/89 | Reedley 95/56/94/54/91 | Dinuba 93/53/93/53/90 |
| Porterville 95/57/94/54/91 | Lindsay 94/54/93/53/89 | Delano 96/56/94/54/91 |
| Bakersfield 94/68/93/67/89 | Taft 94/70/93/70/89 | Arvin 96/62/93/61/91 |
| Lamont 95/62/93/59/92 | Pixley 94/56/92/55/90 | Tulare 93/53/92/53/89 |
| Woodlake 94/55/92/54/91 | Hanford 96/56/94/55/91 | Orosi 93/53/92/52/88 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Tuesday
Mostly clear 53/89 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 53/89 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 52/88 |
Friday
Mostly clear 53/88 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 52/89 |
Two Week Outlook: October 14 through October 20: This model continues to depict a dry pattern for central California. Late season monsoon moisture will continue to move into Arizona and New Mexico. It appears this moisture will be too far to the southeast to affect central California. Temperatures will remain above seasonal averages.
October: This model is really a flip of the coin as far as precipitation is concerned and shows no real bias for above or below average rainfall. It does indicate somewhat above average temperatures will continue.
October, November, December: This model definitely has a bias for above average temperatures for the next 90 days. It also points to above average rainfall for northern California with below average precipitation for southern California. With that in mind, that gives California near average precipitation.
Wind Discussion: Winds during the late morning through the early morning hours will be variable to no more than 12 mph. winds during the night and early morning hours will be generally at or less than 5 mph with periods of near calm conditions through Tuesday.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 84%33%, Porterville, 91%/23%. Midafternoon dew points: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.. Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.29, Parlier 1.14, Arvin 1.35, Porterville 1.14, Delano 1.09. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 73, Parlier 75, Arvin, 76, Porterville 81, Delano 79. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 82/54. Record Temperatures: 99/35
Heating Degree Days This Season. 0 -8. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, .00 -.06 Monthly .,00 -.06
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, .00 or -.02. Monthly, -.00 -.02
Average Temperature this month: 74.5 +5.6 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, , Parlier, , Arvin, , Belridge, , Shafter, Stratford, , Delano, , Porterville,. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 7:01, Sunset, 6:34, hours of daylight, 11:32
Yesterday’s Weather:
- MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 95 / 55 / 0.00 /
- MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 94 / 55 / 0.00 /
- FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 95 / 63 / 0.00 /
- HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 95 / 58 / 0.00 /
- NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 97 / 59 / 0.00 /
- BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 94 / 68 / 0.00 /
- VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 93 / 58 / 0.00 /
- ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DHM / M / 65 / M /
- PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 95 / 61 / 0.00 /
- TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1650 / 94 / 73 / 0.00 /
- LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 94 / M / M /
Rainfall totals from October 1st through September 30th
24h sea % L.Y % ave 365
STOCKTON 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.08 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 0.00 0 T 0 0.06 12.27
MERCED 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.07 11.80
MADERA 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.05 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.06 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.06 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.02 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.08 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.07 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.07 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 0.00 0 T 0 0.06 13.32
Next report: Monday, October 10
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.