October 25, 2022
Weak upper level high pressure will be above California today, allowing temperatures to warm a bit above yesterday’s readings. Most locations this afternoon will run in the mid to upper 70s. The air aloft has warmed a great deal over the past 24 hours. Yesterday, the balloon sounding over Oakland was 6,700 feet. The latest sounding indicated a level of 12,700 feet. The progressive pattern will be with us for the remainder of the week as a weak trough moves through the Pacific Northwest for a minor cooling trend. Readings will fall back Wednesday and Thursday then rise again Friday and Saturday. Overall, however, these will be minor fluctuations as systems move through the Pacific Northwest with only higher level clouds over the valley from time to time. Medium range models are inconclusive for early November. The GFS model for November 1 and 2 shows a robust low off the central and southern California coast, spreading precipitation over the valley with possibly more activity beyond November 2. Let’s keep our fingers crossed
Forecast: Other than occasional high clouds, skies will be mostly clear through Friday. The same for Friday night through Tuesday with mostly clear skies.
Short Term:
| Madera 76/42/71/41/74 | Reedley 77/43/73/42/73 | Dinuba 75/41/71/40/73 |
| Porterville 78/43/73/42/73 | Lindsay 77/40/72/43/73 | Delano 78/44/72/45/74 |
| Bakersfield 75/51/70/47/72 | Taft 74/53/70/48/72 | Arvin 78/48/72/49/75 |
| Lamont 77/47/74/48/74 | Pixley 76/43/72/43/73 | Tulare 75/41/72/41/73 |
| Woodlake 76/42/72/42/74 | Hanford 77/44/73/44/74 | Orosi 76/42/72/42/73 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Friday
Mostly clear 43/74 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 44/78 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 46/76 |
Monday
Mostly clear 45/77 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 45/74 |
Two Week Outlook: October 31 through November 6 this model is really no help in determining the chance of precipitation for the valley. Temperatures are projected to be marginally above average.
November: Both the 30 and 90 day projections indicate a swath of below average rainfall from southern California eastward to Texas with above average precipitation over the Pacific Northwest. Much of northern California is projected to have near average rainfall. Temperatures will remain marginally above average.
November, December, January: The 90 day model also projects lower than average precipitation from southern California through Texas with above average precipitation over the Pacific Northwest. Northern and north/central California are projected to have near average precipitation with marginally above average temperatures.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be generally variable to no more than 10 mph during the late morning through the afternoon hours. Winds during the overnight hours will be light to near calm.
Rain: It still appears dry weather will continue through the end of the month. Once we get into November, models begin to diverge. One model shows a significant storm off the southern and central California coast, spreading precipitation over central California. Later in the week, a system is projected to move out of the Gulf of Alaska and will spread rain over California. Other models, though, show just the opposite, showing dry weather through the period. It’ll be interesting to see if other models trend towards the wet solution. For now, though, we’ll keep the forecast dry.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 78%22%, Porterville, 93%/24%. Midafternoon dew points: Upper 20s to the lower 30s. Kern: Low to mid 30s. Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 80%, tomorrow 80%. Bakersfield: 90%, tomorrow 90%.\
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 97, Parlier, 81, Arvin 1.06, Porterville, 85, Delano 83.
Tomorrow, 90. Seven day soil temperature
Stratford.70, Parlier 69, Arvin, 73, Porterville 75, Delano 74. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 75/49. Record Temperatures: 91/36
Heating Degree Days This Season. 14 -36. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, .00 -.37, Monthly .,00 -.37
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, .00 or -.17. Monthly, -.00 -.17
Average Temperature this month: 71.2 +5.3, Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, , Parlier, , Arvin, , Belridge, , Shafter, Stratford, , Delano, , Porterville,. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 7:17, Sunset, 6:08, hours of daylight, 10:54
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 73 / 39 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 72 / 39 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 73 / 47 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 74 / 37 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 75 / 39 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 72 / 50 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 73 / 40 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DHM / M / M / M /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 74 / 43 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1641 / 71 / 53 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 74 / 40 / 0.00 /
Rainfall totals from October 1st through September 30th
STOCKTON 0.00 0.00 0 0.45 107 0.42 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 0.00 0 0.49 148 0.33 12.27
MERCED 0.00 0.00 0 0.16 41 0.39 11.80
MADERA 0.00 0.00 0 0.06 24 0.25 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 0.00 0 0.41 121 0.34 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 0.00 0 0.09 31 0.29 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.00 0 0.03 19 0.16 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 T 0 T 0 0.26
SALINAS 0.00 0.01 3 0.21 57 0.37 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 0.00 0 0.02 6 0.34 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 T 0 T 0 0.31 13.32
Next report: Wednesday, October 26
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.