November 22, 2022
Temperatures have been below average, especially at night. Warmer than average temperatures will finally begin over the holiday weekend. It’s unclear just what temperatures will be like next week as the high will break down Sunday night allowing two weather systems to affect central California. The first will arrive Tuesday morning, however precipitation ahead of the system could produce rain Monday afternoon or night. The second low will drop southward parallel to the coastline and park off the coast of the Pacific Northwest then southward into northern California Thursday night and Friday. The air behind this system has its origins in the Gulf of Alaska so we will have to watch temperatures once this system moves through.. the GFS model shows it moving southward parallel to the coast then will retrograde further off shore. It will finally move inland, but not until after next weekend. At any rate, rain is on the way. Expect the blessing of raindrops and mountain snow the few times we receive it.
Forecast: Variable high and mid level clouds through Tuesday. Mostly clear Wednesday night through the holiday weekend. Increasing cloudiness Monday with a chance of rain in the afternoon. Rain likely Monday night and Tuesday.
Short Term:
| Madera 30/65/31/69 | Reedley 30/65/31/68 | Dinuba 29/65/31/69 |
| Porterville 29/65/31/68 | Lindsay 29/64/29/68 | Delano 31/65/32/69 |
| Bakersfield 41/67/42/68 | Taft 41/58/41/67 | Arvin 35/68/35/70 |
| Lamont 36/69/37/71 | Pixley 29/65/31/69 | Tulare 30/66/31/68 |
| Woodlake 30/65/31/69 | Hanford 31/67/32/70 | Orosi 30/65/30/68 |
Wind Discussion: Winds during the late morning and afternoon hours will be generally less than 7 mph with periods of near calm conditions. During the night through midmorning hours, winds will be generally less than 5 mph with extended periods of near calm conditions.
Rain: This afternoon’s models don’t picture as much rain as earlier models had indicated. Even so the first storm will spread precipitation into the area as early as Monday afternoon, continuing on and off through Tuesday. There will be a chance of showers Tuesday night through Friday.
Frost: It’s possible lows tonight may be a bit warmer than anticipated. I lean low just to play it safe, but cloud cover will enter the picture for the first time in a while. If they stay together, the radiational cooling process will be inhibited, resulting in milder overnight lows. Since every night this month has been a frost night, if clouds do remain above and give that protective blanket, causing lows to be above freezing. However, if they open up into clear skies, expect pretty much the same theme. Models still indicate warmer conditions for the holiday weekend. They show lows trying to climb, however minimum temperatures are always harder to forecast.
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella
30 |
Porterville
30 |
Ivanhoe
28 |
Woodlake
30 |
| Strathmore
30 |
McFarland
28 |
Ducor
31 |
Tea Pot Dome
30 |
| Lindsay
28 |
Exeter
28 |
Famoso
30 |
Madera
29 |
| Belridge
29 |
Delano
30 |
North Bakersfield
31 |
Orosi
30 |
| Orange Cove
30 |
Lindcove
29 |
Lindcove Hillside
Af |
Sanger River Bottom
27 |
| Root Creek
30 |
Venice Hill
30 |
Rosedale
31 |
Jasmine
29 |
| Arvin
Af |
Lamont
Af |
Plainview
30 |
Mettler
33 |
| Edison
Af |
Maricopa
30 |
Holland Creek
33 |
Tivy Valley
30 |
| Kite Road South
33 |
Kite Road North
30 |
AF=Above Freezing
Next report: November 23 morning
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.