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Forecast

December 1, 2022 afternoon report

December 1, 2022

As of the time of this writing, it was raining steadily north of roughly a Hanford/Tulare line. Heavy amounts of rain and snow are falling from the Tule River northward to Lake Tahoe. A cold front extends from roughly Marysville southwestward through San Jose and from there out to sea. A strong rain shadow extends from roughly Avenal in the south to almost southwestern Merced County. The heaviest portion of this event is right ahead of the cold front which is a couple of hours behind schedule, but it will move southward from about now through the morning commute Friday. Judging from Doppler radar, impressive amounts of precipitation will be tallied up by the time this storm leaves tomorrow morning.

 

It’ll be a short reprieve, however, as storm number two is on schedule to produce more precipitation on and off from Saturday to possibly even Monday morning. This system is of interest on computer models as there’s a rather odd configuration. The main area of low pressure will move to a position off the northern California coast over the weekend, but before it does, a shaft of subtropical moisture will move inland from roughly Santa Barbara on the south to possibly Monterey on the north then northeastward through the San Joaquin Valley from there. Then, precipitation will spread over all of northern and central California by Saturday night with periods of rain from Sunday all the way into Monday. this is a colder type storm, originating in the Gulf of Alaska, so snow levels will be pretty low. Unlike its predecessor, this one will be a slow mover so the chance of another round of significant precipitation would not be a surprise at all.

 

The air mass behind the second system is cold, but it’ll be Tuesday before we have to concern ourselves with frost due to the current active weather pattern. the current storm is one you’d like to bottle then clone it for more, similar, storms throughout the winter. Incidentally, today is the first day of meteorological winter which runs through February 28. We’re off to a magnificent start.

 

Forecast: Rain tonight, possibly locally heavy at times. Rain through roughly 9:00 Friday morning. Becoming mostly to partly cloudy Friday and Friday night. Periods of rain late Friday night through midday Monday. mostly to partly cloudy Monday afternoon and night. Becoming mostly clear by midday Tuesday through Thursday with increasing amounts of fog and low clouds.

 

Short Term:        

Madera 39/54/39/61 Reedley 40/53/40/59 Dinuba 39/54/39/58
Porterville 40/52/39/60 Lindsay 40/54/38/61 Delano 41/55/40/62
Bakersfield 43/55/44/62 Taft 41/52/43/62 Arvin 41/55/42/62
Lamont 41/55/41/61 Pixley 40/54/41/61 Tulare 39/53/39/60
Woodlake 40/54/39/61 Hanford 41/53/40/59 Orosi 39/53/38/58

 

Wind Discussion: Winds tonight will be out of the southeast at 8 to 15 mph with local gusts to near 20 mph before midnight.. winds will become out of the northwest tonight at 10 to 20 mph, decreasing Friday. Winds Friday night will be light and variable then will be out of the southeast at 8 to 15 mph with stronger gusts Saturday.

 

Rain: As of the time of this writing, rain was widespread from roughly the Bay Area southward to Santa Maria along the coast and from roughly a Hanford/Tulare line in the valley. A rain shadow shows up nicely along the west side of the valley, basically parallel to Interstate 5. As the cold front moves steadily southeastward, so will the precipitation. Rain will reach the Bakersfield area during the late afternoon to early evening. Precipitation should continue through the night, through roughly Friday’s morning commute.

 

Rainfall amounts from this first storm should range from .50 to .75 on the east side of the valley from roughly Porterville north with .25 to .33 along the west side and upwards of .25 over the valley portion of Kern County.

 

Friday, and most of Friday night will be dry, then look for periods of rain from Friday night through the weekend and, if models are accurate, well into Monday. isolated thunderstorms will be possible, especially Saturday afternoon and evening.

 

Rainfall amounts from storm number 2 should total another .50 to .75 over much of the valley north of Kern County and possibly roughly .25 over the valley portion of Kern Count.

 

Dry weather will return Monday afternoon and should hold through all of next week.

 

Frost:  All locations will be above 32 degrees tonight and each night through Monday morning. The air mass behind Sunday and Monday’s storm system is quite cold. Beginning Tuesday morning, low to midi 30s will be likely with colder locations dipping into the upper 20s. More locations will dip into the 27 to 30 degree range Wednesday through Friday. We will be operating with a different set of rules than those in place for much of November. With plenty of soil moisture and one of our winter time high pressure ridges capping the valley, fog and low clouds will increase in scope as the week wares on. We’re early in the fog season, however, we are deep enough for fog to potentially take over, in which case above freezing temperatures would prevail.

 

Lows Tonight:

Terra Bella

Af

Porterville

af

Ivanhoe

af

Woodlake

af

Strathmore

af

McFarland

af

Ducor

af

Tea Pot Dome

af

Lindsay

af

Exeter

af

Famoso

af

Madera

af

Belridge

af

Delano

af

North Bakersfield

af

Orosi

af

Orange Cove

af

Lindcove

af

Lindcove Hillside

af

Sanger River Bottom

af

Root creek

af

Venice Hill

af

Rosedale

af

Jasmine

af

Arvin

af

Lamont

af

Plainview

af

Mettler

af

Edison

af

Maricopa

af

Holland Creek

af

Tivy Valley

af

Kite Road South

af

Kite Road North

af

AF=Above Freezing

 

Next report: December 2 morning

 

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.

December 1, 2022

As of the time of this writing, it was raining steadily north of roughly a Hanford/Tulare line. Heavy amounts of rain and snow are falling from the Tule River northward to Lake Tahoe. A cold front extends from roughly Marysville southwestward through San Jose and from there out to sea. A strong rain shadow extends from roughly Avenal in the south to almost southwestern Merced County. The heaviest portion of this event is right ahead of the cold front which is a couple of hours behind schedule, but it will move southward from about now through the morning commute Friday. Judging from Doppler radar, impressive amounts of precipitation will be tallied up by the time this storm leaves tomorrow morning.

 

It’ll be a short reprieve, however, as storm number two is on schedule to produce more precipitation on and off from Saturday to possibly even Monday morning. This system is of interest on computer models as there’s a rather odd configuration. The main area of low pressure will move to a position off the northern California coast over the weekend, but before it does, a shaft of subtropical moisture will move inland from roughly Santa Barbara on the south to possibly Monterey on the north then northeastward through the San Joaquin Valley from there. Then, precipitation will spread over all of northern and central California by Saturday night with periods of rain from Sunday all the way into Monday. this is a colder type storm, originating in the Gulf of Alaska, so snow levels will be pretty low. Unlike its predecessor, this one will be a slow mover so the chance of another round of significant precipitation would not be a surprise at all.

 

The air mass behind the second system is cold, but it’ll be Tuesday before we have to concern ourselves with frost due to the current active weather pattern. the current storm is one you’d like to bottle then clone it for more, similar, storms throughout the winter. Incidentally, today is the first day of meteorological winter which runs through February 28. We’re off to a magnificent start.

 

Forecast: Rain tonight, possibly locally heavy at times. Rain through roughly 9:00 Friday morning. Becoming mostly to partly cloudy Friday and Friday night. Periods of rain late Friday night through midday Monday. mostly to partly cloudy Monday afternoon and night. Becoming mostly clear by midday Tuesday through Thursday with increasing amounts of fog and low clouds.

 

Short Term:        

Madera 39/54/39/61 Reedley 40/53/40/59 Dinuba 39/54/39/58
Porterville 40/52/39/60 Lindsay 40/54/38/61 Delano 41/55/40/62
Bakersfield 43/55/44/62 Taft 41/52/43/62 Arvin 41/55/42/62
Lamont 41/55/41/61 Pixley 40/54/41/61 Tulare 39/53/39/60
Woodlake 40/54/39/61 Hanford 41/53/40/59 Orosi 39/53/38/58

 

Wind Discussion: Winds tonight will be out of the southeast at 8 to 15 mph with local gusts to near 20 mph before midnight.. winds will become out of the northwest tonight at 10 to 20 mph, decreasing Friday. Winds Friday night will be light and variable then will be out of the southeast at 8 to 15 mph with stronger gusts Saturday.

 

Rain: As of the time of this writing, rain was widespread from roughly the Bay Area southward to Santa Maria along the coast and from roughly a Hanford/Tulare line in the valley. A rain shadow shows up nicely along the west side of the valley, basically parallel to Interstate 5. As the cold front moves steadily southeastward, so will the precipitation. Rain will reach the Bakersfield area during the late afternoon to early evening. Precipitation should continue through the night, through roughly Friday’s morning commute.

 

Rainfall amounts from this first storm should range from .50 to .75 on the east side of the valley from roughly Porterville north with .25 to .33 along the west side and upwards of .25 over the valley portion of Kern County.

 

Friday, and most of Friday night will be dry, then look for periods of rain from Friday night through the weekend and, if models are accurate, well into Monday. isolated thunderstorms will be possible, especially Saturday afternoon and evening.

 

Rainfall amounts from storm number 2 should total another .50 to .75 over much of the valley north of Kern County and possibly roughly .25 over the valley portion of Kern Count.

 

Dry weather will return Monday afternoon and should hold through all of next week.

 

Frost:  All locations will be above 32 degrees tonight and each night through Monday morning. The air mass behind Sunday and Monday’s storm system is quite cold. Beginning Tuesday morning, low to midi 30s will be likely with colder locations dipping into the upper 20s. More locations will dip into the 27 to 30 degree range Wednesday through Friday. We will be operating with a different set of rules than those in place for much of November. With plenty of soil moisture and one of our winter time high pressure ridges capping the valley, fog and low clouds will increase in scope as the week wares on. We’re early in the fog season, however, we are deep enough for fog to potentially take over, in which case above freezing temperatures would prevail.

 

Lows Tonight:

Terra Bella

Af

Porterville

af

Ivanhoe

af

Woodlake

af

Strathmore

af

McFarland

af

Ducor

af

Tea Pot Dome

af

Lindsay

af

Exeter

af

Famoso

af

Madera

af

Belridge

af

Delano

af

North Bakersfield

af

Orosi

af

Orange Cove

af

Lindcove

af

Lindcove Hillside

af

Sanger River Bottom

af

Root creek

af

Venice Hill

af

Rosedale

af

Jasmine

af

Arvin

af

Lamont

af

Plainview

af

Mettler

af

Edison

af

Maricopa

af

Holland Creek

af

Tivy Valley

af

Kite Road South

af

Kite Road North

af

AF=Above Freezing

 

Next report: December 2 morning

 

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.

December 1, 2022

As of the time of this writing, it was raining steadily north of roughly a Hanford/Tulare line. Heavy amounts of rain and snow are falling from the Tule River northward to Lake Tahoe. A cold front extends from roughly Marysville southwestward through San Jose and from there out to sea. A strong rain shadow extends from roughly Avenal in the south to almost southwestern Merced County. The heaviest portion of this event is right ahead of the cold front which is a couple of hours behind schedule, but it will move southward from about now through the morning commute Friday. Judging from Doppler radar, impressive amounts of precipitation will be tallied up by the time this storm leaves tomorrow morning.

 

It’ll be a short reprieve, however, as storm number two is on schedule to produce more precipitation on and off from Saturday to possibly even Monday morning. This system is of interest on computer models as there’s a rather odd configuration. The main area of low pressure will move to a position off the northern California coast over the weekend, but before it does, a shaft of subtropical moisture will move inland from roughly Santa Barbara on the south to possibly Monterey on the north then northeastward through the San Joaquin Valley from there. Then, precipitation will spread over all of northern and central California by Saturday night with periods of rain from Sunday all the way into Monday. this is a colder type storm, originating in the Gulf of Alaska, so snow levels will be pretty low. Unlike its predecessor, this one will be a slow mover so the chance of another round of significant precipitation would not be a surprise at all.

 

The air mass behind the second system is cold, but it’ll be Tuesday before we have to concern ourselves with frost due to the current active weather pattern. the current storm is one you’d like to bottle then clone it for more, similar, storms throughout the winter. Incidentally, today is the first day of meteorological winter which runs through February 28. We’re off to a magnificent start.

 

Forecast: Rain tonight, possibly locally heavy at times. Rain through roughly 9:00 Friday morning. Becoming mostly to partly cloudy Friday and Friday night. Periods of rain late Friday night through midday Monday. mostly to partly cloudy Monday afternoon and night. Becoming mostly clear by midday Tuesday through Thursday with increasing amounts of fog and low clouds.

 

Short Term:        

Madera 39/54/39/61 Reedley 40/53/40/59 Dinuba 39/54/39/58
Porterville 40/52/39/60 Lindsay 40/54/38/61 Delano 41/55/40/62
Bakersfield 43/55/44/62 Taft 41/52/43/62 Arvin 41/55/42/62
Lamont 41/55/41/61 Pixley 40/54/41/61 Tulare 39/53/39/60
Woodlake 40/54/39/61 Hanford 41/53/40/59 Orosi 39/53/38/58

 

Wind Discussion: Winds tonight will be out of the southeast at 8 to 15 mph with local gusts to near 20 mph before midnight.. winds will become out of the northwest tonight at 10 to 20 mph, decreasing Friday. Winds Friday night will be light and variable then will be out of the southeast at 8 to 15 mph with stronger gusts Saturday.

 

Rain: As of the time of this writing, rain was widespread from roughly the Bay Area southward to Santa Maria along the coast and from roughly a Hanford/Tulare line in the valley. A rain shadow shows up nicely along the west side of the valley, basically parallel to Interstate 5. As the cold front moves steadily southeastward, so will the precipitation. Rain will reach the Bakersfield area during the late afternoon to early evening. Precipitation should continue through the night, through roughly Friday’s morning commute.

 

Rainfall amounts from this first storm should range from .50 to .75 on the east side of the valley from roughly Porterville north with .25 to .33 along the west side and upwards of .25 over the valley portion of Kern County.

 

Friday, and most of Friday night will be dry, then look for periods of rain from Friday night through the weekend and, if models are accurate, well into Monday. isolated thunderstorms will be possible, especially Saturday afternoon and evening.

 

Rainfall amounts from storm number 2 should total another .50 to .75 over much of the valley north of Kern County and possibly roughly .25 over the valley portion of Kern Count.

 

Dry weather will return Monday afternoon and should hold through all of next week.

 

Frost:  All locations will be above 32 degrees tonight and each night through Monday morning. The air mass behind Sunday and Monday’s storm system is quite cold. Beginning Tuesday morning, low to midi 30s will be likely with colder locations dipping into the upper 20s. More locations will dip into the 27 to 30 degree range Wednesday through Friday. We will be operating with a different set of rules than those in place for much of November. With plenty of soil moisture and one of our winter time high pressure ridges capping the valley, fog and low clouds will increase in scope as the week wares on. We’re early in the fog season, however, we are deep enough for fog to potentially take over, in which case above freezing temperatures would prevail.

 

Lows Tonight:

Terra Bella

Af

Porterville

af

Ivanhoe

af

Woodlake

af

Strathmore

af

McFarland

af

Ducor

af

Tea Pot Dome

af

Lindsay

af

Exeter

af

Famoso

af

Madera

af

Belridge

af

Delano

af

North Bakersfield

af

Orosi

af

Orange Cove

af

Lindcove

af

Lindcove Hillside

af

Sanger River Bottom

af

Root creek

af

Venice Hill

af

Rosedale

af

Jasmine

af

Arvin

af

Lamont

af

Plainview

af

Mettler

af

Edison

af

Maricopa

af

Holland Creek

af

Tivy Valley

af

Kite Road South

af

Kite Road North

af

AF=Above Freezing

 

Next report: December 2 morning

 

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.