December 2, 2022
Light rain is still occurring in a few areas of southeast Tulare County and over the valley portion of Kern County. The rain has temporarily ended over the rest of the region. Storm totals are as follows: Bakersfield .05, Mettler .14, Belridge .29, Twisselman .29, Delano .21, Kettleman .22, Huron .15, Reedley .55, Fresno .64. Madera .39, Merced .69, Visalia .34, Exeter .46, Porterville .25, Los Banos ..49. Most mountain locations ranged from 1 inch to 2.50 inches as of 6:00am.
No doubt between 1 and 3 feet of new snow has piled up over the higher elevations. The freezing level overnight was 4,500 feet so snow no doubt fell down to 3,500 feet near Yosemite.
Today will be dry after the residual showers end shortly. This next storm will also be a good rain producer for two reasons. First, the low is large in scope and second, it will be a slow mover. Initially, there will be two areas of moisture moving on shore. The first will be from roughly Santa Maria to Monterey as a blob of subtropical moisture moves on shore. The second will be from the Bay Area north, which will spread over all of northern and central California tonight. Once precipitation begins tonight, it will continue at times through Sunday night as the low slowly drags across California. Isolated thunderstorms are a possibility, especially if there are some breaks in the overcast which would destabilize the atmosphere even more. The Sierra Nevada should pick up another 2 to 4 feet of snow, so it appears skiing during the early part of the winter season will be excellent.
This low will finally shift into the interior west Sunday night, although some models show periods of showers all the way through Monday. it had appeared we would dry out for a while, but models are now showing another system moving through about Friday or so.
Forecast: Light showers ending shortly in Kern County. Otherwise it will be partly to mostly cloudy today. Periods of showers beginning tonight and lasting through Sunday night. Partly to mostly cloudy Monday with a light chance of showers. Partly cloudy Tuesday through Thursday with areas of night and morning fog and low clouds. Increasing cloudiness Thursday night leading to a chance of rain Friday.
Short Term:
| Madera 54/40/59/51/63 | Reedley 55/41/61/49/62 | Dinuba 55//42/62/49/63 |
| Porterville 54/42/59/49/61 | Lindsay 54/41/61/50/62 | Delano 55/44/58/49/62 |
| Bakersfield 55/50/63/53/62 | Taft 53/50/63/54/60 | Arvin 56/44/62/50/63 |
| Lamont 55/44/62/48/63 | Pixley 55/43/63/53/63 | Tulare 54/49/62/52/62 |
| Woodlake 54/48/63//54/62 | Hanford 55/44/58/49/62 | Orosi 53/44/62/51/63 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Monday
Slight chance of showers 42/63 |
Tuesday
Areas of fog/partly cloudy 35/59 |
Wednesday
Areas of fog/mostly clear 34/57 |
Thursday
Areas of fog/mostly clear 32/56 |
Friday
Patchy fog/chance of showers 34/56 |
Two Week Outlook: December 8 through December 14: This time around, this model is still showing the storm door being open during this period for a reasonably good chance of precipitation. These storms come from the Gulf of Alaska so temperatures will be chilly.
December: This model shows above average temperatures from the Desert Southwest through the southern half of California, including the valley. Precipitation is forecast to be above average in the Pacific Northwest and northern California and near average in central California.
December, January, February: This model predicts above average temperatures for most of California eastward all the way through the southeastward US with below average precipitation for much of California and the Desert Southwest while above average rainfall will occur over the Pacific Northwest eastward to the Great Lakes. This would be a pretty typical La Nina winter pattern.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be variable today to 15 mph. winds tonight through Sunday will be mainly out of the east to southeast at 8 to 15 mph with stronger gusts.
Rain: Most areas outside of the rain shadow locations picked up some decent amounts from the exiting storm. You’ll just get to take off the rain coat temporarily today as showers will again overtake the entire growing area tonight and Saturday. In fact, the rain machine will continue on and off through Sunday and possibly Sunday night. One model actually shows it remaining active through Monday. rain fall amounts from now through Sunday night should be substantial and range between .50 and 1.00 along the east side of the valley from roughly Porterville northward. Along the west side, amounts will range from .25 to .33 or so. Isolated thunderstorms will also be possible, in which case isolated pockets would measure more. Dry weather will arrive by Tuesday and continue through at least Thursday night. It now appears we may receive more pennies from heaven around Friday.
Frost: All locations will be well above freezing tonight and again Saturday night as tropical air again moves in from the southwest. Local frost will be possible Tuesday morning, although it now appears cloud cover and/or fog will keep conditions above freezing. We may see at or marginally below freezing conditions Wednesday and Thursday although much will be determined by fog conditions and residual cloud cover. We may very well see increasing cloudiness Friday. Nothing longer term suggests a pattern that would be of concern.
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella
Af |
Porterville
af |
Ivanhoe
af |
Woodlake
af |
| Strathmore
af |
McFarland
af |
Ducor
af |
Tea Pot Dome
af |
| Lindsay
af |
Exeter
af |
Famoso
af |
Madera
af |
| Belridge
af |
Delano
af |
North Bakersfield
af |
Orosi
af |
| Orange Cove
af |
Lindcove
af |
Lindcove Hillside
af |
Sanger River Bottom
af |
| Root creek
af |
Venice Hill
af |
Rosedale
af |
Jasmine
af |
| Arvin
af |
Lamont
af |
Plainview
af |
Mettler
af |
| Edison
af |
Maricopa
af |
Holland Creek
af |
Tivy Valley
af |
| Kite Road South
af |
Kite Road North
af |
AF=Above Freezing
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 94%/49% Porterville, 98%/59%
Midafternoon dew points: Mid to upper 40s. Kern: Mid to upper 40s
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today 20% tomorrow 0% Bakersfield: Today 10% tomorrow 20%
ET for the past seven days: Stratford .49 Parlier, .50 Arvin .54 Porterville .43 Delano .41
Soil temperatures: Stratford 56, Parlier 52 Arvin 54 Porterville .51, Delano 50 *=data missing.
Sky cover: Visalia 80% today, tomorrow 90% Bakersfield 90% today tomorrow 90%,
Average of the past seven days soil temperatures: Stratford 58, Parlier 54, Arvin 58, Porterville 52, Delano 50 *=data missing.
Soil Temperatures:
Average Temperatures: 58/38 Record Temperatures: 74/27
Heating Degree Days This Season. 534 +77 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 1.30, 147% of average, Monthly ..64
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: .67, 81% of average, Monthly: .01
Average Temperature This Month: 49.5 +1.5 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st Through February 28: Orange Cove 262, Parlier 345 Arvin 231 , Belridge 291, Shafter 299, Stratford 324, Delano 316, Porterville 332 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 6:55, Sunset, 4:43, hours of daylight, 9:49
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1600 / 53 / 43 / 0.21 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1600 / 55 / 39 / 0.20 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1500 / 54 / 45 / 0.16 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1600 / 55 / 44 / 0.01 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1600 / 58 / 45 / 0.05 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1600 / 54 / 43 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1600 / 56 / 44 / 0.03 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1600 / 59 / 43 / T /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1600 / 60 / 41 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 53 / M / M /
Rainfall totals from October 1st through September 30th
SEAS. % LY % AVE YEAR
STOCKTON 0.65 1.89 87 4.32 200 2.16 13.45
MODESTO 0.54 1.73 103 3.06 182 1.68 12.27
MERCED 0.21 1.20 70 1.99 116 1.71 11.80
MADERA 0.20 0.70 50 0.65 46 1.41 10.79
FRESNO 0.17 0.83 56 1.57 107 1.47 10.99
HANFORD 0.01 0.60 54 1.24 112 1.11 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.66 81 0.95 117 0.81 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 0.46 69 0.78 116 0.67 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 0.02 9 M M 0.23 2.20
SALINAS 0.26 1.72 90 2.19 114 1.92 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.28 0.99 67 1.58 107 1.48 12.15
SANTA MARIA T 0.99 58 1.40 82 1.70 13.32
Next report: December 2 afternoon
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.