January 14, 2023
Rainfall is widespread throughout central California at this hour. A warm front is moving on shore along the central California coast followed by a cold front which is still out to sea. Significant precipitation will continue to fall through the afternoon hours then will let up for a short time only to be followed by another round of significant precipitation tonight and Sunday. The rain will decrease Sunday evening with rain at times again Sunday night into Monday morning. Showers will finally decrease Monday evening then end later Monday night. The current rain rate is such that many locations will measure anywhere from .75 to 1.50 before this event is over Monday evening. Models continue to fall into line in calling for a dry pattern beginning Tuesday. Upper level high pressure will build from southwest to northeast over the eastern Pacific with a ridge building into the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia. This will set up a northerly flow down the west coast, wrapping around a low center over the Great Basin. By the weekend, the off shore high will build into the Gulf of Alaska, increasing the northerly flow into California. It does not appear at this time that excessively cold weather will arrive, however at mid week a colder air mass will infiltrate the region for below average temperatures beginning Wednesday and lasting for the remainder of the week. in fact, a relatively cold pattern will continue not just for the weekend, but well into the following week as well. A weak frontal system will move into northern California Thursday but it doesn’t look like precipitation will move any further south than about a Monterey/Merced line. So the long awaited end to the relentless rain is a bit more than 60 hours or more away.
Forecast: Showers with a chance of isolated thunderstorms tonight. A chance of rain Sunday morning, becoming likely during the afternoon. Rain likely Monday into Monday evening. Becoming partly cloudy Tuesday, Partly cloudy Tuesday night through Saturday with fog likely.
Temperatures:
Madera 45/55/45/54 | Reedley 46/57/47/56 | Dinuba 44/55/47/56 |
Porterville 46/54//47/56 | Lindsay 45/55/46/56 | Delano 46/56/47/55 |
Bakersfield 46/54/47/56 | Taft 46/53/46/55 | Arvin 46/56/45/54 |
Lamont 46/54/46/54 | Pixley 45//54/45/55 | Tulare 44/54/45/55 |
Woodlake 44/55/45/55 | Hanford 46/56/47/56 | Orosi 44/55/45/55 |
Wind Discussion: Winds will be generally out of the southeast at around 8 to 15 mph through this evening. Winds Sunday through Monday will be mainly out of the southeast at 8 to 15 mph with stronger gusts. Winds Monday night and Tuesday will be generally at or less than 6 mph with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain: it now appears likely that anywhere from .75 to 1.50 of rain will be likely along the east side from today through Monday. a good half inch or more is likely along the west side. Heavier amounts are possible, especially where thunderstorms occur. Dry weather will return Monday except for a slight chance of showers from Merced north Thursday. The remainder of the week will be dry.
Frost: Expect above average conditions.
Lows Tonight:
All locations will be above freezing tonight.
Next report: January 15 morning
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.