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Forecast

April 15, 2023 report

April 15, 2023 am

Summary: the warming trend that began yesterday will accelerate today and Sunday as a ridge of high pressure moves from west to east across California. Most locations will warm into the mid to upper 70s with perhaps warmest locations cracking the 80 degree mark Sunday afternoon.

A low pressure system currently in the Gulf of Alaska will move southeastward into the Pacific Northwest over the weekend then will sag into northern California late Monday through Wednesday. Iti appears showers will only spread over the northern 1/3 of California with some increase in clouds over California Sunday afternoon through Tuesday.

The main impact will be a significant cooling trend as readings will fall back into the lower 70s Tuesday and the mid to upper 60s Wednesday and Thursday. By Friday, the trough will be far enough to the east to allow high pressure to begin to build in from the eastern Pacific for the next warming trend. Some models show temperatures eclipsing the 80 degree mark by next Sunday.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear skies and warmer through Sunday. Partly cloudy Sunday night through Wednesday and cooler. Mostly clear Wednesday night through Saturday.

 

Temperatures:     

Madera

77/44/78/42/68

Reedley

79/46/79/43/70

Dinuba

77/45/78/42/69

Porterville

78/45/79/46/71

Lindsay

78/44/79/46/71

Delano

78/50/78/46/71

Bakersfield

77/52/79/51/71

Taft

77/54/78/50/72

Arvin

79/49/79/47/73

Lamont

78/48/78/47/72

Pixley

78/46/78/43/70

Tulare

77/44/78/43/69

Woodlake

78/45/79/46/70

Hanford

78/48/79/45/71

Orosi

77/44/78/43/69

 

Seven Day Forecast

Tuesday

Partly cloudy

40/68

Wednesday

Partly cloudy

38/68

Thursday

Mostly clear

37/69

Friday

Mostly clear

43/72

Saturday

Mostly clear

44/77

 

Two Week Outlook:  April 22 through April 28: This model shows a chance of above average precipitation for northern California. Central and southern California are rated in the “near average” category of rainfall for the season. Temperatures should also range close to seasonal averages.

 

April:  This model is showing a dominant westerly flow during the month, resulting in below average temperatures. The main storm track will be through the Pacific Northwest and the northern one-fourth of California. Central California is just south of that zone with predicted near average precipitation.

 

April, May, June:  The 90 day outlook calls for generally near to below average precipitation as we head into the dry season. The model doesn’t swing in either direction regarding temperatures, calling for near average temperatures.

 

Wind Discussion: Winds through tonight will be mainly out of the northwest at around 5 to 12 mph. By later Sunday afternoon winds will increase out of the northwest at 10 to 20 mph with stronger gusts  possible, mainly on the west side. There will be periods Monday through Tuesday of wind out of the northwest at 10 to 20 mph at times interspersed with periods of lighter winds.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry weather through at least the next 7 to 10 days

 

Mid afternoon dew points: Mid to upper 50s.  Kern: Mid to upper 50s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.40, Parlier, 1.29, Arvin 1.11, Porterville .NA, Delano 1.26 Soil temperatures: Stratford 56, Parlier 63, Arvin 62, Porterville NA, Delano 66 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 73/48  Record Temperatures: 96/35

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  5 -12 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  17.48, Monthly  .00

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 9.74, Monthly:  .00

Average Temperature This Month 58.0 -2.0 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st Through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 6:24, sunset, 7:34.  hours of daylight, 13:09

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H        L         R

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  71 /  40 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  72 /  38 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  72 /  47 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  74 /  38 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  74 /  37 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  72 /  46 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  71 /  41 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  72 /  39 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  70 /  44 / 0.00 /

 

 

STOCKTON                      0.00   22.87   187    9.08    74    12.22    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   19.30   176    8.78    80    10.98    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.07   190    6.71    63    10.59    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   10.83   111    1.71    18     9.74    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   17.48   178    5.99    61     9.81    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   14.48   197    5.80    79     7.34     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    9.74   169    5.01    87     5.75     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   13.66   339    4.75   118     4.03     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    1.06    63       M     M     1.67     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   13.71   117    6.91    59    11.67    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.51   179    8.48    74    11.44    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   23.18   186    7.40    60    12.43    13.32

 

Next report: April 17 am

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.