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Forecast

April 26, 2023 report

April 26, 2023 am

Summary:  California is now situated along the eastern flank of strong high pressure aloft. The center of the high is located several hundred miles off the central coast and is slowly moving eastward. Temperatures over the  higher elevations this morning are running roughly 5 degrees higher than 24 hours ago. The freezing level has risen to 13,800 feet. Along the coast, the marine layer has shrunk down to 1,100 feet. This is all signs of a significant warming trend. Warmest locations this afternoon will jump to near 90 then well into the 90s Thursday through Monday. I wouldn’t completely eliminate the chance of isolated hot spots hitting the century mark. We’ll see a transition Monday into a pattern which will drop temperatures 25 degrees by midweek. A low center in the Gulf of Alaska will drop south/southeast, centering over northwest California Monday.. some models place the center of circulation of this low right overhead Tuesday and Wednesday. Readings will drop from the mid to upper 90s Sunday to the lower 70s Wednesday. Showers will become likely over the Sierra Nevada Tuesday and Wednesday and we’ll continue to keep a slight chance of showers over the valley floor in the forecast. However, for now this late season storm seems pretty moisture starved.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear skies with a warming trend through Monday. partly cloudy Monday night. Variable cloudiness Tuesday through Wednesday with a slight chance of showers.

 

Temperatures:  

Madera

90/55/93/58/97

Reedley

90/56/93/58/96

Dinuba

89/55/92/57/95

Porterville

91/56/93/58/97

Lindsay

90/55/93/57/96

Delano

91/57/94/60/97

Bakersfield

90/63/93/65/95

Taft

89/64/92/66/93

Arvin

91/58/94/61/97

Lamont

91/57/93/61/96

Pixley

90/57/93/60/96

Tulare

89/55/92/56/95

Woodlake

89/55/92/57/95

Hanford

91/57/93/61/97

Orosi

89/54/92/56/95

 

Seven Day Forecast

Saturday

Mostly clear

61/98

Sunday

Mostly clear

62/97

Monday

Mostly clear

55/94

Tuesday

Slight chance of showers

47/79

Wednesday

Slight chance of showers

44/72

 

Two Week Outlook:  May 3 through May 9: This model is showing a late season low pressure system moving through California with a greater than average shot at precipitation during this period. Even so, temperatures will remain close to average.

 

April:  This model is showing a dominant westerly flow during the month, resulting in below average temperatures. The main storm track will be through the Pacific Northwest and the northern one-fourth of California. Central California is just south of that zone with predicted near average precipitation.

 

April, May, June:  The 90 day outlook calls for generally near to below average precipitation as we head into the dry season. The model doesn’t swing in either direction regarding temperatures, calling for near average temperatures.

 

Wind Discussion: during the afternoons and evenings, winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 mph through Saturday. During the night and morning hours, winds will be generally at or less than 7 mph with periods of near calm conditions.

 

Rain Discussion: Dry conditions will continue through Monday night. A cold moisture starved low pressure system will be nearby Tuesday and Wednesday of next week. showers appear likely over the Sierra Nevada although this far out, models show a very slight chance of showers over the valley floor. nevertheless, the risk factor is high enough to keep a slight chance of showers in the forecast over the valley floor Tuesday and Wednesday. By next Thursday, the storm will have moved into the Great Basin, returning us to a dry pattern.

 

Mid afternoon dew points: Mid to upper 40s.  Kern: Mid to upper 40s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.70, Parlier, 1.51, Arvin 1.56, Porterville .NA, Delano 1.47 Soil temperatures: Stratford 58, Parlier 65, Arvin 64, Porterville NA, Delano 69 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 77/50  Record Temperatures: 98/37

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  16 -18 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  17.48, Monthly  .00

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 9.74, Monthly:  .00

Average Temperature This Month 60.2 -0.9 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 6:10, sunset, 7:44.  hours of daylight, 13:32

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H        L         R

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  82 /  49 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  82 /  46 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  84 /  54 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  84 /  49 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  86 /  46 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  84 /  55 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  83 /  48 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  82 /  47 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1652 /  82 /  57 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  81 /  50 / 0.00 /

 

STOCKTON                      0.00   22.87   182    9.75    78    12.58    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   19.31   171    8.99    80    11.30    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.07   183    7.44    68    10.97    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   10.83   108    2.10    21    10.04    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   17.48   172    6.29    62    10.14    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   14.48   191    6.34    84     7.58     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    9.74   164    5.40    91     5.95     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   13.66   334    4.75   116     4.09     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    1.06    62       M     M     1.71     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   13.73   115    7.31    61    11.96    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.51   177    8.70    75    11.60    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   23.18   183    7.79    61    12.70    13.32

 

 

Next report: April 27 am

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.