May 18, 2023 am
Summary: A blanket of upper level high pressure and its blanket of warm subsiding air continue to cover most of the western US and off shore. Highs of 99 were recorded yesterday afternoon at both Hanford and Lemoore for the hot spots in the valley with most other locations between 95 and 98. With a bit of luck, a modest cooling trend will begin Saturday as a weak trough of low pressure moves west to east across the western US. A few degrees of synoptic cooling will occur with readings in the low to mid 90s. There is a minimal chance that enough marine air will spill through the Delta and possibly other gaps and passes along the coast range to lower temperatures into the upper 80s. Currently, the depth of the marine layer at Monterey is only 1,100 feet with only a trickle of modified sea breeze moving through the Delta. So, expect mid to upper 90s again through Friday afternoon. Longer range models continue to show very much of a summer type pattern as readings will tease with the century mark again Tuesday and Wednesday of next week. we may see a modest cool down beginning Thursday of next week. the combination of rapidly melting snow through the Sierra Nevada and that trough moving inland well to our north may result in scattered showers and thunderstorms along the Sierra Nevada Friday through Monday.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Sunday night. Mostly clear skies will continue Monday through Thursday.
Temperatures:
| Madera
97/57/97/57/93 |
Reedley
98/59/97/59/93 |
Dinuba
96/60/96/58/92 |
| Porterville
98/60/97/59/94 |
Lindsay
97/58/95/59/94 |
Delano
99/61/97/61/94 |
| Bakersfield
97/66/97/65/93 |
Taft
95/68/95/66/93 |
Arvin
100/65/98/65/95 |
| Lamont
99/65/98/63/94 |
Pixley
98/60/95/60/94 |
Tulare
96/57/95/57/92 |
| Woodlake
97/58/96/58/94 |
Hanford
98/61/97/61/95 |
Orosi
97/58/96/58/93 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Sunday
Mostly clear 59/92 |
Monday
Mostly clear 59/94 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 61/99 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 59/98 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 57/92 |
Two Week Outlook: May 24 through May 30 This model indicates temperatures will be close to average with near average precipitation, meaning the chance of precipitation will remain low.
May: This model continues trends during the month of May that we saw in April. Pressures will be lower than average along the west coast, resulting in the chance of above average rainfall and below average temperatures
May, June, July: This model doesn’t really move the needle either way for temperatures and rainfall over the next three months. being that we’re heading into the hot, dry season, it means little anyway.
Wind Discussion: Winds through Friday will be generally out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph, decreasing to less than 7 mph after midnight tonight. Winds Friday night through Sunday will be out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with local gusts to 25 mph along the west side.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry weather for the next week to 10 days.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 2.06, Parlier, 1.94, Arvin 1.88, Porterville .NA, Delano 1.80.
Soil temperatures: Stratford ,66 Parlier 71, Arvin 73, Porterville NA, Delano 77 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 83/55 Record Temperatures: 103/42
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 134 +22 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.83, Monthly .35
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 9.74, Monthly: .T
Average Temperature this Month 66.9 -0.7Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 5:48, sunset, 8:03. hours of daylight, 14:13
Yesterday’s Weather: H L R
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 95 / 55 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 97 / 57 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 97 / 68 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 99 / 61 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 99 / 59 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 97 / 70 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 96 / 62 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 97 / 63 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1659 / 97 / 71 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 93 / M / 0.00 /
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 178 9.75 75 13.03 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 19.71 167 8.99 76 11.77 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.84 182 7.44 65 11.42 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.62 112 2.10 20 10.39 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.83 170 6.29 60 10.49 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.56 186 6.34 81 7.84 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 9.89 160 5.40 88 6.17 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 13.66 322 4.75 112 4.24 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.06 61 M M 1.74 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.88 113 7.31 60 12.27 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.88 176 8.70 73 11.85 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.47 180 7.79 60 13.03 13.32
Next report: May 19 am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.