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Forecast

June 2, 2023 report

June 2, 2023 am

Summary: Other than the usual coastal low clouds and fog along the coast, skies are generally clear over California. Rather weak upper level high pressure is building in from the west. The freezing levels are not overly high for this time of year and stand at 12,200 feet both at Oakland and Vandenberg AFB. So, even though temperatures will begin to warm the next few days, triple digits are not likely at most locations. The difference in pressure between the coast and the interior is only 7 mb, so modified marine air is not expected to affect temperatures through the weekend. Models for next week indicate a cut off low will develop just off the southern California coast then will move northward through central California Monday and Tuesday. This will increase convective activity over the southland for even a slight chance of showers over the valley floor. otherwise, next week looks dry with temperatures falling back to average by midweek.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Sunday night. Partly cloudy Monday through Tuesday night with a slight chance of sprinkles or isolated light showers, mainly near the foothills. Mostly clear Wednesday through Friday.

 

Temperatures:

Madera

88/55/93/60/98

Reedley

89/56/94/61/98

Dinuba

87/55/93/60/97

Porterville

87/55/94.59/98

Lindsay

87/54/94/58/98

Delano

87/58/94/60/98

Bakersfield

87/61/95/65/97

Taft

88/60/94/66/98

Arvin

89/60/95/66/98

Lamont

89/58/94/61/97

Pixley

89/57/94/61/97

Tulare

86/54/93/59/96

Woodlake

87/55/94/55/98

Hanford

88/55/93/61/98

Orosi

86/54/93/57/96

 

Seven Day Forecast

Monday

Partly cloudy

62/97

Tuesday

Partly cloudy

59/91

Wednesday

Mostly clear

57/84

Thursday

Mostly clear

58/86

Friday

Mostly clear

59/88

 

Two Week Outlook:  June 7 through June 13  This model is showing a broad trough of low pressure over and along the west coast during this timeframe. This time of year, typically it doesn’t mean much so the chance of precipitation is slim to none. However, temperatures will be somewhat below seasonal average.

 

May:  This model continues trends during the month of May that we saw in April. Pressures will be lower than average along the west coast, resulting in the chance of above average rainfall and below average temperatures

 

May, June, July:  This model doesn’t really move the needle either way for temperatures and rainfall over the next three months. being that we’re heading into the hot, dry season, it means little anyway.

 

Wind Discussion: Winds today will be mostly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with local gusts to 20 mph. winds tonight through Monday will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph during the afternoon through the evening hours and variable to no more than 8 mph during the night and early morning hours.  

 

Rain Discussion: For the last couple of days, high resolution models have been depicting a cut off low off the southern California coast. It’s projected to move north through central California Monday and Tuesday. If this does happen, the daily thunderstorm activity over the high Sierra would increase, spreading into the Tehachapi and possibly into the coastal ranges. I can’t rule out a stray shower/thunderstorm over the valley floor Monday and Tuesday.Typically, these types of systems leave the lion’s share of the valley dry, and where precipitation does occur, less than .10 is expected. Even so, cut off lows are not predictable and deserve close scrutiny.

 

Mid afternoon dew points: Mid to upper 40s.  Kern: Mid to upper 40s.  .

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.75, Parlier, 1.69, Arvin 1.81, Delano 1.68.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 70,  Parlier 77, Arvin 77, Delano 79 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 87/58  Record Temperatures: 106/45

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  266 +51 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  17.83, Monthly  .0

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 9.74, Monthly:  .0

Average Temperature this Month 71.1. -2.0 taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 5:41, sunset, 8:14.  hours of daylight, 14:32

NA=Not available

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H        L         R

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  83 /  51 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  85 /  52 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  85 /  57 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  87 /  55 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  88 /  52 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  85 /  58 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  85 /  58 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  85 /  56 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1653 /  85 /  61 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  77 /  53 / 0.00 /

 

STOCKTON                      0.00   23.21   175    9.75    73    13.27    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   19.71   163    8.99    75    12.06    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.84   179    7.44    64    11.64    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   11.62   110    2.10    20    10.60    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   17.83   167    6.29    59    10.69    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   14.56   182    6.34    79     8.01     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    9.89   158    5.40    86     6.26     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   13.66   313    4.75   109     4.36     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    1.08    62       M     M     1.75     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   13.88   112    7.31    59    12.43    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.88   175    8.70    73    11.96    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   23.47   178    7.79    59    13.15    13.32

 

Next report: June 3 am

 

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.