Updates
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  • May 8, 2024 report May 8, 2024 Summary  High pressure aloft is  located 500 miles off the northern California coast. Low pressure is centered over Wyoming and the Dakotas…
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  • May 4, 2024 report May 4, 2024 Summary  A low pressure center is off the coast of the Pacific Northwest this morning. This low will move southwestward into northern…
  • May 2, 2024 report May 2, 2024 Summary  upper level high pressure is upwelling ahead of a low pressure system located in the northeast Pacific. This will drive temperatures…
Forecast

June 3, 2023 am

Summary: High pressure at the upper levels of the atmosphere is slowly building in from the west. All the usual parameters are pointing towards a warming trend. Most locations on the valley floor are 2 to 5 degrees warmer than 24 hours ago. Blue Canyon at roughly 6,500 feet is 4 degrees warmer at this hour. Although these figures aren’t dramatic, they will allow readings to move into the low to mid 90s later today and the mid to upper 90s Sunday and Monday. winds at the Delta at Traverse AFB are southwest at 16, however there’s only a 5.50 millibar difference in pressure between San Francisco and Las Vegas. This is not enough to tug the modified marine air down the valley. Models still point towards a cut off low developing just off the southern California coast Sunday. It’s projected to move into central California Tuesday. This will increase thunderstorm activity over the mountains. These types of systems this time of year can be tricky, so we’ll have to watch to see if any of this activity moves out over the valley floor. most models give a 10% to 15% chance of measurable rain Monday and Tuesday, so we’ll add that slight chance to the forecast. The low is forecast to move eastward by the middle of next week with near average temperatures.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear through Sunday night. Partly cloudy Monday through Tuesday with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy Tuesday night. Mostly clear Wednesday through Saturday.

 

Temperatures:

Madera

93/59/98/61/89

Reedley

94/59/98/62/90

Dinuba

92/59/97/61/89

Porterville

91/59/97/61/88

Lindsay

92/58/98/63/90

Delano

94/60/98/62/89

Bakersfield

92/67/97/69/88

Taft

87/64/93/64/86

Arvin

94/61/98/63/90

Lamont

93/61/97/62/90

Pixley

94/61/98/63/90

Tulare

91/58/96/60/90

Woodlake

92/58/96/60/89

Hanford

93/60/97/61/90

Orosi

91/59/97/60/89

 

Seven Day Forecast

Tuesday

Chance of showers

58/90

Wednesday

Mostly clear

58/87

Thursday

Mostly clear

57/86

Friday

Mostly clear

59/89

Saturday

Mostly clear

58/90

 

Two Week Outlook:  June 10 through June 16  This model is showing a broad trough of low pressure over and along the west coast during this timeframe. This time of year, typically it doesn’t mean much so the chance of precipitation is slim to none. However, temperatures will be somewhat below seasonal average.

 

May:  This model continues trends during the month of May that we saw in April. Pressures will be lower than average along the west coast, resulting in the chance of above average rainfall and below average temperatures

 

May, June, July:  This model doesn’t really move the needle either way for temperatures and rainfall over the next three months. being that we’re heading into the hot, dry season, it means little anyway.

 

Wind Discussion: Winds today will be mostly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with local gusts to 20 mph. winds tonight through Tuesday will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph during the afternoon through the evening hours and variable to no more than 8 mph during the night and early morning hours.  

 

Rain Discussion: Dry conditions will continue through Sunday night. Models show a cut off low meandering through Monday through Tuesday with increasing thunderstorm activity over the mountains and foothills. The counterclockwise circulation around the low will set up an easterly flow. There is a very low chance of this flow nudging isolated thunderstorms out over the foothills and possibly even the valley floor Monday and Tuesday, so we’ll reflect that in the forecast. The chance of measurable rain at any location is less than 20% Monday and Tuesday with dry weather Wednesday and beyond.

 

Mid afternoon dew points: Upper 40s to the lower 50s..  Kern: Mid to upper 40s.  .

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.77, Parlier, 1.72, Arvin 1.85, Delano 1.69.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 70,  Parlier 75, Arvin 77, Delano 80 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 88/58  Record Temperatures: 107/44

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  272 +49 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  17.83, Monthly  .0

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 9.74, Monthly:  .0

Average Temperature this Month 70.8. -2.2 taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 5:41, sunset, 8:14.  hours of daylight, 14:33

NA=Not available

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H        L         R

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  86 /  52 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  88 /  50 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  88 /  57 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  88 /  53 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  90 /  51 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1600 /  88 /  59 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  87 /  52 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  88 /  52 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1651 /  86 /  58 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  85 /  53 / 0.00 /

 

STOCKTON                      0.00   23.21   175    9.75    73    13.27    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   19.71   163    8.99    75    12.06    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.84   179    7.44    64    11.64    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   11.62   110    2.10    20    10.60    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   17.83   167    6.29    59    10.69    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   14.56   182    6.34    79     8.01     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    9.89   158    5.40    86     6.26     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   13.66   313    4.75   109     4.36     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    1.08    62       M     M     1.75     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   13.88   112    7.31    59    12.43    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.88   175    8.70    73    11.96    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   23.47   178    7.79    59    13.15    13.32

 

Next report: June 5 am

 

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.