June 3, 2023 am
Summary: High pressure at the upper levels of the atmosphere is slowly building in from the west. All the usual parameters are pointing towards a warming trend. Most locations on the valley floor are 2 to 5 degrees warmer than 24 hours ago. Blue Canyon at roughly 6,500 feet is 4 degrees warmer at this hour. Although these figures aren’t dramatic, they will allow readings to move into the low to mid 90s later today and the mid to upper 90s Sunday and Monday. winds at the Delta at Traverse AFB are southwest at 16, however there’s only a 5.50 millibar difference in pressure between San Francisco and Las Vegas. This is not enough to tug the modified marine air down the valley. Models still point towards a cut off low developing just off the southern California coast Sunday. It’s projected to move into central California Tuesday. This will increase thunderstorm activity over the mountains. These types of systems this time of year can be tricky, so we’ll have to watch to see if any of this activity moves out over the valley floor. most models give a 10% to 15% chance of measurable rain Monday and Tuesday, so we’ll add that slight chance to the forecast. The low is forecast to move eastward by the middle of next week with near average temperatures.
Forecast: Mostly clear through Sunday night. Partly cloudy Monday through Tuesday with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy Tuesday night. Mostly clear Wednesday through Saturday.
Temperatures:
Madera
93/59/98/61/89 |
Reedley
94/59/98/62/90 |
Dinuba
92/59/97/61/89 |
Porterville
91/59/97/61/88 |
Lindsay
92/58/98/63/90 |
Delano
94/60/98/62/89 |
Bakersfield
92/67/97/69/88 |
Taft
87/64/93/64/86 |
Arvin
94/61/98/63/90 |
Lamont
93/61/97/62/90 |
Pixley
94/61/98/63/90 |
Tulare
91/58/96/60/90 |
Woodlake
92/58/96/60/89 |
Hanford
93/60/97/61/90 |
Orosi
91/59/97/60/89 |
Seven Day Forecast
Tuesday
Chance of showers 58/90 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 58/87 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 57/86 |
Friday
Mostly clear 59/89 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 58/90 |
Two Week Outlook: June 10 through June 16 This model is showing a broad trough of low pressure over and along the west coast during this timeframe. This time of year, typically it doesn’t mean much so the chance of precipitation is slim to none. However, temperatures will be somewhat below seasonal average.
May: This model continues trends during the month of May that we saw in April. Pressures will be lower than average along the west coast, resulting in the chance of above average rainfall and below average temperatures
May, June, July: This model doesn’t really move the needle either way for temperatures and rainfall over the next three months. being that we’re heading into the hot, dry season, it means little anyway.
Wind Discussion: Winds today will be mostly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with local gusts to 20 mph. winds tonight through Tuesday will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph during the afternoon through the evening hours and variable to no more than 8 mph during the night and early morning hours.
Rain Discussion: Dry conditions will continue through Sunday night. Models show a cut off low meandering through Monday through Tuesday with increasing thunderstorm activity over the mountains and foothills. The counterclockwise circulation around the low will set up an easterly flow. There is a very low chance of this flow nudging isolated thunderstorms out over the foothills and possibly even the valley floor Monday and Tuesday, so we’ll reflect that in the forecast. The chance of measurable rain at any location is less than 20% Monday and Tuesday with dry weather Wednesday and beyond.
Mid afternoon dew points: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.. Kern: Mid to upper 40s. .
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.77, Parlier, 1.72, Arvin 1.85, Delano 1.69.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 70, Parlier 75, Arvin 77, Delano 80 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 88/58 Record Temperatures: 107/44
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 272 +49 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.83, Monthly .0
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 9.74, Monthly: .0
Average Temperature this Month 70.8. -2.2 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 5:41, sunset, 8:14. hours of daylight, 14:33
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H L R
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 86 / 52 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 88 / 50 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 88 / 57 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 88 / 53 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 90 / 51 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1600 / 88 / 59 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 87 / 52 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 88 / 52 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1651 / 86 / 58 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 85 / 53 / 0.00 /
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 175 9.75 73 13.27 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 19.71 163 8.99 75 12.06 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.84 179 7.44 64 11.64 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.62 110 2.10 20 10.60 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.83 167 6.29 59 10.69 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.56 182 6.34 79 8.01 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 9.89 158 5.40 86 6.26 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 13.66 313 4.75 109 4.36 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.08 62 M M 1.75 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.88 112 7.31 59 12.43 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.88 175 8.70 73 11.96 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.47 178 7.79 59 13.15 13.32
Next report: June 5 am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.