June 6, 2023 am
Summary: The center of circulation of a weak cut off low is right over Kern County at this hour. What little activity there is around the low is along the northern and western flanks with a few showers over the Sierra Nevada, the southern Coast Range, and an isolated shower over Kern County. Rainfall amounts on the valley floor have been generally just trace amounts. Short range model information indicates this storm won’t move very much over the next 12 hours, not moving into Nevada until Wednesday morning. Daytime heating, which is reaching its pinnacle as we move into the longest days of the year, will set off showers and thunderstorms over the mountainous terrain over southern California. An east/northeast flow around the center of circulation will nudge this activity over the valley floor this afternoon and evening. Even though most locations will receive little to no precipitation, it’s’ possible an isolated thunderstorm could drop as much as a tenth to a quarter of an inch. As the low continues to weaken Wednesday over Nevada, it will begin to lost its identity and will eventually be absorbed by a trough of ow pressure moving into the west over the weekend. The trough moving into the west over the weekend will sustain afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada with the remainder of central California being precipitation free. Models do show weak high pressure moving in from the west next week, so even though temperatures will return to the low to mid 90s, no real summer heat shows up on the weather horizon.
Forecast: Variable cloudiness through tonight with a continued risk of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Partly cloudy Wednesday. Mostly clear Wednesday night through Tuesday.
Temperatures:
| Madera
78/57/81/58/85 |
reedley
79/57/81/57/85 |
Dinuba
77/57/79/57/86 |
| Porterville
80/58/81/58/87 |
Lindsay
79/56/80/57/86 |
Delano
80/59/81/60/87 |
| bakersfield
79/63/81/68/86 |
taft
75/58/76/58/81 |
Arvin
80/60/81/61/85 |
| Lamont
80/61/81/57/85 |
Pixley
80/58/81/58/87 |
Tulare
78/57/80/57/85 |
| Woodlake
79/59/80/59/85 |
Hanford
80/61/80/61/86 |
Orosi
78/58/8257/86 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Friday
Mostly clear 58/87 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 60/88 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 57/84 |
Monday
Mostly clear 56/82 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 59/85 |
Two Week Outlook: June 12 through June 18 This model is showing a broad trough of low pressure over and along the west coast during this timeframe. This time of year, typically it doesn’t mean much so the chance of precipitation is slim to none. However, temperatures will be somewhat below seasonal average.
June: Of course, this time of year, 30 and 90 day outlooks are virtually useless as they’re essentially the same every year. Basically light all day and hot and light all night and warm. Essentially for June, near average temperatures and dry..
June, July, August: The 90 day summary outlook is the same this year as it is every year. Generally dry with somewhat above average temperatures. The monsoon season hasn’t begun yet, so we’ll start taking that more seriously down the road.
Wind Discussion: There will be periods through Friday where winds will be out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph. local gusts to 20 mph will be possible, generally through tonight and mainly near showers.
Rain Discussion: There are some widely scattered showers out there this morning. As the daytime heating takes place, towering cumulous will begin to build over the mountains, some of which will result in showers and thunderstorms the east/northeast flow around this system will nudge some of this activity out over the foothills with a chance of some moving over the valley floor during the late afternoon to evening hours. The low will move into Nevada Wednesday and will weaken further, ending the precipitation threat. So, you can expect dry weather for the remainder of the week once this system passes with dry weather continuing through next week.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.87, Parlier, 1.74, Arvin 1.87, Delano 1.72.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 70, Parlier 75, Arvin 78, Delano 80 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 88/58 Record Temperatures: 107/48
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 296 +56 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.83, Monthly .0
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 9.74, Monthly: .0
Average Temperature this Month 73.9. +0.9 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 5:40, sunset, 8:15. hours of daylight, 14:34
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H L R
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 95 / 61 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 97 / 57 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 97 / 66 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 97 / 61 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 97 / 59 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1600 / 95 / 66 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 95 / 61 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 97 / 62 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1648 / 94 / 70 / 0.00 /
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 175 9.75 73 13.29 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 19.71 163 8.99 74 12.09 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.84 179 7.44 64 11.67 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.62 109 2.10 20 10.64 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.83 166 6.29 59 10.73 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.56 182 6.34 79 8.02 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 9.89 157 5.40 86 6.28 6.36
BISHOP T 13.66 313 4.75 109 4.37 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.08 62 M M 1.75 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.88 112 7.31 59 12.44 12.58
PASO ROBLES T 20.88 174 8.70 73 11.97 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.47 178 7.79 59 13.17 13.32
Next report: June 7 am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.