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Forecast

June 27, 2023 report

We will be out of the office July 1 through July 8. Reports will resume July 10.

 

 

June 27, 2023

Summary: There is enough of an on shore flow to allow a shallow intrusion of modified marine air into the valley. It’s maintaining below average temperatures today and possibly Wednesday. We will begin to transition into a new and very hot weather pattern Thursday which may see hottest locations on the valley floor top 110 Saturday through Monday. high resolution model information indicates valley locations will range between 106 and 112 Saturday and Sunday with very hot weather continuing through the fourth of July. The weak trough of low pressure that has resulted in reasonably pleasant weather recently is slowly moving eastward. Strong upper level high pressure off shore will build inland Thursday and Friday with most models placing the center of this high in fairly close proximity this weekend. Readings will slowly start to decline on the Fourth of July itself. Even so, temperatures will remain well above the century mark. A weak low will move into northern California next Wednesday and Thursday, hopefully deepening the marine layer enough to allow at least some modified marine air into the valley. Some models are suggesting a stronger trough will  move through about a week from Saturday. This would theoretically lower temperatures back to near seasonal values.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear through Thursday. Mostly clear and hot Friday through Tuesday.

 

Temperatures:

Madera

89/57/93/63/98

Reedley

90/56/93/59/98

Dinuba

88/56/92/58/97

Porterville

91/56/93/60/97

Lindsay

89/55/93/59/99

Delano

91/58/92/61/97

Bakersfield

90/66/93/68/98

Taft

89/65/90/70/95

Arvin

91/59/93/65/99

Lamont

91/60/93/64/99

Pixley

90/57/93/61/98

Tulare

88/55/91/60/97

Woodlake

89/57/92/59/97

Hanford

90/58/92/62/99

Orosi

89/55/91/59/97

 

Seven Day Forecast

Friday

Mostly clear

68/104

Saturday

Mostly clear

70/109

Sunday

Mostly clear

72/110

Monday

Mostly clear

72/108

Tuesday

Mostly clear

69/`105

 

Two Week Outlook:  July 1 through July 4  This model indicates a blanket of overall high pressure will dominate the pattern through the 4th of July weekend, resulting in above average temperatures and the typically dry conditions.

 

June:  Of course, this time of year, 30 and 90 day outlooks are virtually useless as they’re essentially the same every year. Basically, light all day and hot and dark all night and warm. Essentially for June, near average temperatures and dry.

 

June, July, August:  The 90 day summary outlook is the same this year as it is every year. Generally dry with somewhat above average temperatures. The monsoon season hasn’t begun yet, so we’ll start taking that more seriously down the road.

 

Wind Discussion:  Winds during the afternoon through the late evening hours will be out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph. locally stronger gusts are possible from the late morning through the late evening hours through Friday.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.

 

Mid afternoon dew points: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.  Kern: Mid to upper 40s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.91, Parlier, 1.76, Arvin 1.96, Delano 1.73.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 70, Parlier 74, Arvin 81, Delano 80 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 95/64  Record Temperatures: 110/51

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  493 +24 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  17.83, Monthly  .T

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 10.26, Monthly:  .37

Average Temperature this Month 74.1 -1.4 taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 5:42, sunset, 8:22.  hours of daylight, 14:40

NA=Not available

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H        L         R

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  87 /  54 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  87 /  53 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  87 /  59 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  89 /  60 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  89 /  54 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  87 /  60 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  87 /  58 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DHM    /   M /   M /    M /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  87 /  56 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1654 /  85 /  63 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  88 /  53 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall stats:                      seas    %        L.Y   %     ave.     s.a.

STOCKTON                      0.00   23.21   174    9.81    73    13.36    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   19.71   162    8.99    74    12.19    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.84   177    7.44    63    11.75    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   11.62   108    2.21    21    10.75    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   17.83   164    6.29    58    10.90    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   14.58   181    6.34    79     8.07     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00   10.26   163    5.41    86     6.31     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   14.39   323    4.75   107     4.46     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    1.21    68       M     M     1.79     2.20

SALINAS                          T   13.95   112    7.31    59    12.49    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.89   174    8.70    73    12.00    12.15

SANTA MARIA                      T   23.83   181    7.79    59    13.20    13.32

 

 

Next report: June 28 am

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.