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Forecast

June 29, 2023 report

We will be out of the office July 1 through July 8. Reports will resume July 10.

 

 

June 29, 2023

Summary: Temperatures over the higher elevations are generally running 2 to 4 degrees warmer than 24 hours ago. On the valley floor, readings are 5 to 7 degrees warmer. The freezing level has risen roughly 1,000 feet since yesterday at this time and is currently 14,000 feet above Oakland. The marine layer along the coast, for the first time in nearly a week, is below 3,000 feet. In fact, the latest reading out of Monterey indicates the marine layer is roughly 1,800 feet. All of this are signs of an impending heat wave. Strong upper level high pressure is building in from the west and is replacing the trough that kept readings pleasantly mild for the past week and a half. Hottest locations will push the century mark this afternoon then peak Saturday and Sunday afternoons as the center of the high moves overhead. By Monday, the high will slide southeastward to a position over Arizona and will begin to weaken on the Fourth of July. Even so, triple digits can be expected through at least Wednesday of next week. hottest locations may eclipse the 110 degree mark Saturday and Sunday. A trough of low pressure will move into the Pacific Northwest and northern California by Thursday, finally nudging temperatures below the century mark through the coming weekend. The first hurricane of the eastern Pacific hurricane season is now on the map. Hurricane Adrian is well to the south of Cabo san Lucas and will move harmlessly into cooler waters over the weekend and will fizzle out there. Still no real sign of the monsoon beginning as so far the main high center, which is the main factor in the monsoon season, has been farther south and east so far, blocking potential tropical moisture from moving northward.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear and hot  Monday. mostly clear and a little less hot Tuesday through Thursday.

 

Temperatures:

Madera

99/66/106/71/108

Reedley

100/67/107/71/110

Dinuba

98/65/105/70/107

porterville

99/68/106/70/109

Lindsay

99/66/106/69/108

Delano

99/69/107/70/109

Bakersfield

99/73/106/78/109

Taft

97/76/104/80/107

Arvin

100/68/107/73/110

Lamont

100/71/108/74/110

Pixley

98/68/106/71/108

Tulare

97/67/105/70/107

Woodlake

99/67/107/70/108

Hanford

99/68/107/71/109

Orosi

98/66/106/69/108

 

Seven Day Forecast

Sunday

Mostly clear

73/109

Monday

Mostly clear

71/108

Tuesday

Mostly clear

68/104

Wednesday

Mostly clear

65/101

Thursday

Mostly clear

63/99

 

Two Week Outlook:  July 5 through July 11: This model indicates a weak trough of low pressure will be along the west coast. Typically this pattern allows modified marine air to move down the valley. This should keep temperatures near to moderately below average with dry conditions continuing.

 

June:  Of course, this time of year, 30 and 90 day outlooks are virtually useless as they’re essentially the same every year. Basically, light all day and hot and dark all night and warm. Essentially for June, near average temperatures and dry.

 

June, July, August:  The 90 day summary outlook is the same this year as it is every year. Generally dry with somewhat above average temperatures. The monsoon season hasn’t begun yet, so we’ll start taking that more seriously down the road.

 

Wind Discussion:  Winds during the afternoon through the late evening hours will be out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph. locally stronger gusts are possible from the late morning through the late evening hours through Sunday.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.

 

Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.91, Parlier, 1.76, Arvin 1.99, Delano 1.74.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 72, Parlier 75, Arvin 81, Delano 80 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 95/64  Record Temperatures: 110/49

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  493 +24 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  17.83, Monthly  .T

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 10.26, Monthly:  .37

Average Temperature this Month 74.2 -1.6 taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 5:43, sunset, 8:22.  hours of daylight, 14:39

NA=Not available

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H        L         R

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  90 /  58 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  92 /  56 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  91 /  63 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  93 /  63 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  94 /  56 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  90 /  63 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  91 /  59 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  92 /  57 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1656 /  89 /  67 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  87 /  57 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall stats:                      seas    %        L.Y   %     ave.     s.a.

STOCKTON                      0.00   23.21   174    9.81    73    13.36    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   19.71   162    8.99    74    12.19    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.84   177    7.44    63    11.75    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   11.62   108    2.21    21    10.75    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   17.83   164    6.29    58    10.90    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   14.58   181    6.34    79     8.07     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00   10.26   163    5.41    86     6.31     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   14.39   323    4.75   107     4.46     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    1.21    68       M     M     1.79     2.20

SALINAS                          T   13.95   112    7.31    59    12.49    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.89   174    8.70    73    12.00    12.15

SANTA MARIA                      T   23.83   181    7.79    59    13.20    13.32

 

Next report: June 30 am

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.