July 11, 2023
Summary: Temperatures on the valley floor are running 3 to 9 degrees warmer than 24 hours ago. The lower 90s of yesterday will be replaced by upper 90s to even the lower 100s in the hot spots this afternoon. Upper level high pressure is centered near the New Mexico/Arizona border. Central California is on the far western side of the high. The clockwise flow around the high is maintaining a dry west/southwest flow over the western US. The center of circulation will move to a position right over California this weekend and into the early part of next week. models are still showing this to be a strong system. Blended model information for Fresno and Bakersfield this weekend indicates high temperatures near to even surpassing 110 Saturday through Monday. by midweek, the high will track slowly eastward, allowing temperatures to slowly decline. All of the usual summertime parameters for a prolonged heat wave are coming into focus. The marine layer has dropped down to 1,200 feet while the balloon sounding over Oakland pegs the freezing level at 16,300 feet. Some relief will arrive the middle of next week.
Forecast: Clear skies and hot through Friday. Clearing and excessively not Friday night through Tuesday.
Temperatures:
| Madera
99/61/100/62/102 |
Reedley
100/62/101/63/102 |
Dinuba
98/61/99/62/100 |
| Porterville
99/62/100/63/101 |
Lindsay
98/61/100/62/101 |
Delano
100/64/101/64/102 |
| Bakersfield
99/71/101/71/102 |
Taft
98/71/100/73/101 |
Aarvin
100/65/101/67/101 |
| Lamont
101/66/101/66/102 |
Pixley
100/62/101/63/101 |
Tulare
97/61/99/63/100 |
| Woodlake
98/60/99/62/100 |
Hanford
100/63/101/64/101 |
Orosi
98/61/99/62/100 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Friday
Mostly clear 65/104 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 71/105 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 74/110 |
Monday
Mostly clear 76/112 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 75/111 |
Two Week Outlook: July 17 through July 23: This model indicates the typical summertime high will be over the Desert Southwest and California. This pattern will maintain above average temperatures with very dry conditions prevailing.
June: Of course, this time of year, 30 and 90 day outlooks are virtually useless as they’re essentially the same every year. Basically, light all day and hot and dark all night and warm. Essentially for June, near average temperatures and dry.
June, July, August: The 90 day summary outlook is the same this year as it is every year. Generally dry with somewhat above average temperatures. The monsoon season hasn’t begun yet, so we’ll start taking that more seriously down the road.
Wind Discussion: Winds during the late evening through the morning hours will generally be at or less than 8 mph with periods of near calm conditions. During the afternoon and evening, winds will be generally at or less than 15 mph with locally stronger gusts through Friday.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 2.10, Parlier, 1.91, Arvin 2.11, Delano 1.77.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 72, Parlier 79, Arvin 85, Delano 83 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 98/66 Record Temperatures: 114/52
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 725 +32 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.83, Monthly .00
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 10.26, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature this Month 81..2 +0.8 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 5:50, sunset, 8:19. hours of daylight, 14:31
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H L
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 90 / 58 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 91 / 59 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 91 / 69 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 92 / 60 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 93 / 58 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 91 / 70 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 90 / 61 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 90 / 61 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 174 9.81 73 13.36 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 20.17 165 8.99 74 12.20 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.84 177 7.44 63 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.62 108 2.21 21 10.75 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.83 163 6.29 58 10.92 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.58 180 6.34 78 8.08 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 10.26 163 5.41 86 6.31 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 14.39 318 4.75 105 4.53 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.21 66 M M 1.82 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.95 112 7.31 59 12.49 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.89 174 8.70 72 12.02 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.83 180 7.79 59 13.22 13.32
Next report: July 12 am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.