July 29, 2023
Summary Central and southern California remain on the northwest periphery of upper level high pressure centered over Texas and Oklahoma. Limited amounts of monsoonal moisture continue to rotate around the western boundary of the high, result in a minimal amount of mid and high level clouds. It’s possible enough moisture may become available for a chance of isolated thunderstorms over the southern Serra Nevada and the mountains and deserts of Kern County beginning Monday. the fact that we are no longer beneath the high means we’ll see slightly above average temperatures. The high will weaken further Tuesday and Wednesday, allowing readings to pull back into the mid 90s. This will almost feel like a breath of spring compared to past days this summer. Upper level high pressure will again push north and west next weekend for our next warming trend. The bottom line is, our usual dry conditions will continue under a southwesterly flow aloft.
Forecast: Other than occasional high clouds, skies will be mostly clear through Monday, mostly clear skies will continue Monday night through Saturday.
Temperatures:
| Madera
99/64/99/63/98 |
Reedley
101/65/100/64/98 |
Dinuba
99/63/98/62/98 |
| Porterville
100/64/99/63/99 |
Lindsay
100/63/100/62/99 |
Delano
101/66/100/64/99 |
| Bakersfield
101/70/100/69/100 |
Taft
99/72/98/72/97 |
Arvin
101/71/100/70/99 |
| Lamont
102/71/100/69/99 |
Pixley
100/66/100/64/99 |
Tulare
99/63/99/62/98 |
| Woodlake
100/64/100/63/98 |
Hanford
100/64/100/63/98 |
Orosi
99/62/98/62/97 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Tuesday
Mostly clear 63/98 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 62/94 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 61/93 |
Friday
Mostly clear 62/95 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 64/100 |
Two Week Outlook: August 1 through August 7: This model shows an active monsoon in the Desert Southwest and California. There will be a chance of mainly pm thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada with occasional periods of higher level clouds over the valley floor. temperatures are projected to be above average.
July: Typically, this time of year there is absolutely nothing going on in the world of weather. Temperature forecasts are the main forecast challenge. For now, the usual dry conditions will prevail with temperatures near to marginally above average
July, August, September: The monsoon into the Desert Southwest and occasionally California is what we carefully watch this time of year, especially during August and September. This model is currently showing below average precipitation over Arizona and New Mexico. This indicates there will be less of a chance of the monsoon visiting California this summer. Temperatures are expected to range above average.
Wind Discussion: During the late morning through the late evening hours, winds will be out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with local gusts to 20 mph through Monday. During the night and early morning hours, winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 10 mph with locally stronger gusts.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.
Mid afternoon dew points: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.. Kern: Mid to upper 40s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 2.15, Parlier, 1.91, Arvin 2.05, Delano 1.79.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 76, Parlier 82, Arvin 83, Delano 86 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 98/67 Record Temperatures: 113/57
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1101 +111 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.83, Monthly .00
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 10.26, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature this Month 84.1 +2.8 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 6:03, Sunset, 8:07. hours of daylight, 14:06
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H L
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 96 / 60 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 99 / 60 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 100 / 70 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 100 / 63 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 101 / 62 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 100 / 72 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 97 / 63 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 98 / 65 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 94 / 60 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 174 9.81 73 13.36 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 20.17 165 8.99 74 12.20 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.86 178 7.44 63 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.62 108 2.21 21 10.76 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.83 163 6.29 57 10.94 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.58 180 6.34 78 8.09 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 10.26 163 5.41 86 6.31 6.36
BISHOP T 14.52 314 4.85 105 4.63 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.21 65 0.00 0 1.87 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.95 112 7.31 58 12.50 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.89 173 8.70 72 12.06 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.83 180 7.79 59 13.23 13.32
Next report: July 31 am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.