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Forecast

July 29, 2023 report

 

July 29, 2023

Summary Central and southern California remain on the northwest periphery of upper level high pressure centered over Texas and Oklahoma. Limited amounts of monsoonal moisture continue to rotate around the western boundary of the high, result in a minimal amount of mid and high level clouds. It’s possible enough moisture may become available for a chance of isolated thunderstorms over the southern Serra Nevada and the mountains and deserts of Kern County beginning Monday. the fact that we are no longer beneath the high means we’ll see slightly above average temperatures. The high will weaken further Tuesday and Wednesday, allowing readings to pull back into the mid 90s. This will almost feel like a breath of spring compared to past days this summer. Upper level high pressure will again push north and west next weekend for our next warming trend. The bottom line is, our usual dry conditions will continue under a southwesterly flow aloft.

 

Forecast:  Other than occasional high clouds, skies will be mostly clear through Monday, mostly clear skies will continue Monday night through Saturday.

 

Temperatures:

Madera

99/64/99/63/98

Reedley

101/65/100/64/98

Dinuba

99/63/98/62/98

Porterville

100/64/99/63/99

Lindsay

100/63/100/62/99

Delano

101/66/100/64/99

Bakersfield

101/70/100/69/100

Taft

99/72/98/72/97

Arvin

101/71/100/70/99

Lamont

102/71/100/69/99

Pixley

100/66/100/64/99

Tulare

99/63/99/62/98

Woodlake

100/64/100/63/98

Hanford

100/64/100/63/98

Orosi

99/62/98/62/97

 

Seven Day Forecast

Tuesday

Mostly clear

63/98

Wednesday

Mostly clear

62/94

Thursday

Mostly clear

61/93

Friday

Mostly clear

62/95

Saturday

Mostly clear

64/100

 

Two Week Outlook:  August 1 through August 7: This model shows an active monsoon in the Desert Southwest and California. There will be a chance of mainly pm thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada with occasional periods of higher level clouds over the valley floor. temperatures are projected to be above average.

 

July:  Typically, this time of year there is absolutely nothing going on in the world of weather. Temperature forecasts are the main forecast challenge. For now, the usual dry conditions will prevail with temperatures near to marginally above average

 

July, August, September: The monsoon into the Desert Southwest and occasionally California is what we carefully watch this time of year, especially during August and September. This model is currently showing below average precipitation over Arizona and New Mexico. This indicates there will be less of a chance of the monsoon visiting California this summer. Temperatures are expected to range above average.

 

Wind Discussion:  During the late morning through the late evening hours, winds will be out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with local gusts to 20 mph through Monday. During the night and early morning hours, winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 10 mph with locally stronger gusts.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.

 

Mid afternoon dew points: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.. Kern: Mid to upper 40s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 2.15, Parlier, 1.91, Arvin 2.05, Delano 1.79.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 76, Parlier 82, Arvin 83, Delano 86 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 98/67  Record Temperatures: 113/57

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  1101 +111 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  17.83, Monthly  .00

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 10.26, Monthly:  .00

Average Temperature this Month 84.1 +2.8 taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 6:03, Sunset, 8:07.  hours of daylight, 14:06

NA=Not available

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H        L        

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  96 /  60 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  99 /  60 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 / 100 /  70 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 / 100 /  63 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 / 101 /  62 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 / 100 /  72 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  97 /  63 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  98 /  65 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  94 /  60 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall stats:                      seas    %        L.Y   %     ave.     s.a.

STOCKTON                      0.00   23.21   174    9.81    73    13.36    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   20.17   165    8.99    74    12.20    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.86   178    7.44    63    11.75    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   11.62   108    2.21    21    10.76    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   17.83   163    6.29    57    10.94    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   14.58   180    6.34    78     8.09     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00   10.26   163    5.41    86     6.31     6.36

BISHOP                           T   14.52   314    4.85   105     4.63     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    1.21    65    0.00     0     1.87     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   13.95   112    7.31    58    12.50    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.89   173    8.70    72    12.06    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   23.83   180    7.79    59    13.23    13.32

 

Next report: July 31 am

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.