July 31, 2023
Summary Upper level high pressure remains anchored over Texas and Oklahoma this morning and extends westward into southern California. The clockwise flow around the high continues to allow a southern flow California which rotates monsoonal moisture northward in the form of variable mid and high level clouds from time to time. This will continue through Tuesday. Today will be the 26th day in July of with a high temperature of 100 or more degrees. The first couple days in august will be in double digits as the high shifts a bit further east, allowing pressures aloft to weaken somewhat. Also, the marine layer which is currently 1,200 feet deep should deepen enough for a shallow push of marine air down the valley late Tuesday and Wednesday. This will lower temperatures into the mid to upper 90s Wednesday through Friday. Models still show upper level high pressure redeveloping over the Desert Southwest Friday through the weekend for our next warming trend with a return to triple digits over the weekend and into early next week.
Forecast: Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy through Tuesday. Mostly clear Tuesday night through Friday and not as hot. Mostly clear Friday night through Monday with a warming trend.
Temperatures:
Madera
100/64/98/63/94 |
Reedley
101/65/98/63/94 |
Dinuba
100/63/93/61/93 |
Porterville
101/65/99/63/95 |
Lindsay
100/65/98/63/95 |
Delano
101/66/99/64/95 |
Bakersfield
102/73/100/69/96 |
Taft
99/73/95/68/91 |
Arvin
102/68/98/66/96 |
Lamont
101/67/98/65/95 |
Pixley
100/66/98/63/95 |
Tulare
100/64/97/62/93 |
Woodlake
100/64/97/62/94 |
Hanford
101/65/98/63/93 |
Orosi
99/64/97/62/94 |
Seven Day Forecast
Thursday
Mostly clear 61/95 |
Friday
Mostly clear 62/96
|
Saturday
Mostly clear 63/96 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 67/102 |
Monday
Mostly clear 69/105 |
Two Week Outlook: August 7 through August 13: This model shows a weak trough of low pressure over the Pacific Northwest, extending southward to off the southern California coast. A weaker very of upper level high pressure will be over the Desert Southwest. This pattern should result in near average temperatures with the dry conditions continuing.
July: Typically, this time of year there is absolutely nothing going on in the world of weather. Temperature forecasts are the main forecast challenge. For now, the usual dry conditions will prevail with temperatures near to marginally above average
July, August, September: The monsoon into the Desert Southwest and occasionally California is what we carefully watch this time of year, especially during August and September. This model is currently showing below average precipitation over Arizona and New Mexico. This indicates there will be less of a chance of the monsoon visiting California this summer. Temperatures are expected to range above average.
Wind Discussion: During the late morning through the late evening hours, winds will be out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with local gusts to 20 mph through Thursday. During the night and early morning hours, winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 10 mph with locally stronger gusts.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.
Mid afternoon dew points: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.. Kern: Mid to upper 40s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 2.17, Parlier, 1.93, Arvin 2.09, Delano 1.81.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 75, Parlier 82, Arvin 83, Delano 85 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 98/67 Record Temperatures: 114/53
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1137 +115 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.83, Monthly .00
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 10.26, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature this Month 84.0 +2.7 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 6:05, Sunset, 8:05. hours of daylight, 14:03
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H L
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 101 / 65 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 101 / 59 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 102 / 69 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 101 / 62 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 104 / 62 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 99 / 87 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 97 / 62 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DHM / M / M / M /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 96 / 63 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 174 9.81 73 13.36 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 20.17 165 9.00 74 12.20 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.86 178 7.44 63 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.62 108 2.21 21 10.76 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.83 163 6.29 57 10.94 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.58 180 6.34 78 8.09 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 10.26 163 5.41 86 6.31 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 14.52 312 4.85 104 4.66 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.21 64 0.00 0 1.90 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.95 112 7.31 58 12.50 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.89 173 8.70 72 12.08 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.83 180 7.79 59 13.24 13.32
Next report: August 1 am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.