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  • May 2, 2024 report May 2, 2024 Summary  upper level high pressure is upwelling ahead of a low pressure system located in the northeast Pacific. This will drive temperatures…
Forecast

August 1, 2023 report

August 1, 2023

Summary The marine layer along the coast has deepened enough to allow modified marine air down the valley. The latest sounding at Fort Ord at Monterey indicated the marine layer was at 1,800 feet. It was only 1,200 feet the past two days. Pressures aloft have weakened somewhat for synoptic cooling as well. The center of the semi permanent ridge of high pressure is over Texas this morning and extends westward to southern California.  a weak trough of low pressure covers the Pacific Northwest and extends southwestern off the southern California coast. The trough will move inland Wednesday night through Thursday night, allowing for further cooling. Thursday will be the coolest in this series with readings mostly in the lower 90s. upper level high pressure over Texas will expand back over California over the weekend for significant warming as triple digits return by Sunday. monsoonal moisture continues to move along the northwestern boundary of the high. This will add some interest to the sky from time to time but little else.

 

Forecast:  Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy through Wednesday. Mostly clear Wednesday night and on through Tuesday of next week.

 

Temperatures:

Madera

98/62/93/59/91

Reedley

99/63/93/60/91

Dinuba

97/61/93/59/90

Porterville

99/62/94/59/91

Lindsay

98/61/93/59/90

Delano

99/64/93./61/90

Bakersfield

100/70/95/64/91

Taft

99/71/94/63/90

Arvin

100/65/94/61/91

Lamont

101/65/94/62/91

Pixley

98/62/94/59/91

Tulare

97/61/93/58/90

Woodlake

99/63/94/59/90

Hanford

98/64/94/61/91

Orosi

97/61/93/58/90

 

Seven Day Forecast

Friday

Mostly clear

59/93

Saturday

Mostly clear

61/98

Sunday

Mostly clear

65/104

Monday

Mostly clear

65/104

Tuesday

Mostly clear

64/100

 

Two Week Outlook:  August 7 through August 13: This model shows a weak trough of low pressure over the Pacific Northwest, extending southward to off the southern California coast. A weaker very of upper level high pressure will be over the Desert Southwest. This pattern should result in near average temperatures with the dry conditions continuing.

 

July:  Typically, this time of year there is absolutely nothing going on in the world of weather. Temperature forecasts are the main forecast challenge. For now, the usual dry conditions will prevail with temperatures near to marginally above average

 

July, August, September: The monsoon into the Desert Southwest and occasionally California is what we carefully watch this time of year, especially during August and September. This model is currently showing below average precipitation over Arizona and New Mexico. This indicates there will be less of a chance of the monsoon visiting California this summer. Temperatures are expected to range above average.

 

Wind Discussion:  During the late morning through the late evening hours, winds will be out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with local gusts to 20 mph through Friday. During the night and early morning hours, winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 10 mph with locally stronger gusts.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.

 

 

Mid afternoon dew points: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.. Kern: Mid to upper 40s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 2.15, Parlier, 1.93, Arvin 2.06, Delano 1.83.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 75, Parlier 81, Arvin 83, Delano 85 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 98/66  Record Temperatures: 112/56

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  1137 +115 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  17.83, Monthly  .00

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 10.26, Monthly:  .00

Average Temperature this Month 84.0 +2.7 taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 6:05, Sunset, 8:05.  hours of daylight, 14:04

NA=Not available

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H        L        

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  98 /  64 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 / 102 /  61 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 / 104 /  71 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 / 103 /  69 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 / 103 /  65 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DHM    /   M /   M / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 / 100 /  64 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DHM    /   M /   M /    M /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 / 100 /  65 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DHM    /   M /   M /    M /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  96 /  67 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall stats:                      seas    %        L.Y   %     ave.     s.a.

STOCKTON                      0.00   23.21   174    9.81    73    13.36    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   20.17   165    9.00    74    12.20    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.86   178    7.44    63    11.75    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   11.62   108    2.21    21    10.76    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   17.83   163    6.29    57    10.94    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   14.58   180    6.34    78     8.09     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00   10.26   163    5.41    86     6.31     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   14.52   312    4.85   104     4.66     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    1.21    64    0.00     0     1.90     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   13.95   112    7.31    58    12.50    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.89   173    8.70    72    12.08    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   23.83   180    7.79    59    13.24    13.32

Next report: August 2 am

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.