August 2, 2023
Summary With a little luck, temperatures will fall into double digits today and will remain below the century mark through Friday. Upper level high pressure has migrated further east, allowing a weak trough of low pressure to settle in over and off the west coast. The marine layer is over 3,000 feet deep now and will have no problem surging through the Delta and other gaps and passes along the Coast Range. However, this will be a short lived situation as high pressure over the southern plains states will again expand westward by the early part of the weekend. It will move into the Golden State by Sunday. Triple digits will again become a way of life by Sunday and will be likely by Monday. models do show the high being displaced again by the middle of next week for our next cooling trend.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Friday with a cooling trend. Mostly clear and warmer Friday night through Saturday night. Mostly clear and warmer Sunday through Tuesday. Mostly clear Wednesday.
Temperatures:
| Madera
93/56/90/55/92 |
Reedley
95/58/91/57/92 |
Dinuba
92/55/90/55/92 |
| Porterville
96/55/91/54/92 |
Lindsay
95/55/91/53/91 |
Delano
95/57/91/56/93 |
| Bakersfield
96/67/91/64/92 |
Taft
95/65/90/63/90 |
Arvin
97/62/91/58/92 |
| Lamont
96/63/93/58/92 |
Pixley
94/58/91/57/92 |
Tulare
94/57/91/56/92 |
| Woodlake
93/56/91/55/92 |
Hanford
94/57/90/56/92 |
Orosi
93/57/90/54/91 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Saturday
Mostly clear 62/100 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 64/102 |
Monday
Mostly clear 64/104 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 65/101 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 62/96 |
Two Week Outlook: August 9 through August 15: This model shows a weak trough of low pressure over the Pacific Northwest, extending southward to off the southern California coast. A weaker very of upper level high pressure will be over the Desert Southwest. This pattern should result in near average temperatures with the dry conditions continuing.
July: Typically, this time of year there is absolutely nothing going on in the world of weather. Temperature forecasts are the main forecast challenge. For now, the usual dry conditions will prevail with temperatures near to marginally above average
July, August, September: The monsoon into the Desert Southwest and occasionally California is what we carefully watch this time of year, especially during August and September. This model is currently showing below average precipitation over Arizona and New Mexico. This indicates there will be less of a chance of the monsoon visiting California this summer. Temperatures are expected to range above average.
Wind Discussion: During the late morning through the late evening hours, winds will be out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with local gusts to 20 mph through Saturday. During the night and early morning hours, winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 10 mph with locally stronger gusts.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.
Mid afternoon dew points: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.. Kern: Mid to upper 40s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 2.13, Parlier, 1.92, Arvin 2.05, Delano 1.82.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 76, Parlier 80, Arvin 84, Delano 84 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 98/66 Record Temperatures: 112/53
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1177 +115 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.83, Monthly .00
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 10.26, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature this Month 83.5 +2.5 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 6:06, Sunset, 8:03. hours of daylight, 13:59
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H L
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 98 / 64 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 102 / 61 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 104 / 71 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 103 / 69 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 103 / 65 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DHM / M / M / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 100 / 64 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DHM / M / M / M /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 100 / 65 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DHM / M / M / M /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 96 / 67 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 174 9.81 73 13.36 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 20.17 165 9.00 74 12.20 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.86 178 7.44 63 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.62 108 2.21 21 10.76 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.83 163 6.29 57 10.94 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.58 180 6.34 78 8.09 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 10.26 163 5.41 86 6.31 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 14.52 312 4.85 104 4.66 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.21 64 0.00 0 1.90 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.95 112 7.31 58 12.50 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.89 173 8.70 72 12.08 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.83 180 7.79 59 13.24 13.32
Next report: August 3 am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.