August 5, 2023
Summary Even by the standards of August, this is a very quiet weather pattern. a flat zone of upper level high pressure stretches from Texas to southern California. Central California is on the far northwest flank of the high, putting us under a dry southwest flow aloft. With slowly increasing pressure over central California, the marine layer has shrunk back down to 1,200 feet. Winds through Travis Air Force Base are southwest at just 12 mph, meaning no modified air will move down the valley for at least the next 72 hours. Temperatures will gradually warm through Monday as readings will rise into triple digit territory as early as tomorrow, peaking Monday, generally in the 100 to 105 degree range. Winds aloft will remain out of the west/southwest through Friday. Models for the coming weekend indicate south to southeast flow will develop which may tap into some monsoonal moisture for a chance of isolated thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada beginning Saturday. Otherwise, the pattern will remain very dry.
Forecast Clear skies through Tuesday. Mostly clear Tuesday night through Saturday.
Temperatures:
| Madera
97/62/100/65/102 |
Reedley
98/63/100/65/102 |
Dinuba
96/62/99/64/102 |
| Porterville
98/63/101/65/103 |
Lindsay
97/63/101/65/102 |
Delano
98/65/102/67/103 |
| Bakersfield
99/72/102/75/104 |
Taft
97/73/100/76/102 |
Arvin
99/69/102/71/103 |
| Lamont
99/68/102/72,/105 |
Pixley
97/63/100/67/103 |
Tulare
96/62/99/65/101 |
| Woodlake
97/63/101/65/102 |
Hanford
98/64/101/66/103 |
Orosi
96/62/100/65/102 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Tuesday
Mostly clear 63/99 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 61/94 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 61/95 |
Friday
Mostly clear 63/96 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 67/98 |
Two Week Outlook: August 12 through August 18 This model is indicating high pressure over the Desert Southwest will become more dominant during this time frame. temperatures will be somewhat above average with dry conditions continuing.
August: This model indicates temperatures over the next 30 days will be near to slightly above seasonal averages. Dry weather will continue, although we will have to keep a watchful eye to the south for possible tropical activity.
August, September, October: This model shows above average temperatures for much of the west, particularly the Desert Southwest. It also points to below average precipitation over the Desert Southwest, possibly meaning a less active monsoon season. The chance of precipitation for central California appears to be near average.
Wind Discussion: During the late morning through the late evening hours, winds will be out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with local gusts to 20 mph through Tuesday. During the night and early morning hours, winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 10 mph with locally stronger gusts.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 2.01, Parlier, 1.84, Arvin 2.04, Delano 1.81.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 75, Parlier 79, Arvin 82, Delano 82 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 98/66 Record Temperatures: 110/51
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1213 +110 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.83, Monthly .00
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 10.26, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature this Month 78.4 -2.6 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 6:09, Sunset, 8:00. hours of daylight, 13:54
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H L
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 94 / 62 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 94 / 61 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 93 / 72 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 94 / 66 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 96 / 62 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 91 / 71 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 91 / 64 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 91 / 64 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 174 9.81 73 13.36 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 20.17 165 9.00 74 12.20 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.86 178 7.44 63 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.62 108 2.21 21 10.76 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.83 163 6.29 57 10.94 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.58 180 6.34 78 8.09 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 10.26 163 5.41 86 6.31 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 14.52 311 4.92 105 4.67 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.21 63 0.00 0 1.92 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.95 112 7.31 58 12.50 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.89 173 8.70 72 12.08 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.83 180 7.79 59 13.24 13.32
Next report: August 6 am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.