Updates
  • Out/pneumonia Pardon the interruption again, folks. John had been coughing more and more frequently lately. Difficult breathing yesterday resulted in an ambulance ride to the local…
  • May 8, 2024 report May 8, 2024 Summary  High pressure aloft is  located 500 miles off the northern California coast. Low pressure is centered over Wyoming and the Dakotas…
  • May 6, 2024 report May 6, 2024 Summary  An elongated trough of low pressure extends from the Gulf of Alaska to the Pacific Northwest while high pressure is setting…
  • May 4, 2024 report May 4, 2024 Summary  A low pressure center is off the coast of the Pacific Northwest this morning. This low will move southwestward into northern…
  • May 2, 2024 report May 2, 2024 Summary  upper level high pressure is upwelling ahead of a low pressure system located in the northeast Pacific. This will drive temperatures…
Forecast

August 6, 2023

Summary Upper level high pressure stretches from Texas to California this morning. A bubble of warm,  subsiding air is currently above California. The latest sounding above Vandenburg AFB indicated a freezing level all the way up to 17, 300 feet while the marine layer has been crushed down to 1,000 feet. Temperatures will peak in the 100 to 105 degree range today then trend lower Tuesday and Wednesday. Expect mid to upper 90s Tuesday and Wednesday then down into the low to mid 90s Thursday and Friday. There is a minor wild card out there which comes in the form of weakening tropical storm Eugene. Eugene is currently about 300 miles west of Baja. By midday Wednesday, the remnants of Eugene will be roughly 300 miles southwest of San Diego. A southwest flow aloft will tap into what’s left of Eugene. Some of this moisture will move over central California Wednesday and Thursday, possibly resulting in partly cloudy skies from time to time and a chance of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada and maybe even over the Kern County mountains. No precipitation is expected over the valley floor. temperatures will warm back up into the century mark by early next week.

 

Forecast Clear skies through Tuesday morning. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Tuesday afternoon through Saturday. Mostly clear Sunday through Monday.

 

Temperatures:

Madera

102/65/98/59/94

Reedley

103/63/99/59/94

Dinuba

101/62/98/59/94

Porterville

103/62/99/58/95

Lindsay

102/61/99/59/94

Delano

104/64/100/60/95

Bakersfield

103/72/100/70/95

Taft

102/72/99/69/93

Arvin

104/68/100/65/96

Lamont

105/69/100/67/95

Pixley

102/63/97/59/93

Tulare

101/61/99/58/94

Woodlake

102/63/99/58/93

Hanford

103/62/100/58/95

Orosi

102/61/99/58/93

 

Seven Day Forecast

Thursday

Partly cloudy

58/93

Friday

Partly cloudy

61/92

Saturday

Mostly clear

64/93

Sunday

Mostly clear

65/98

Monday

Mostly clear

66/101

 

Two Week Outlook:  August 14 through August 30   This model points to hot weather over the Pacific Northwest and northern California with above average temperatures over the remainder of California. Expect a chance of isolated thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada. Otherwise, dry conditions will prevail.

 

August:  This model indicates temperatures over the next 30 days will be near to slightly above seasonal averages. Dry weather will continue, although we will have to keep a watchful eye to the south for possible tropical activity.

 

August, September, October: This  model shows above average temperatures for much of the west, particularly the Desert Southwest. It also points to below average precipitation over the Desert Southwest, possibly meaning a less active monsoon season. The chance of precipitation for central California appears to be near average.

 

Wind Discussion:  Winds will be mainly out of the northwest afternoons through late evening at 8 to 15 mph through tonight. Winds Tuesday through Thursday will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph. Gusts to 25 mph will be possible through Thursday, mainly along the Interstate 5 corridor but locally elsewhere.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.

 

Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.99, Parlier, 1.83, Arvin 2.04, Delano 1.82.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 74, Parlier 79, Arvin 83, Delano 82 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 98/66  Record Temperatures: 112/54

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  1213 +110 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  17.83, Monthly  .00

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 10.26, Monthly:  .00

Average Temperature this Month 78.4 -2.6 taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 6:10, Sunset, 7:58.  hours of daylight, 13:50

NA=Not available

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H        L        

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  99 /  68 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 / 100 /  64 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 / 100 /  72 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 / 101 /  64 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 / 103 /  64 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DHM    /  97 /  69 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  98 /  64 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DHM    /   M /   M /    M /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  98 /  67 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DHM    /   M /   M /    M /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /   M /  69 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall stats:                      seas    %        L.Y   %     ave.     s.a.

STOCKTON                      0.00   23.21   174    9.81    73    13.36    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   20.17   165    9.00    74    12.20    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.86   178    7.44    63    11.75    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   11.62   108    2.21    21    10.76    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   17.83   163    6.29    57    10.94    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   14.58   180    6.34    78     8.09     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00   10.26   163    5.41    86     6.31     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   14.52   311    4.92   105     4.67     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    1.21    63    0.00     0     1.92     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   13.95   112    7.31    58    12.50    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.89   173    8.70    72    12.08    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   23.83   180    7.79    59    13.24    13.32

 

Next report: August 7 am

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.