August 9, 2023
Summary A weak trough of low pressure extends from off the coast of the Pacific Northwest southward to off the central California coast. In the meantime, remnants of tropical storm Eugene have spread as far north as Tulare County in the form of mid and high level clouds. A weak upper low will develop off the central California coast on Thursday and will potentially draw more moisture northward, resulting in a chance of sprinkles or even an isolated light shower. This feature will either be just off shore or over central California through early next week. there will be daily chances of isolated thunderstorms over the southern Sierra Nevada and the Kern County mountains and deserts through early next week. the marine layer has deepened all the way up to 2,600 feet and is moving into the valley. Temperatures will lower into the mid 90s today and into the lower 90s Thursday and Friday. Our next warming trend will begin Sunday as upper level high pressure will stretch from Texas back through California Monday through Wednesday of next week. widespread triple digit temperatures are likely beginning Monday and lasting through at least Thursday. Models show a large area of low pressure moving from western Canada and extending into central California next weekend for our next cooling trend.
Forecast Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy through Monday. there will be a slight chance of sprinkles or isolated showers beginning this afternoon and continuing through Monday. mostly clear Tuesday through Wednesday with occasional high clouds.
Temperatures:
| Madera
93/59/90/63/91 |
Reedley
94/62/90/63/89 |
Dinuba
92/60/90/62/89 |
| Porterville
94/63/91/62/90 |
Lindsay
94/61/90/63/91 |
Delano
95/61/92/62/90 |
| Bakersfield
95/72/91/71/91 |
Taft
93/72/90/68/91 |
Arvin
96/66/91/64/91 |
| Lamont
96/67/90/64/91 |
Pixley
94/62/90/64/91 |
Tulare
93/61/90/62/90 |
| Woodlake
92/62/90/62/90 |
Hanford
92/63/90/63/90 |
Orosi
93/61/91/62/89 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Saturday
Mostly clear 65/95 |
Sunday
Partly cloudy 65/99 |
Monday
Partly cloudy 66/102 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 68/104 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 65/101 |
Two Week Outlook: August 14 through August 30 This model points to hot weather over the Pacific Northwest and northern California with above average temperatures over the remainder of California. Expect a chance of isolated thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada. Otherwise, dry conditions will prevail.
August: This model indicates temperatures over the next 30 days will be near to slightly above seasonal averages. Dry weather will continue, although we will have to keep a watchful eye to the south for possible tropical activity.
August, September, October: This model shows above average temperatures for much of the west, particularly the Desert Southwest. It also points to below average precipitation over the Desert Southwest, possibly meaning a less active monsoon season. The chance of precipitation for central California appears to be near average.
Wind Discussion: Winds today through this evening will be mainly out of the west to northwest at 8 to 15 mph at times with locally stronger gusts. During the night and morning hours winds will generally be at or less than 8 mph with periods of near calm conditions through Saturday.
Rain Discussion: There will be a slight chance of sprinkles or even an isolated very llight shower at any given time through Monday. the chance of measurable rain at any particular location is at or less than 10%. Where precipitation does fall only trace amounts can be expected. This risk will last through Monday due to a very weak upper low in the vicinity of central California through the weekend. For now, I’m going to leave the chance of sprinkles out of the forecast for Monday and beyond. These types of situations this time of year make me a bit nervous as these weak upper lows occasionally can add convection to the atmosphere to produce measurable rain.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 2.00, Parlier, 1.82, Arvin 2.10, Delano 1.84.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 75, Parlier 79, Arvin 82, Delano 82 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 97/66 Record Temperatures: 111/55
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1285 +118 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.83, Monthly .00
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 10.26, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature this Month 80.6 -0.4 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 6:12, Sunset, 7:56. hours of daylight, 13:46
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H L
MCE : Merced AP 153 : M / M / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 100 / 57 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 100 / 69 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 101 / 63 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 101 / 62 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 101 / 70 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 98 / 60 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 99 / 62 / 0.00 /
IYK : Inyokern AP 2455 : 106 / 69 / 0.00 /
MHV : Mojave AP 2785 : 95 / 70 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 174 9.81 73 13.36 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 20.17 165 9.00 74 12.20 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.86 178 7.44 63 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.62 108 2.21 21 10.76 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.83 163 6.34 58 10.94 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.58 180 6.36 79 8.09 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 10.26 163 5.41 86 6.31 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 14.52 310 5.63 120 4.68 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.21 63 1.70 88 1.93 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.95 112 7.31 58 12.51 12.58
PASO ROBLES M M M M M M 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.83 180 7.79 59 13.24 13.32
Next report: August 10 am
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