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Forecast

August 29, 2023 report

August 29, 2023

Summary  A warm and very dry air mass is in place and will maintain marginally above average temperatures through Wednesday then will peak Thursday. The freezing level is all the way up to 18,200 feet. At the surface, the marine layer remains near 1,100 feet. A significant cool down will begin Friday as a trough of low pressure over the Pacific Northwest digs southward into California. A strong push of marine air will push inland Thursday night and Friday, lowering temperatures into the low to mid 80s, a good 12 to 15 degrees cooler than anticipated temperatures for Friday. The trough will remain in place through Sunday with temperatures remaining below average into Monday. a ridge of high pressure will build in from the west by late Monday for our next right of above average temperatures. A dry west to southwest flow will prevail through the entire week, ensuring very dry conditions.

 

Forecast Mostly clear skies through Saturday. Mostly clear Saturday night through Tuesday.

 

Temperatures:

Madera

96/62/96/64/99

Reedley

97/61/97/64/100

Dinuba

96/61/97/64/98

Porterville

96//63/97/64/99

Lindsay

96/61/97/63/98

Delano

97/64/97/65/99

Bakersfield

97/70/98/72/99

Taft

94/70/94/72/95

Arvin

97/66/98/68/99

Lamont

96/66/98/67/100

Pixley

97/68/98/68/100`

Tulare

96/62/97/63/98

Woodlake

96/63/96/65/98

Hanford

97/63/97/64/99

Orosi

96/61/97/63/98

 

Seven Day Forecast

Friday

Mostly clear

59/85

Saturday

Mostly clear

58/82

Sunday

Mostly clear

61/84

Monday

Mostly clear

61/90

Tuesday

Mostly clear

62/95

 

Two Week Outlook:  September 4 through September 10: This model shows a fairly substantial trough of low pressure along the west coast while a big high centers over the middle of the country. This will result in below average temperatures for central California with dry weather continuing.

 

August:  This model indicates temperatures over the next 30 days will be near to slightly above seasonal averages. Dry weather will continue, although we will have to keep a watchful eye to the south for possible tropical activity.

 

August, September, October: This model shows above average temperatures for much of the west, particularly the Desert Southwest. It also points to below average precipitation over the Desert Southwest, possibly meaning a less active monsoon season. The chance of precipitation for central California appears to be near average.

 

Wind Discussion:  Winds during the night and morning hours will be generally at or less than 15 mph through Wednesday. During the afternoon and evening, winds will be out of the northwest. Later Thursday afternoon through Friday, winds will be out of the northwest at 10 to 20 mph with locally stronger gusts.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions.

 

Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.75, Parlier, 1.59, Arvin 1.75, Delano 1.61.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 77, Parlier 79, Arvin 81, Delano 79 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 95/64  Record Temperatures: 109/52

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  1647 +186 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  18.02, Monthly  .19

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 11.34, Monthly:  1.08

Average Temperature this Month 82.2 +2.1 taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 6:28, Sunset, 7:30.  hours of daylight, 13:04

NA=Not available

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H       

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  99 /  57 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 / 100 /  56 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  99 /  68 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  99 /  60 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 / 101 /  57 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  97 /  60 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DHM    /   M /   M /    M /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  97 /  63 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DHM    /   M /   M /    M /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  96 /  62 / 0.00 /

 

/ 0.00 /

Rainfall stats:                      seas    %        L.Y   %     ave.     s.a.

STOCKTON                      0.00   23.21   174    9.81    73    13.37    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   20.17   165    9.00    74    12.21    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.93   178    7.44    63    11.75    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   11.67   108    2.21    21    10.76    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   18.02   165    6.34    58    10.94    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   15.06   186    6.36    79     8.09     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00   11.34   180    5.41    86     6.31     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   16.60   352    5.64   119     4.72     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    3.47   175    1.89    95     1.98     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   13.95   111    7.31    58    12.53    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.89   173    8.70    72    12.09    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   24.05   182    7.79    59    13.25    13.32

 

Next report: August 30

 

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.