August 29, 2023
Summary A warm and very dry air mass is in place and will maintain marginally above average temperatures through Wednesday then will peak Thursday. The freezing level is all the way up to 18,200 feet. At the surface, the marine layer remains near 1,100 feet. A significant cool down will begin Friday as a trough of low pressure over the Pacific Northwest digs southward into California. A strong push of marine air will push inland Thursday night and Friday, lowering temperatures into the low to mid 80s, a good 12 to 15 degrees cooler than anticipated temperatures for Friday. The trough will remain in place through Sunday with temperatures remaining below average into Monday. a ridge of high pressure will build in from the west by late Monday for our next right of above average temperatures. A dry west to southwest flow will prevail through the entire week, ensuring very dry conditions.
Forecast Mostly clear skies through Saturday. Mostly clear Saturday night through Tuesday.
Temperatures:
Madera
96/62/96/64/99 |
Reedley
97/61/97/64/100 |
Dinuba
96/61/97/64/98 |
Porterville
96//63/97/64/99 |
Lindsay
96/61/97/63/98 |
Delano
97/64/97/65/99 |
Bakersfield
97/70/98/72/99 |
Taft
94/70/94/72/95 |
Arvin
97/66/98/68/99 |
Lamont
96/66/98/67/100 |
Pixley
97/68/98/68/100` |
Tulare
96/62/97/63/98 |
Woodlake
96/63/96/65/98 |
Hanford
97/63/97/64/99 |
Orosi
96/61/97/63/98 |
Seven Day Forecast
Friday
Mostly clear 59/85 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 58/82 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 61/84 |
Monday
Mostly clear 61/90 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 62/95 |
Two Week Outlook: September 4 through September 10: This model shows a fairly substantial trough of low pressure along the west coast while a big high centers over the middle of the country. This will result in below average temperatures for central California with dry weather continuing.
August: This model indicates temperatures over the next 30 days will be near to slightly above seasonal averages. Dry weather will continue, although we will have to keep a watchful eye to the south for possible tropical activity.
August, September, October: This model shows above average temperatures for much of the west, particularly the Desert Southwest. It also points to below average precipitation over the Desert Southwest, possibly meaning a less active monsoon season. The chance of precipitation for central California appears to be near average.
Wind Discussion: Winds during the night and morning hours will be generally at or less than 15 mph through Wednesday. During the afternoon and evening, winds will be out of the northwest. Later Thursday afternoon through Friday, winds will be out of the northwest at 10 to 20 mph with locally stronger gusts.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.75, Parlier, 1.59, Arvin 1.75, Delano 1.61.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 77, Parlier 79, Arvin 81, Delano 79 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 95/64 Record Temperatures: 109/52
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1647 +186 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 18.02, Monthly .19
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 11.34, Monthly: 1.08
Average Temperature this Month 82.2 +2.1 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 6:28, Sunset, 7:30. hours of daylight, 13:04
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 99 / 57 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 100 / 56 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 99 / 68 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 99 / 60 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 101 / 57 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 97 / 60 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DHM / M / M / M /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 97 / 63 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DHM / M / M / M /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 96 / 62 / 0.00 /
/ 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 174 9.81 73 13.37 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 20.17 165 9.00 74 12.21 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.93 178 7.44 63 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.67 108 2.21 21 10.76 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 18.02 165 6.34 58 10.94 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 15.06 186 6.36 79 8.09 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 11.34 180 5.41 86 6.31 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 16.60 352 5.64 119 4.72 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 3.47 175 1.89 95 1.98 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.95 111 7.31 58 12.53 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.89 173 8.70 72 12.09 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 24.05 182 7.79 59 13.25 13.32
Next report: August 30
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.