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Forecast

September 8, 2023 report

September 8, 2023

Summary  A zone of high pressure stretches from the Desert Southwest westward over California while a trough of low pressure centers over the Gulf of Alaska to a trough well west of California. The winds aloft are currently out of the southwest. To our southeast, monsoonal moisture is a main feature with some high clouds reacing into southeast California. In the meantime, Hurricane Jova is well off the southern tip of Baja or about a thousand west/southwest of Cabo San Lucas Mexico. Movement is to the west/northwest at 12 mph. Jova will continue to weaken into a tropical storm Saturday and will be a depression by Monday. as the storm weakens and unwinds well to the west/southwest of San Diego by Monday, mid and high level clouds will get caught up in a southwesterly flow aloft moving over central California beginning Saturday and continuing for several days thereafter. No rain will occur but it will add a little interest to the sky from time to time. Mid to upper 90s will continuing through Tuesday then will dip into the lower 90s Wednesday and  Thursday and with some luck will move down into the upper  80s Friday as a trough of low pressure moves onshore.

 

Forecast Mostly clear through tonight. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Saturday through Friday.

 

Temperatures:

Madera

96/62/96/63/96

Reedley

97/65/96/64/96

Dinuba

95/63/95/64/95

Porterville/’

97/62/96/62/96

Lindsay

96/61/96/62/95

Delano

97/64/96/65/96

Bakersfield

97/70/96/72/96

Taft

94/71/93/72/93

Arvin

98/68/97/68/97

Lamont

98/67/96/67/96

Pixley

96/63/96/62/95

Tulare

95/61/95/60/94

Woodlake

96/63/96/62/95

Hanford

96/62/97/62/96

Orosi

95/62/95/63/94

 

Seven Day Forecast

Monday

Partly cloudy

63/96

Tuesday

Partly cloudy

63/95

Wednesday

Partly cloudy

61/92

Thursday

Partly cloudy

61/90

Friday

Partly cloudy

59/87

 

Two Week Outlook:  September 12  through September 18: This model indicates high pressure will be parked over the desert southwest with a weak trough of low pressure along the Pacific coast. This configuration will result in near average temperatures for the valley with dry conditions continuing.

 

August:  This model indicates temperatures over the next 30 days will be near to slightly above seasonal averages. Dry weather will continue, although we will have to keep a watchful eye to the south for possible tropical activity.

 

August, September, October: This model shows above average temperatures for much of the west, particularly the Desert Southwest. It also points to below average precipitation over the Desert Southwest, possibly meaning a less active monsoon season. The chance of precipitation for central California appears to be near average.

 

Wind Discussion:  Winds will be at or less than 15 mph through Monday during the afternoons and evenings and generally at or less than  10 mph during the nights and mornings with periods of near calm conditions.

 

Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.33, Parlier, 1.31, Arvin 1.49, Delano 1.37.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 74, Parlier 76, Arvin 80, Delano 76 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 93/62  Record Temperatures: 108/49

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  1747 +182 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  18.02, Monthly  .00

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 11.34, Monthly:  .00

Average Temperature this Month 75.3 -2.5 taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 6:36, Sunset, 7:16.  hours of daylight, 12:41

NA=Not available

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H       

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  92 /  59 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  95 /  57 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  94 /  64 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  96 /  63 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  95 /  61 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  93 /  68 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  93 /  60 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  94 /  62 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  91 /   M / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall stats:                      seas    %        L.Y   %     ave.     s.a.

STOCKTON                      0.00   23.21   174    9.81    73    13.37    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   20.18   165    9.00    74    12.21    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.93   178    7.44    63    11.75    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   11.67   108    2.21    21    10.76    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   18.02   165    6.34    58    10.94    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   15.06   186    6.36    79     8.09     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00   11.34   179    5.41    86     6.32     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   16.60   350    5.65   119     4.74     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    3.64   178    1.89    93     2.04     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   13.95   111    7.31    58    12.53    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.90   173    8.70    72    12.09    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   24.08   182    7.79    59    13.26    13.32

Next report: September 9`

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.