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October 13, 2023 report

Friday the 13th

Summary   a weak ridge of upper level high pressure is currently moving through California. Surface pressure is marginally higher over Nevada than off the California coast.  The combination of these factors will result in a warming trend.. our current pattern is a progressive one. Weak areas of low pressure continue to move inland well to our north followed by ridges of high pressure. One such area of high pressure will move inland. The next trough will move through Monday night and Tuesday. All this will maintain marginally above average temperatures through the middle of next week. the mid and high level clouds moving through this morning will be out of here by this afternoon and will be followed by another area of mid and high level clouds tonight and Saturday. Models have come into more focus for our patter from Wednesday through next weekend. They show a larger and more significant area of high pressure building in from the southwest which may push temperatures into the lower 90s next Thursday and Friday.

Forecast Partly cloudy this morning. Mostly clear this afternoon and evening. Partly cloudy tonight and Saturday. Mostly clear Saturday night and on through Friday of next week.  

Temperatures:

Madera 83/50/83/53/85Reedley 83/51/82/53/84Dinuba 81/50/82/51/83
Porterville 84/50/83/52/84Lindsay 82/49/82/51/85Delano 84/53/82/53/85
Bakersfield 84/55/85/58/86Taft 81/58/80/58/83Arvin 84/53/85/55/86
Lamont 84/54/83/55/85Pixley 83/52/83/53/85Tulare 81/50//83/52/84
Woodlake 82/50/82/52/84Hanford 83/51/82/52/84Orosi 81/49/82/52/84

Seven Day Forecast

Monday Mostly clear 52/86Tuesday Mostly clear 54/86Wednesday Mostly clear 52/85Thursday Mostly clear 54/90Friday Mostly clear 55/91

Two Week Outlook:  October 20 through October 26  This model  shows a large upper high covering the eastern Pacific and the western 1/3, resulting in dry conditions and above average temperatures.    

October:  This model indicates that October will be marginally warmer than average. It also points to above average precipitation from Texas to southern California. Central California will have a better than even chance of above average precipitation.

October, November, December  This model shows a marginal chance of above average temperatures over the next 90 days. There is no indication of above or below average precipitation through December. We will be dealing with a strong El Nino this winter. Whether or not that translates into abundant rainfall for central California remains to be seen.

Wind Discussion Winds through Monday will be generally less than 12 mph afternoons and evenings and generally at or less than 5 mph during the night and early morning hours with periods of near calm conditions.   

Rain Discussion.  Expect dry conditions indefinitely.  

Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Mid to upper 40s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.16, Parlier, ,99, Arvin 1.27, Delano 1.12.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 71, Parlier *, Arvin 75, Delano 72 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 81/53,  Record Temperatures: 97/38

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  2099 +256 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  T, Monthly  .00

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: .15, Monthly:  .15

Average Temperature this Month 71.8 +3.3. taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier,  Arvin, Belridge, Shafter, Stratford,  Delano,  Porterville.  Courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise, 7:04.  Sunset, 6:27.  hours of daylight, 11:25

NA=Not available

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H       

: …Valley…

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  79 /  60 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  80 /  57 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  80 /  57 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  81 /  54 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  82 /  55 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DHM    /  80 /  58 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  80 /  53 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  80 /  53 / 0.00 /

Rainfall stats:                      seas    %        L.Y   %     ave.     s.a.

STOCKTON                      0.00    0.00     0    0.00     0     0.12    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00    0.00     0    0.00     0     0.09    12.27

MERCED                        0.00    0.01     9    0.00     0     0.11    11.80

MADERA                        0.00    0.00     0    0.00     0     0.07    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00    0.00     0    0.00     0     0.09    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00    0.00     0    0.00     0     0.09     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    0.15   375    0.00     0     0.04     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00    0.18   164       T     0     0.11     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    0.00     0    0.00     0     0.05     2.20

SALINAS                       0.01    0.02    18    0.00     0     0.11    12.58

PASO ROBLES                      M       M     M       M     M        M    12.15

SANTA MARIA                      T       T     0    0.00     0     0.09    13.32

Next report: October 14                                                                                                                                                     At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.