October 27, 2023
Summary For the first time this season, low temperatures are bottoming out in the upper 30s this morning. As of 5:00am, Fowler had bottomed out to 38 and clovis 39. Several other locations have dipped down into the lower 40s. a northeast to southwest trough of low pressure stretches from central Canada to northern California. Over the next 36 hours, surface high pressure will develop over the Great Basin. All of this will create an off shore flow both at the surface and aloft. No active weather will be associated with this change, however drier air will infiltrate the valley, lowering dew points. This will allow more locations to chill into the 30s. it’s possible a river bottom out there somewhere could drop into the lower 30s Monday and Tuesday mornings. Most locations, however, will come in in the mid 30s to the lower 40s. by mid week, a high center will develop off the southern California coast, creating a zonal or westerly flow in the upper atmosphere. The storm track will run from east to west into the Pacific Northwest and about the northern 1/3 of California. However, that ridge of high pressure will remain off the south coast, maintaining the storm track north of the growing area.
Forecast Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy through Sunday. Mostly clear Sunday night through Friday.
Temperatures
| Madera 69/40/68/37/69 | Reedley 70/41/68/37/69 | Dinuba 67/42/67/39/69 |
| Porterville 70/41/68/47/68 | Lindsay 69/39/67/37/69 | Delano 71/44/68/40/68 |
| Bakersfield 70/48/62/45/67 | Taft 66/49//65/45/64 | Arvin 71/43/69/43/69 |
| Lamont 70/44/67/42/68 | Pixley 70/40/68/36/69 | Tulare 67//38/67/37/69 |
| Woodlake 68/40/67/38//68 | Hanford 69/42/67/40/69 | Orosi 68/39/67/37/68 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Monday Mostly clear 35/73 | Tuesday Mostly clear 37/76 | Wednesday Mostly clear 39/78 | Thursday Mostly clear 39/78 | Friday Mostly clear 43/75 |
Two Week Outlook: November 1 through November 7 This model shows periodic chances of rain for the northern 1/3 of California with a small chance of showers over central California, generally north of Fresno. temperatures will run somewhat above average.
October: This model indicates that October will be marginally warmer than average. It also points to above average precipitation from Texas t o southern California. Central California will have a better than even chance of above average precipitation.
October, November, December This model shows a marginal chance of above average temperatures over the next 90 days. There is no indication of above or below average precipitation through December. We will be dealing with a strong El Nino this winter. Whether or not that translates into abundant rainfall for central California remains to be seen.
Wind Discussion Winds through this evening will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with stronger gusts along the west side. Winds later tonight through Monday will be mainly at or less than 10 mph with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain Discussion. Expect dry weather for at least the next week.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 40s. Kern: Low to mid 40s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .82, Parlier, .70, Arvin 79, Delano .75.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 68, Parlier *, Arvin 71, Delano 68 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 74/48, Record Temperatures: 89/35
Heating Degree Days This Season. 9 -4950Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno T, Monthly .T
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: .30, Monthly: .30
Average Temperature this Month 69.4 +3.8 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier, Arvin, Belridge, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Porterville. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise, 7:18. Sunset, 6:07. hours of daylight, 10:50
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 68 / 51 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 69 / 50 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 70 / 55 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 70 / 50 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 71 / 52 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 69 / 50 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 69 / 49 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 69 / 48 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 67 / 48 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 0.19 37 0.00 0 0.51 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 0.42 102 0.00 0 0.41 12.27
MERCED 0.00 0.16 33 0.00 0 0.48 11.80
MADERA 0.00 0.02 6 0.00 0 0.32 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 T 0 0.00 0 0.42 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 T 0 0.00 0 0.35 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.30 150 0.00 0 0.20 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 0.18 60 T 0 0.30 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.10 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 0.22 49 0.01 2 0.45 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.42 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 T 0 T 0 0.39 13.32
Next report: October 28
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.