October 28, 2023
Summary a very large swath of low pressure stretches from Hudson Bay, Canada southwestward to central California. A sharp ridge of upper level high pressure stretches from off shore California to the Gulf of Alaska. This has generated a northerly flow from western Canada to northern California. At the surface, high pressure is centered over the Great Basin and is generating an off shore flow. All this sounds rather complex, but all it really means is temperatures will remain somewhat below average. The off shore flow is mixing down dry air from above to the valley floor. as a rule of thumb, the drier the air the greater its ability to cool. As of 5:00 this morning, both Sanger and Fowler were reporting 34 degrees while most other locations were in the mid 30s to the lower 40s. The off shore high will begin to build inland Sunday and Monday. this will result in a warming trend, however low dew points mean nights will be chilly this upcoming week. by Wednesday, the top portion of the high will break down, allowing the storm track to return to the Pacific Northwest. Medium range models show a new high building along the west coast starting Monday of next week, so for now it appears dry weather will continue for the next week to possibly ten days.
Forecast Mostly clear skies through Thursday. Mostly clear skies will continue Thursday night through Saturday.
Temperatures
| Madera 68/37/69/37/74 | Reedley 68/38/70/38/75 | Dinuba 67/36/68/37/70 |
| Porterville 68/38/70/38/74 | Lindsay 67/35/69/36/73 | Delano 68/39/70/38/74 |
| Bakersfield 39/41/71/40/75 | Taft 65/45/67/45/71 | Arvin 69//40/70/39/75 |
| Lamont 69/41//72/39/75 | Pixley 67/38/70/38/75 | Tulare 67//35/70/36/73 |
| Woodlake 68/37/70/37/74 | Hanford 68/38/70/38/74 | Orosi 67/36/68/36/73 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Tuesday Mostly clear 36/75 | Wednesday Mostly clear 37/78 | Thursday Mostly clear 40/81 | Friday Mostly clear 46/77 | Saturday Mostly clear 44/79 |
Two Week Outlook: November 4 through November 10 This model shows periodic chances of rain for the northern 1/3 of California with a small chance of showers over central California, generally north of Fresno. temperatures will run somewhat above average.
October: This model indicates that October will be marginally warmer than average. It also points to above average precipitation from Texas t o southern California. Central California will have a better than even chance of above average precipitation.
October, November, December This model shows a marginal chance of above average temperatures over the next 90 days. There is no indication of above or below average precipitation through December. We will be dealing with a strong El Nino this winter. Whether or not that translates into abundant rainfall for central California remains to be seen.
Wind Discussion Winds through this evening will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with stronger gusts along the west side. Winds later tonight through Tuesday will be mainly at or less than 10 mph with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain Discussion. Expect dry weather for at least the next week.
Mid afternoon dew points: Upper 30s to the lower 40s. Kern: Mid to upper 30s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .79, Parlier, .66, Arvin 74, Delano .71.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 67, Parlier *, Arvin 70, Delano 67 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 73/48, Record Temperatures: 89/35
Heating Degree Days This Season. 15 -48 widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno T, Monthly .T
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: .30, Monthly: .30
Average Temperature this Month 69.0 +3.7 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier, Arvin, Belridge, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Porterville. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise, 7:19. Sunset, 6:06. hours of daylight, 10:47
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 71 / 36 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 71 / 39 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 71 / 47 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 72 / 46 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 73 / 41 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 69 / 47 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 70 / 42 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 70 / 42 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 67 / 43 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 0.19 35 0.00 0 0.55 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 0.42 95 0.00 0 0.44 12.27
MERCED 0.00 0.16 31 0.00 0 0.51 11.80
MADERA 0.00 0.02 6 0.00 0 0.34 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 T 0 0.00 0 0.44 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 T 0 0.00 0 0.38 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.30 143 0.00 0 0.21 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 0.18 58 T 0 0.31 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.11 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 0.22 46 0.01 2 0.48 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.45 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 T 0 T 0 0.42 13.32
Next report: October 30
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.