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October 30, 2023 report

October 30, 2023

Summary  temperatures at this hour are off to a very chilly start. Most locations are well down into the 30s. Reedley came in at 30 and Sanger 32 for the coldest locations  I could find. Afternoons will be beautiful this week with temperatures in the mid to upper 70s; a   ridge of high pressure is directly overhead and will maintain control of our weather for the remainder of the week. the top portion of the high will break down over the Pacific Northwest but will remain centered off the southern California coast through the weekend. Longer range models do not show a  pattern that would result in precipitation. Look for dry weather to continue for the next 7 to 10 days with above average daytime temperatures continuing.

Forecast  Mostly clear skies through Thursday. Mostly clear skies will continue Thursday night through Monday.  

Temperatures                               

Madera 74//38/74/39/75Reedley 75/39/76/39/77Dinuba 73/37/75/38/77
Porterville 75/39/76/40/77Lindsay 74/37/75/39/77Delano 74//39/77//40/78
Bakersfield 76/56/76//57/78Taft 73/46/74/47/78Arvin 75/40/77/41/74
Lamont 76/41/77//42/77Pixley 75/40/76/41/76Tulare 73/38/75/39/76
Woodlake 75//38/76/39/78Hanford 76//41//76/41/77Orosi 73/38/75/40/76

Seven Day Forecast

Thursday Mostly clear 40/78Friday Mostly clear 41/78Saturday Mostly clear 45/77Sunday Mostly clear 48/76  Monday Mostly clear 49/76  

Two Week Outlook:  November 6 through November 12     This model shows periodic chances of rain for the northern 1/3 of California with a small chance of showers over central California, generally north of Fresno. temperatures will run somewhat above average.   

October:  This model indicates that October will be marginally warmer than average. It also points to above average precipitation from Texas t o southern California. Central California will have a better than even chance of above average precipitation.

October, November, December  This model shows a marginal chance of above average temperatures over the next 90 days. There is no indication of above or below average precipitation through December. We will be dealing with a strong El Nino this winter. Whether or not that translates into abundant rainfall for central California remains to be seen.

Wind Discussion  Winds through this evening will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with stronger gusts along the west side. Winds later tonight through Thursday will be mainly at or less than 10 mph with periods of near calm conditions.

Rain Discussion.  Expect dry weather for at least the next week.

Mid afternoon dew points: Upper 20 to the lower 30. Kern: Mid to upper 20s..

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .79, Parlier, .64, Arvin 68, Delano .68.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 66, Parlier *, Arvin 69, Delano 64 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 72/47,  Record Temperatures: 91/27

Heating  Degree Days Season.  15 -48 widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  T, Monthly  .T

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: .30, Monthly:  .30

Average Temperature this Month 68.0 +3.0  taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier,  Arvin, Belridge, Shafter, Stratford,  Delano,  Porterville.  Courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise, 7:21.  Sunset, 6:03.  hours of daylight, 10:43

NA=Not available

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H       

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  71 /  36 /    M /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  72 /  34 /    M /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  71 /  44 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  72 /  37 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  73 /  35 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  72 /  45 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  71 /  39 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  71 /  39 / 0.00 /

Rainfall stats:                      seas    %        L.Y   %     ave.     s.a.

STOCKTON                      0.00    0.19    31    0.00     0     0.62    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00    0.42    86    0.00     0     0.49    12.27

MERCED                        0.00    0.16    28    0.00     0     0.58    11.80

MADERA                        0.00    0.02     5    0.00     0     0.39    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00       T     0    0.00     0     0.50    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00       T     0    0.00     0     0.42     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    0.30   120    0.00     0     0.25     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00    0.18    55       T     0     0.33     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    0.00     0    0.00     0     0.11     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00    0.22    41    0.01     2     0.54    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00    0.00     0    0.00     0     0.50    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00       T     0       T     0     0.48    13.32

…………………………………………………………………………….

Next report:   October 31                                                                                                                                                            

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.