October 31, 2023
Summary Upper level high pressure remains parked off the southern California coast. Models show the northern portion of the high over the Pacific Northwest breaking down, allowing a moist Pacific jet stream bringing rain back to Washington and Oregon. Basically, a westerly flow will set up over the eastern Pacific Ocean, steering storms onto the west coast. The strongest of these systems will spread showers over northern California down to a Bay Area/Sacramento line. Light precipitation may affect the Sierra Nevada from Yosemite north, mainly Friday and Friday night. Models continue to show an active pattern to our north through the weekend and well into next week. upper level high pressure off the southern California coast will keep the valley dry through the weekend and for much of next week.
Forecast Other than occasional high clouds, it will be mostly clear through Friday. Variable cloudiness at times Friday night through Tuesday..
Temperatures
| Madera 76/39/77/41/79 | Reedley 77/40/78/44/78 | Dinuba 76/38/77/42/78 |
| Porterville 77/39/78/42/79 | Lindsay 77/38/78/42/78 | Delano 78/41/78/42/79 |
| Bakersfield 78/48/78/49/80 | Taft 75/53/75//54/76 | Arvin 78/43/78/44/80 |
| Lamont 79/44/79/45/81 | Pixley 77/40/77/45/79 | Tulare 76/39/77/42/78 |
| Woodlake 76/37/77/42/79 | Hanford 77/40/78/42/78 | Orosi 76/39/77/41/78 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Friday Partly cloudy 40/75 | Saturday Partly cloudy 44/76 | Sunday Partly cloudy 47/77 | Monday Partly cloudy 50/75 | Tuesday Partly cloudy 50/74 |
Two Week Outlook: November 7 through November 13 This model shows periodic chances of rain for the northern 1/3 of California with a small chance of showers over central California, generally north of Fresno. temperatures will run somewhat above average.
October: This model indicates that October will be marginally warmer than average. It also points to above average precipitation from Texas t o southern California. Central California will have a better than even chance of above average precipitation.
October, November, December This model shows a marginal chance of above average temperatures over the next 90 days. There is no indication of above or below average precipitation through December. We will be dealing with a strong El Nino this winter. Whether or not that translates into abundant rainfall for central California remains to be seen.
Wind Discussion Winds through this evening will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with stronger gusts along the west side. Winds later tonight through Friday will be mainly at or less than 10 mph with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain Discussion. Expect dry weather for at least the next week.
Mid afternoon dew points: Upper 20 to the lower 30. Kern: Mid to upper 20s..
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .79, Parlier, .72, Arvin 78, Delano .74.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 66, Parlier *, Arvin 68, Delano 63 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 72/47, Record Temperatures: 90/32
Heating Degree Days Season. 44 -36 widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno T, Monthly .T
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: .30, Monthly: .30
Average Temperature this Month 67.6 +2.8 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier, Arvin, Belridge, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Porterville. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise, 7:22. Sunset, 6:02. hours of daylight, 10:41
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 75 / 37 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 75 / 37 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 74 / 44 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 76 / 36 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 78 / 34 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 78 / 41 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 75 / 38 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 75 / 36 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 73 / 39 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 0.19 29 0.00 0 0.65 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 0.42 81 0.00 0 0.52 12.27
MERCED 0.00 0.16 26 0.00 0 0.61 11.80
MADERA 0.00 0.02 5 0.00 0 0.41 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 T 0 0.00 0 0.53 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 T 0 0.00 0 0.44 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.30 115 0.00 0 0.26 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 0.18 53 T 0 0.34 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.12 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 0.22 39 0.01 2 0.57 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.53 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 T 0 T 0 0.51 13.32
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Next report: November 1
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.