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November 4, 2023/pm report

November 4, 2023

Summary:  A  band of high clouds is currently moving through the south valley at midday. These clouds are associated with a fast moving system that moved through the Pacific Northwest this morning. This system’s impact will be negligible as temperatures are  running a degree or two higher than 24 hours ago. Most locations will warm to near 80 this afternoon and again tomorrow afternoon. The next system to pound the Pacific Northwest will arrive late Sunday with the southern portion of the trough moving through central California Monday night and early Tuesday.  Each model run shows an increasing chance of measurable rain as the dynamics look a bit stronger. Temperatures will fall back to seasonal averages Monday and remain there for the  upcoming week. dry weather will prevail Tuesday afternoon into Friday as a weak ridge of upper level high pressure moves across our region. The next chance of precipitation will arrive late Friday and Saturday in the form of a trough of low pressure. This system is still expected to split with the southern portion forming a low center over southern California. Typically, this pattern does not produce significant precipitation so any amounts will be light.

Forecast: Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy through Sunday. Increasing cloudiness Sunday night. Mostly cloudy Monday with a chance of light showers south of Fresno County, becoming likely from Fresno County north. Light showers likely Monday night into Tuesday north of the Tulare/Fresno County line with a chance of light showers spreading into the south valley. Partly cloudy Tuesday afternoon and night. Mostly clear Wednesday through Thursday. Partly cloudy Thursday night. A chance of showers Friday night and Saturday.

Short Term:                                                                                           

Madera 47/79/50/74Reedley 47/78/51/75Dinuba 46/78/51/73 
Porterville 48/79/51/75Lindsay 46/79/49/73Delano 50/80/52/75 
Bakersfield 54/81/55/75Taft 55/81/55/75Arvin 52/81/52/74 
Lamont 51/80/53/75Pixley 50/79/51/74Tulare 48/78/50/73 
Woodlake 48/79/50/74Hanford 48/78/51/75Orosi 47/77/50/72

Winds: Winds will be at or less than 10 mph with periods of near calm conditions through Sunday morning. Winds late Sunday through Monday will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 15 mph with periods of lighter winds.  

Rain: Dry weather will continue through Sunday night. Lighth showers will become likely from Fresno County north by late Monday afternoon, continuing Monday night into Tuesday. There is a reasonable chance of showers spreading into the south valley Monday night and Tuesday morning. Dry weather will return Tuesday afternoon through at least early Friday. Rainfall amounts should be about .10 to .15 north of Fresno County, rising to .15 to .25 in Merced county. South of Fresno County, generally less than .10 can be expected. The next chance of showers will be late Friday through Saturday due to a weak trough passage. Any amounts will be light.

Frost:  All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night through at least the next 7 to 10 days.

Next report: November 5/morning