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November 21, 2023 afternoon report

November 21, 2023

Summary:  An area of upper level high pressure extends from off shore central California to Montana this afternoon. Variable high clouds are overrunning the high and will be with us through the night. temperatures as of midday are anywhere from 5 to 7 degrees warmer than 24 hours ago with warmest locations approaching 70 this afternoon. A weak trough of low pressure will move through Wednesday night and Thanksgiving Day. As the trough moves through, it will connect with another low over the interior west, creating a north/northeast flow aloft. No active weather will be associated with this change but the north/northeast flow will mix down a somewhat cooler air mass. This change will allow strong radiational cooling each night through the weekend and beyond, leading us to the first in a series of frost nights beginning Saturday. This is by no means a critical air mass. In fact, daytime highs will still move into the low to mid 60s, which is typical for mid November with many overnight temperatures in the low to mid 30s. Coldest locations will be in the upper 20s.  hillside and urban areas will remain above freezing. This basic pattern of dry, mostly clear weather will be with us for most of next week. there are medium models pointing to active weather the first week in December. Until then, frosty mornings and seasonal daytime highs will be a way of life for at least the next seven days. Very few locations will cool into the lower 30s tonight due to a veil of high clouds.

Forecast: Variable high cloudiness tonight. Mostly clear Wednesday through Friday with patchy morning fog. Mostly clear Friday through Tuesday with areas of night and morning frost.  

Short Term:                                                                                           

 Madera 37/69/36/68Reedley 38/70/37/69Dinuba 36/68/37/68
Porterville 37/70/36/68Lindsay 35/70/35/68DeLano 38/70/37/68
Bakersfield 42/71/43/67Taft 48/68/49/64Arvin 39/71/38/70
Lamont 39/71/38/69Pixley 37/70/36/68Tulare 35/68/36/68
Woodlake 36/70/36/69Hanford 37/69/38/69Orosi 35/68/35/68

Winds:  Winds through Friday will be generally at or less than 7 mph with periods of near calm conditions.

Rain: No rain is likely for the next week to possibly 10 days.   the following week. longer range models depict below average precipitation through the end of the month.

Frost:  A weak trough of low pressure will move through Wednesday night and Thanksgiving Day. As the trough moves through, it will connect with another low over the interior west, creating a north/northeast flow aloft. No active weather will be associated with this change but the north/northeast flow will mix down a somewhat cooler air mass. This change will allow strong radiational cooling each night through the weekend and beyond, leading us to the first in a series of frost nights beginning Saturday. This is by no means a critical air mass. In fact, daytime highs will still move into the low to mid 60s, which is typical for mid November with many overnight temperatures in the low to mid 30s. Coldest locations will be in the upper 20s.  hillside and urban areas will remain above freezing. This basic pattern of dry, mostly clear weather will be with us for most of next week. there are medium models pointing to active weather the first week in December. Until then, frosty mornings and seasonal daytime highs will be a way of life for at least the next seven days. Very few locations will cool into the lower 30s tonight dueu to a veil of high clouds.

Next report: November 22/morning