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December 9, 2023 afternoon report

December 9, 2023

Summary:   After a frosty, and in some cases foggy, start to our day, the last of the low clouds have dissipated from Tulare County with visibilities ranging from 5 miles at Bakersfield to 10 miles at Madera. Through Wednesday, we will go through a routine of areas of fog nights and morning and widespread below freezing temperatures. Upper level high pressure remain anchored roughly 600 miles off the southern California coast. Central California is flanked by the eastern side of the high which is maintaining a northwest flow aloft. The freezing level taken over Vandenburg AFB today was 13,300 feet, illustrating the warm air inversion now clamping down on the valley. By the middle of next week, the high will build northward along the Pacific coast as a weak trough of low pressure develops over the Great Basin. This will eventually result in a cut off low over Arizona. This will generate an off shore flow over California, warming highs into the mid 60s by Wednesday and possibly pushing the 70 degree mark by next weekend. It’s also possible the fog could gain a stronger foothold than I currently believe, but with dry soil conditions, that seems doubtful at this time. Some of the medium range models are pointing to a possible change around the 20, but for now, we’ll stick with a dry forecast and deal with the fog morning by morning.

Forecast: Other than areas of night and morning fog and low clouds, it will be mostly clear and hazy through Tuesday with high clouds. Mostly clear with patchy night and morning fog and low clouds Tuesday through Saturday, otherwise mostly clear and hazy.

Short Term:                                                                                           

Madera 29/62/29/63Reedley 29/63/29/63Dinuba 27/61/28/62
Porterville 28/62/28/63Lindsay 27/62/27/63Delano 30/63/29/63
Bakersfield 34/62/34/63Taft 39/59/42/58Arvin 30/63/30/63
Lamont 31/62/30/63Pixley 29/63/29/63Tulare 27/61/27/62
Woodlake 28/61/28/62Hanford 30/63/29/63Orosi 28/62/28/63

Winds:  Winds will be generally at or less than 6 mph with periods of near calm conditions through Sunday.  

Rain:  Expect dry conditions for at least the next 10 days.   

Frost:  The last of the low clouds and fog had dissipated over Tulare County as of the time of this writing. Dew points are a little lower, generally ranging in the upper 30s to the lower 40s. with mostly clear skies tonight, another strong radiational frost event will occur. Coldest locations will again fall into the 26 to 28 degree range. Most flat terrain locations will  drop to 28 to 31 degrees with hillsides above freezing. The inversion tonight will be decent with temperatures at 34 feet being 5 to 8 degrees warmer at most locations. Expect similar conditions Sunday through Monday morning. After Wednesday, afternoon highs will begin to move into the mid to upper 60s. This will begin to drag up overnight lows as well with all but the coldest locations remaining in the 30s beginning Thursday morning. Even though some medium range models are indicating a possible change beginning around the 20th, none suggest a particularly cold pattern.

Lows Tonight:

Terra Bella 29Porterville 28Ivanhoe 27Woodlake 28
Strathmore 28McFarland 27Ducor 30Tea pot dome 29
Lindsay 27Exeter 27Famoso 29Madera 29
Belridge 28Delano 30North Bakersfield 30Orosi 28
Orange cove 29Lindcove 27Lindcove Hillside afSanger river bottom 26
Root creek 27Venice hill 29Rosedale 29Jasmine 29
Arvin 30Lamont 30Plainview 28Mettler 30
Edison 31Maricopa 31Holland creek 31Tivy Valley 28
Kite Road South 31Kite Road North 28  

AF=Above Freezing