January 29, 2024
Summary: Low clouds and fog were rapidly expanding through many areas of the central and south valley as of 5:00am. Elsewhere, fog was expanding over areas of Merced County. Upper level high pressure has shifted a bit further east this morning and is centered over western Nevada. The high will continueu to move towards the Rocky Mountain region ahead of a major weather shift which will bring substantial amounts of rain to the valley. Some locations may see record high temperatures both today and Tuesday. Assuming the fog and low clouds burn off in a timely manner, readings will top out in the low to mid 70s. rain will begin to spread in from the west possibly as early as late Wednesday afternoon, spreading over the rest of the region Wednesday night. models continue to show a nice fetch of subtropical moisture feeding into this storm from waters north of Hawaii. Some quantitative precipitation estimates between Wednesday and Friday along the coast range north of San Simeon area as much as 8 to 10 inches and as much as 3 to 4 inches along the Sierra Nevada north of Tulare County. Unsettled weather will continue on and off through the weekend as the colder sector of the storm arrives, lowering snow levels down to 4,000 feet or so. The two week outlook continues to indicate a 70 percent chance of above average rainfall through February 11.
Forecast: Areas of dense fog and low clouds this morning. clearing in most areas this afternoon. Mostly clear tonight with areas of fog forming late. Areas of fog and low clouds Tuesday morning, otherwise it will become partly cloudy late. Increasing cloudiness Tuesday night. cloudy Wednesday with a chance of rain by late afternoon. Rain likely at times Wednesday night through Thursday night. a chance of showers at times Friday through Monday.
Short Term:
| Madera 73/47/73/47/69 | Reedley 74/45/73/45/70 | Dinuba 73/45/73/46/69 |
| Porterville 75/44/75/46/74 | Lindsay 75/43/73/43/69 | Delano 76/48/75/47/73 |
| Bakersfield 76/46/75/45/74 | Taft 72/52/72/53/71 | Arvin 76/47/75/76/74 |
| Lamont 77/47/75/48/71 | Pixley 74/47/73/47/71 | Tulare 73/44/73/46/69 |
| Woodlake 73/44/73/45/68 | Hanford 75/46/73/47/69 | Orosi 72/44/73/47/68 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Thursday Rain likely 52/70 | Friday Showers likely 42/59 | Saturday Chance of showers 48/57 | Sunday Chance of showers 35/57 | Monday Chance of showers 38/56 |
Two Week Forecast: February 4 through February 10: This model has done a 180 regarding temperatures during this period. Models now show a cold trough of low pressure engulfing much of the west. Therefore, expect below average temperatures for a change with an excellent chance of rain.
Winds: Winds will be generally at or less than 6 mph with periods of near calm conditions through Tuesday night. by early Wednesday, winds will become out of the east or southeast at 8 to 15 mph with local gusts to 25 mph possible. Winds Wednesday through Thursday will be mainly out of the southeast at 10 to 20 mph with stronger gusts possible.
Rain Dry weather will continue through most of the day Wednesday. It’s possible rain may show up as early as Wednesday afternoon along the west side, spreading over the rest of the valley Wednesday and continuing on and off through Thursday night. Showers will continue Friday with a break on Saturday. The chance of rain will begin to increase once again Sunday. Rainfall amounts along the east side north of Kern County should tally up to around an inch to a half an inch or so. Along western Fresno and kings Counties, amounts will generally range between .60 and .90. rainfall amounts for the valley portion of Kern County will be a half inch or less. Rain will continue on and off next week as well.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing through Friday morning. the colder sector of a Pacific storm will arrive Friday and Friday night. even though this storm is cold, it is also quite active with periods of showers from time to time. For Saturday through Monday, lows will dip into the mid 30s to the lower 40s. If we have a clear night sandwiched into this time frame, low 30s will be possible in the very coldest regions.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .31, Parlier, .34, Arvin .33, Delano .31.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 55, Parlier 55, Arvin 60, Delano 55
Average Temperatures: 57/38, Record Temperatures: 78/23
Heating Degree Days Season. 1131 -393 varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno .2.79, Monthly 1.90
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 2.61, Monthly: .1.65
Average Temperature this Month 49.5 +2.8 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier, 647 Arvin, 576 Belridge, 562 Shafter, 622 Stratford, 620 Delano 642. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise, 7:03. Sunset, 5:21 hours of daylight, 10:17
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 69 / 45 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 70 / 46 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 71 / 49 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 69 / 46 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 70 / 44 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 70 / 49 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 67 / 46 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 69 / 46 / 0.00 /
Rainfall:
STOCKTON 0.00 7.15 103 15.47 224 6.91 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 8.00 130 13.42 218 6.15 12.27
MERCED 0.00 6.43 113 12.85 225 5.71 11.80
MADERA 0.00 4.09 81 4.59 91 5.05 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 2.79 54 9.20 178 5.18 10.99
BISHOP 0.00 0.69 29 8.57 362 2.37 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 0.82 102 0.39 49 0.80 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 4.15 65 8.90 140 6.35 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 9.02 153 12.75 216 5.90 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 4.83 78 13.33 215 6.19 13.32
HANFORD 0.00 2.92 75 6.80 176 3.87 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 2.61 88 3.99 134 2.97 6.36