April 10, 2024
Summary There are two main features we’re looking at this morning. The first is a center of high pressure just off the central coast. The second is a developing low just off the northeast Pacific. It’s the high center that will influence our weather through Friday with mostly clear skies and well above average temperatures. Temperatures will push 90 degrees in the warmer locations on the valley floor Thursday and Friday. The low in the northeast Pacific will drop southward to a position just off the northern California coast Friday night and just to the west of the central coast Saturday. Models are more bullish this morning on the potential for rain for the valley with snow above 4,500 feet in the southern Sierra Nevada. There is also the potential for thunderstorms Saturday afternoon as a pool of cold, unstable air moves in overhead and interacts with the daytime heating process. Some of the high resolution models this morning are indicating between a quarter and a half inch of precipitation is possible on the valley floor with over a foot of new snow over the higher elevations of the Sierra Nevada. The low will push eastward through southern California Sunday. By Tuesday, a weaker low will be moving into the Pacific Northwest then into northern California Wednesday. However, for now it appears any precipitation will be confined to the higher elevation of the Sierra Nevada.
Forecast Mostly clear skies through Friday. Increasing cloudiness Friday night leading to a chance of showers, mainly after midnight. Periods of showers Saturday and Saturday night. a chance of thunderstorms Saturday afternoon and evening. Partly cloudy Sunday and Sunday night. Mostly clear Monday through Wednesday.
Short Term:
| Madera 83/48/87/53/87 | Reedley 84/51/88/55/87 | Dinuba 82/49/86/53/86 |
| Porterville 84/52/89/55/87 | Lindsay 83/50/87/54/84 | Delano 84/53/90/57/87 |
| Bakersfield 84/56/90/61/87 | Taft 80/60/83/61/82 | Arvin 83/54/90/56/88 |
| Lamont 84/53/89/55/88 | Pixley 83/53/87/57/87 | Tulare 83/51/86/53/87 |
| Woodlake 82/50/88/53/84 | Hanford 84/55/89/56/87 | Orosi 82/51/87/53/87 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Saturday Showers likely 47/84 | Sunday Partly cloudy 41/67 | Monday Mostly clear 42/65 | Tuesday Mostly clear 46/70 | Wednesday Mostly clear 47/75 |
Two Week Forecast: April 17 through April 23: This model is indicating a fairly dominant ridge of high pressure will be over California. The chance of rain appears to be very low during this period while temperatures will be above average.
Thirty Day Report: This model gives equal chances of above and below average temperatures for the month of April. The chance of precipitation is slightly above average for the month.
Ninety Day Report: As we enter the dry season, this model predicts precipitation will be above or below average. There is no real trend to grab onto, so temperatures are expected to be near seasonal average.
Winds: Winds will be generally at or less than 8 mph with periods of near calm conditions through Thursday night. by late Friday, winds will be out of the southwest at 10 to 20 mph at times with stronger gusts. Winds Friday night and Saturday will be mainly out of the northwest at 10 to 20 mph. Gusts over 30 mph will be possible near heavier showers and thunderstorms.
Rain: Dry weather will continue through Friday. A chance of showers will begin to increase Friday night, especially from Merced County north. Showers will be widespread Saturday and Saturday night. A chance of thunderstorms exists Saturday through the evening hours. Models this morning are considerably more bullish on the chance of measurable rain. Some high resolution models indicate as much as one quarter to one half inch is possible on the valley floor. Higher amounts are possible near any thunderstorm activity. Dry weather will return Sunday and will continue for the next several days.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 40s. Kern: Low to mid 40s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .96, Parlier, .94, Arvin .99, Delano 98.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 58, Parlier 60, Arvin NA, Delano 61
Average Temperatures: 72/47, Record Temperatures: 95/34
Cooling Degree Days Season. 0 -12 varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 8.62, Monthly .33
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 6.18, Monthly: .23
Average Temperature this Month 56.4 -3.4 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier, 793 Arvin, 692 Belridge, 690 Shafter, 741 Stratford, 784 Delano 783. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise, 6:30 am. Sunset, 7:30 pm, hours of daylight, 12:59
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 76 / 48 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 76 / 47 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 77 / 53 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 78 / 47 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 79 / 47 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 78 / 52 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 76 / 49 / M /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 76 / 47 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24hr 2024 % l.y. % ave Yearly ave
STOCKTON 0.00 12.89 107 22.87 190 12.03 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 15.78 146 19.76 183 10.80 12.27
MERCED 0.00 13.51 130 20.08 193 10.39 11.80
MADERA 0.00 8.64 90 10.83 113 9.58 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 8.62 90 17.48 182 9.63 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 7.36 102 14.48 201 7.21 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 6.18 109 9.74 172 5.65 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 4.44 111 13.66 342 4.00 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 2.93 177 1.06 64 1.66 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.50 117 13.71 119 11.50 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 16.69 147 20.51 181 11.34 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 15.15 123 23.18 189 12.28 13.32