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Forecast

November 9, 2019/pm update

We will be out of the office Sunday, November 10.  Reports will resume as usual Monday, November 11.  Thank you.

November 9, 2019

Summary: Yet another warm, sunny, hazy afternoon out there.  The visibility at Bakersfield, Porterville, and Visalia at 1:00pm was 6 miles while the Fresno Air Terminal was reporting 5 miles.  The main center of upper level high pressure is several hundred miles off shore with a ridge nosing into northern California while a weak upper low continues to spin off the southern California/northern Baja coastline.  The winds aloft are out of the east/northeast, but they are weak so no real strong off shore flow is apparent.

 

The off shore high will shift eastward and build a ridge into the Pacific Northwest Monday and Tuesday as the low to our south begins to shift inland.  Beginning Wednesday night, the high will break down, allowing two weak waves of low pressure to move through.  The first should arrive late Wednesday night and Thursday, resulting in increased cloud cover and cooler temperatures as a stronger on shore flow develops.  Readings will actually drop down into the mid to upper 60s Thursday through next weekend.  The second wave of low pressure will move through Friday into early Saturday.  again, no precipitation is expected for central California.  Even to our north, the only region to have a chance of showers will be the Mount Shasta/Siskiyou region and the northwest coast.

 

The pattern just might get more interesting about a week from Monday as this afternoon’s models are following the lead of this morning’s models in showing a sharp ridge just off shore building a ridge north/northeast into northern Canada with a cold low dropping into the interior west.  Currently, no real chance of precipitation exists but a colder, drier air mass could invade the region.  We’ll keep that chance out of the forecast as this is still more than a week away, if it occurs at all.  We will definitely be monitoring the medium range outlooks.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear and hazy through Tuesday night.  partly cloudy Wednesday.  variable cloudiness at times Wednesday night through Saturday and cooler.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 39/76/39/78 Reedley 40/77/40/79 Dinuba 38/75/39/77
Porterville 40/77/40/79 Lindsay 40/76/39/78 Delano 42/77/42/79
Bakersfield 49/77/48/80 Taft 51/77/50/79 Arvin 44/78/43/80
Lamont 43/78/43/80 Pixley 40/77/41/78 Tulare 38/75/39/77
Woodlake 39/77/40/78 Hanford 41/77/42/79 Orosi 39/76/40/77

 

Winds: Winds will continue to be at or less than 6 MPH with periods of near calm conditions through Tuesday.

 

Rain:  Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.

 

Frost Discussion:  All locations will be above freezing for the next 7 to 10 days.

 

Next report: Monday morning/November 11