June 29, 2020
Summary: It is quite a refreshing morning out there as all ag locations from Madera southward through Kern County are reporting readings in the low to mid 50s as of 6:00am. Anytime you have highs in the 80s, which we’ll enjoy this afternoon, consider it a very temporary summer reprieve. The freezing level has dropped from 17,400 feet Saturday to 12,500 feet this morning. all this is due to a rather robust low pressure system which is now centered over southern Idaho.
A strong on shore flow continues today so gusty northwesterly winds can be expected, especially along the west side where local gusts to near 30 MPH are possible. Forecast models indicate the low will slowly migrate into Montana and weaken, eventually forming a broad area of weak low pressure over the Pacific Northwest eastward into the Rockies. There will be occasional minor impulses moving through this trough and into northern California from time to time through Thursday.
Temperatures will begin to warm Tuesday but for now no triple digits are expected. However, models are now showing the development of upper level high pressure over Texas which will retrograde back over the Four Corners region over the weekend. This pattern typically sets up the monsoon season in the Desert Southwest. Occasionally during the summer months, the high will move out far enough to the west for monsoonal moisture to move over California. However, I don’t see this happening any time soon as that trough over the Pacific Northwest will maintain a southwesterly flow, keeping monsoonal moisture well south and east of our region.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies and mild today. Mostly clear with a warming trend Tuesday through Wednesday. Mostly clear Wednesday night through Monday.
Short Term:
| Madera 85/55/95/59/97 | Reedley 87/56/95/58/87 | Dinuba 85/54/94/57/96 |
| Porterville 87/57/95/59/98 | Lindsay 86/56/94/58/97 | Delano 87/59/95/62/98 |
| Bakersfield 86/64/95/68/93 | Taft 86/65/95/69/97 | Arvin 87/58/95/63/99 |
| Lamont 86/60/95/64/98 | Pixley 86/58/95/59/97 | Tulare 85/55/94/58/96 |
| Woodlake 86/56/95/58/96 | Hanford 87/58/95/60/98 | Orosi 85/55/93/58/95 |
Seven Day Forecast:
| Thursday
Mostly clear 59/96 |
Friday
Mostly clear 61/97 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 62/98 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 63/99 |
Monday
Mostly clear 62/97 |
Two Week Outlook: July 6 through July 13: This model is indicating a fairly typical summer pattern with high pressure dominating over the eastern Pacific, extending over California into the Desert Southwest. Temperatures will be marginally above average with typical dry conditions continuing.
July: This model indicates warmer than average temperatures over the next four weeks. The usual dry pattern will prevail in the San Joaquin Valley with the chance of precipitation on any given day being almost nil. Average precipitation for the month is .01.
July, August, September: This time of year, the 90 day out look is no secret. July and August will be hot and dry while September has a minor risk of precipitation, mainly from the tropics. This out look appears fairly typical. Marginally above average temperatures are expected with near average precipitation, which is a meaningless projection.
Winds Discussion: Winds will be out of the northwest today at 10 to 20 MPH at times. Local gusts to 30 MPH are possible, mainly in western Fresno and Kern Counties and much of Kings County. Winds later this evening will decrease and range from 5 t0 10 MPH in the early morning hours. For Tuesday through Thursday, afternoon and evening winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 MPH. Winds during the night and morning hours will be generally less than 7 MPH with possible periods of near calm conditions.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.
Afternoon Dew Points Today: Mid to upper 40s. Kern: Low to mid 40s. Humidity values ranging from 20%/70% at Visalia. Bakersfield 20%/55%
Actual Humidity range June 28, 2020: Delano, 60%/24%, Porterville, 68%/17%
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 80%. Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 90%
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.21, Parlier 2.06, Blackwell Corner 2.45, Arvin 2.26, Orange Cove 2.22, Porterville 2.11, Delano 2.06. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 75, Parlier 80, Blackwell NA, Arvin, 80, Orange Cove 84, Porterville 80, Delano 80
Record Temperatures: 110/53. Average Temperatures: 96/63
Cooling Degree Days this Season: 633 +179
Courtesy of the NWS
Average temperature for June so far: 77.4 +3.0
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno/average + or 7.63 or -3.68. Month to Date: .00 -.21
Since Oct 1, 2019, Bakersfield: 7.20, or +.85. Month to Date: .02 -.06
Water year season is from October 1st through September.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier, Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Lindcove, Porterville
Hours at 45 or below 45.
Sunrise: 5:43, Sunset: 8:22 pm. Hours of Daylight: 14:39
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 80 / 58 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 85 / 60 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 92 / 70 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 95 / 62 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 95 / 59 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1600 / 92 / 74 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 94 / 65 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DH1700 / M / M / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 93 / 65 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1700 / M / M / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / M / M / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24hr W.Y. % Last Y. % Ave. Year ave.
STOCKTON 0.00 8.35 61 18.37 134 13.76 14.06
MODESTO 0.00 6.94 54 13.35 104 12.83 13.11
MERCED 0.00 9.54 78 13.27 109 12.19 12.50
MADERA 0.00 6.02 51 11.42 97 11.73 12.02
FRESNO 0.00 7.63 67 11.85 105 11.31 11.50
HANFORD 0.00 6.62 67 9.50 96 9.89 10.10
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 7.20 113 7.80 123 6.35 6.47
BISHOP 0.00 2.25 48 8.47 181 4.68 5.18
SALINAS 0.00 9.16 73 13.80 109 12.63 12.83
PASO ROBLES 0.00 11.37 91 14.88 120 12.45 12.78
SANTA MARIA 0.00 10.61 77 15.68 114 13.76 13.95
Next report: June 30/morning